Fang Yuan said Jin:9.7黄金多头还有希望吗？后市多空如何布局

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goldMarket trend analysis;


    昨天澳洲联储宣布加息50个基点，符合市场预期，为今年连续第4次加息50个基点。澳洲联储委员会预计未来几个月将进一步加息。今晚我们又将迎来加拿大央行的加息公告，市场预期是要加75individualbp，如果成真，加拿大将成为G7国家中首个3.25%利率经济体。考虑到美加2国的关系，9month22号美联储大概率也会照本宣科，步加国后尘。 这两天的美元指数似乎已经开始按耐不住提前走加息预期了。周一创出110高点之后，今天继续刷新高，一度涨至110.7附近。随之带动美元/日元达到144.欧元则跌至0.986.



    黄金在此背景下，也难逃厄运，今天早盘直接跳水至1691，距离周二高点已经抹去了35美金的空间。由于上周五刚刚触底反弹，这波金价的调整让很多想着非农前抄底后拿长线的投资者被扫地出门。那是不是真的黄金就不会涨了呢？ 其实也不一定，1680这个位置是近两年以来的低点，多头在此布局还是有一定实力的，包括今天的反弹也能看出力度相对强劲，一口气涨破了1700and1705Gateway.4小时一根大阳线，吞没前面4根下跌阴K，说明今天周三市场并不想直接破位1680，这个悬念可能要留给周四的ECB决议或者周五的中国CPI。目前金价再次回到1700之上那么美盘就有望延续上涨，回踩1700大关可以布局多单继续看1710附近压力，再则就是1720关口分水岭界限。



Operation strategy:1--1700Nearby, stop loss1694, Objective1707-1711

　　　    2--1715Near empty, stop loss1721, Objective1708-1704




crude oilMarket trend analysis;



   原油方面、原油周一晚盘冲高回落，昨日亚盘围绕88.4-89.2修正，欧盘快速跌破88.4关键支撑形成延续下跌，美盘反抽87.9and88.4都是比较关键压制，反抽一定要空一次，虽然美盘仍企稳86支撑上方，但美盘二次反抽仍承压87.9形成双顶，同样关键支撑连续多次测试支撑有效性减弱，那么凌晨只要不破双顶压制就有蓄力下破的可能。凌晨收盘低点附近表现出弱势，早间跌破延续走弱，那么原油日内操作思路依托86压制继续看空即可，关键支撑破位一定不能去多。


技术面看，原油日线图下降趋势运行，目前受压于均线系统继续探底，中期走势仍处于下跌趋势中的低位震荡；小时图低位止跌反弹失败，目前仍然受压于均线系统探底中，短期油价或将进一步走低。操作建议，原油在86Short position and stop loss87Stop surplus84.5


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    In the market, there are3The famous saying of Zhili: firstly, the market fluctuates according to trends; secondly, history repeats itself; and thirdly, the market encompasses everything. The biggest enemy in the market is yourself. Believe in the power of the market, make orders based on trends, operate mechanically, and do not make orders based on emotions. The gold market is an open, fair, and just market. Only by defeating yourself can you defeat the market.

    This article is provided by Fang Yuan. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Fang Yuan said that Jin has an online solution, a loss recovery policy, and real-time one-on-one guidance on WeChat. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.