Fang Yuan said Jin:9.5Gold low volatility, latest trend analysis and operational strategies

     goldMarket trend analysis;

     Gold continued to decline and fall last week, and the market rebounded on Friday. After the release of non-agricultural data, the market briefly rose and measured pressure1718The daily chart closed with one yang, over5A continuous negative trend. On a weekly level, there was a bearish shadow in the gold closing area last week. After three consecutive weeks of decline, gold has released a lot of bearish momentum, and the trading situation has fallen to near the previous low. In theory, there will also be some technical support. However, due to the strong expectation of the US dollar interest rate hike in the market, the road for gold to rebound in the future is still very difficult, and it is not ruled out that the possibility of further expanding the falling space due to the impact of interest rate hike expectations.

           The survival law of the market is the law of the fittest. No one is destined to be unlucky, but there is a group of people who will be eliminated by the market. War will not give soldiers an opportunity to explain, and investors will not enjoy preferential treatment because you are weak. The big waves wash away the sand, the sinking ones are gold, the wind and clouds sweep away the remnants, and the "remaining" ones are king.

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    On Friday, the Asian and European markets fluctuated and rose. In the evening, they rose with the help of non farm stocks, but in the early morning, they fluctuated and fell back. The daily average closed at a mid day high. From the overall rhythm, gold is still in a weak position. At the same time, the yield of US treasury bond bonds soared, and the continuous rise of the US dollar will inevitably suppress gold. Last week, the key support stabilized above, and on Friday, the unemployment rate rose and rose, but the rise did not form a continuation. Therefore, today's rise and fall are crucial. If it closes negative today, then the daily line will be a single positive adjustment, and there will still be a wave of decline in the future. as for1680The support has been continuously tested multiple times, but the effectiveness of the support has gradually weakened, and the possibility of breaking through again is still relatively high.



      In terms of short-term operations, if the daily trend is bearish, then we must not stand firm at Friday's high1718On the front line, breaking through the daily line is easy to form a continuous positive adjustment, and the rhythm is not extremely weak, so it is necessary to consider empty single positions1714-15. The strength of the European market is crucial. If the European market breaks through its high, short orders will need to withdraw and adjust positions. In the evening, it is necessary to lay out a long low position. The key watershed below is first the morning low point1707Then comes Friday's non farm starting point, if the European market weakens and breaks down1704The US market continued to be empty with a rebound.4In the early hours, Bollinger showed signs of flattening, with prices supported by the mid track and moving along the Bollinger mid track. However, prices continued to decline and could break at any time. The overall short-term trend was volatile and bearish, and intraday operations were mainly focused on rebounding at high altitudes. Attention should be paid from above1720Nearby resistance.


crude oilTrend analysis;


      The recent trend of crude oil prices has remained low and volatile. Although there has been a rebound in the past few days, the overall trend is not very clear. At the daily level, Bollinger remained flat, with prices falling back from the upper track for three consecutive times to the lower track. The short-term trend is weak, but the price is near the lower limit of the fluctuation range and support is relatively strong. Breaking down is a bit difficult, and more importantly, there is a small rebound and oscillation to try again. We need to pay attention to the upper Bollinger medium track in the day90.5Nearby resistance.4During the hour, prices encountered resistance and retreated near the Bollinger track, running between the middle and lower tracks. There was no strong rebound in the short term, and as long as the price did not break through the resistance on the middle track, it was difficult to make a decent rebound. The daily operation was mainly focused on high altitude, with attention from above88.7-90.5Regional resistance.