Fang Yuan said Jin:9.12Gold Fall1712直接多，今日行情走势分析

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goldMarket trend analysis;


   美国劳工统计局将于周二发布8Monthly Consumer Price Index(CPI)数据。按月计算，CPI预计将下降0.1%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将保持在0.3%不变。联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)政策制定者没有确认9Monthly interest rate increase75个基点，疲弱的通胀报告可能导致加息50个基点的概率上升。在这种情况下，美国国债收益率可能会大幅下跌，并引发金价的决定性反弹。另一方面，CPI数据强于预期可能巩固加息75个基点的决定，令黄金无法上涨。但值得注意的是，市场已经倾向于大幅加息，这表明美元的潜在涨幅可能仍然有限。


上周行情黄金收盘1715上也是最近收盘在日线5Rihe10日均线上，说明多头反弹延续，目前看支撑上移1712区域继续做多，始终坚持不破1700区域，还是继续反弹，当然目前支撑主要集中1712and1703区域，上周更多行情围绕1703reach1730横盘整理，只有突破1735带能摆脱颓势。大区间的支撑看1700得失，1700点位跟前期1680，1688，1692点位同样的价值，支撑效果非常强，回落看试探反弹大空间，只要不破，就不会是极弱。周一预计震荡，周二看CPI数据对暂时黄金技术面影响，周三，周四会有大行情出现。


Intraday strategy:1712附近多。止损1703, Objective1727-1735



crude oilMarket trend analysis;


    原油经过上周的暴跌至81，创新低，尾盘大涨又收高至87，原油犀利的走势给多空都上了一课，很难从技术面的角度出发看涨跌。同时市场环境复杂，油价受到俄罗斯威胁要停止向一些买家出口石油和天然气提振，但在库存增加的情况下，拜登政府考虑是否进一步释放原油储备，以及欧洲对俄油价上限措施将在周五讨论，油价短线涨幅或受限，市场不确定性风险加剧，临近周末，还需谨慎关注相关消息。本周原油暂时表现强势，至少要看一下88/89内的高点，破位88向上的技术面还有空间89，96.5, not broken88则沿着空头再次看跌，因此是空头趋势，所以下跌走势不猜底。对于日内行情而言，早盘慢跌一波，单边均线支撑在84.5，美盘前不破此点位可做多看涨，上方看87，88，如果破位，前期的强势再次转弱，再看下跌空间也不迟。


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    In the market, there are3The famous saying of Zhili: firstly, the market fluctuates according to trends; secondly, history repeats itself; and thirdly, the market encompasses everything. The biggest enemy in the market is yourself. Believe in the power of the market, make orders based on trends, operate mechanically, and do not make orders based on emotions. The gold market is an open, fair, and just market. Only by defeating yourself can you defeat the market.


    This article is provided by Fang Yuan. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Fang Yuan said that Jin has an online solution, a loss recovery policy, and real-time one-on-one guidance on WeChat. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.