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今日亚盘金价震荡微涨,临近美国非农数据,一些投资者调整仓位,隔夜美元大涨后迎来小幅回调,也给金价反弹提供机会,不过市场对美国非农数据的预期比较乐观,有望给美联储进一步激进加息提供数据支撑,这使得金价仍面临进一步下跌风险。本交易日市场目光聚集美国8月份非农就业报告,调查显示,继7月非农就业岗位激增52.8After ten thousand,8月料增加30万个。这将是连续第20个月就业增长。虽然这将是16个月来最小增幅,但仍远高于疫情前的平均水平。8月失业率料持平于3.5%,8月平均时薪料环比增长0.4%, year-on-year growth5.3%。
美联储到9Monthly interest rate hike50The probability of a basis point is38%Interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point is62%; reach11Monthly cumulative interest rate increase75The probability of a basis point is2.3%Accumulated interest rate increase100The probability of a basis point is39.5%Accumulated interest rate increase125The probability of a basis point is58.2%。(非农报告公布前,美联储到9Monthly interest rate hike50The probability of a basis point is30%Interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point is70%)