Fang Yuan said Jin:9.7Gold and crude oil continue to weaken, morning strategy

    The market is full of both temptation and risk. This is the game between losers and winners, and only by maintaining a positive mindset can we never lose. Success is a habit, failure is also a habit, and both ends of success and failure will become increasingly intense. Therefore, if you do not accept it when it should be, the result will be their weakness. Most losers cannot control small losses in this regard, nor are they satisfied with existing profits, resulting in large losses.


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goldMarket trend analysis;



   美元昨日攀升，盘中一度再刷新二十年高位至110.57，美国上月非制造业活动指数从7Of56.7Slightly increase56.9，这是经历了三个月下降后连续第二个月上升，强化了美国没有陷入衰退的观点，金价从盘中稍早触及的一周高位回落，受主要央行将激进收紧货币政策的预期推动，美元和美债收益率攀升。本周的焦点将是周四的欧洲央行会议，预计该央行将加息75Basis points.

   金价周二见顶于1726.69dollar/盎司，在关键斐波那契阻力1729.25dollar/盎司附近遭遇卖盘打击。1729.25dollar/盎司是金价7month-8升势的61.8%斐波那契回撤位。日线图显示，在短暂的反弹之后，黄金重拾跌势，并有进一步下跌的空间。主要移动平均线稳步走低，但远高于当前金价水平，而技术指标在负面区域内恢复跌势。

   近期前景金价延续跌势。金价已经跌破20周期简单移动平均线(SMA)，目前该均线在1708.15dollar/盎司构成阻力。100cycleSMA在较短期均线上方加速下滑，但低于20cycleSMA，这通常是抛售兴趣增加的迹象。此外，技术指标已转向下行，动能指标正挣扎在中线水平附近，但相对强弱指数(RSI)已下滑至37。金价主要看跌目标为1680.82dollar/盎司，为今年低点，一旦跌破该水准，应会导致金价遭遇更大的抛售。

   黄金日线下降趋势运行，目前受压于均线系统直逼前低，中期走势仍处于下降趋势运行；小时图超跌反弹结束，目前跌破均线系统再度走低，短期有望进一步下行


操作策略：黄金反弹在1699Short nearby, stop loss1705, Objective1690—1680


crude oilMarket trend analysis;


   油价昨日下跌超2%，因更多的加息和全球疫情措施将削弱燃料需求的前景重燃市场担忧，扭转了OPEC+since2020年以来首次削减产量目标带来得两天涨势，且美国财政部副部长称44dollar/桶或将成为对俄石油限价措施的“指导价。”这一消息将进一步打压油价，在相关具体措施落地前，市场或保持谨慎，油价震荡偏空。由于劳动节假期，美国石油协会(API)和能源信息署(EIA)的周度库存报告将在北京时间周四发布。


技术面看，原油日线图下降趋势运行，目前受压于均线系统继续探底，中期走势仍处于下跌趋势中的低位震荡；小时图低位止跌反弹失败，目前仍然受压于均线系统探底中，短期油价或将进一步走低。操作建议，原油在86.00Short position and stop loss86.80Stop surplus84.50-83.00


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    In the market, there are3The famous saying of Zhili: firstly, the market fluctuates according to trends; secondly, history repeats itself; and thirdly, the market encompasses everything. The biggest enemy in the market is yourself. Believe in the power of the market, make orders based on trends, operate mechanically, and do not make orders based on emotions. The gold market is an open, fair, and just market. Only by defeating yourself can you defeat the market.

    This article is provided by Fang Yuan. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Fang Yuan said that Jin has an online solution, a loss recovery policy, and real-time one-on-one guidance on WeChat. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.