Fang Yuan said Jin:8.26黄金、原油策略、今日走势分析！

goldTechnical analysis:

     目前市场的关注点都集中在今日美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔年会上的讲话，市场一直在为美联储加倍兑现其抗通胀承诺做好准备，认为美联储将会强化压低通胀的承诺，预计将在年度央行会议上发出积极的紧缩信息，使明年降息的希望化为泡影。如果鲍威尔表现的稍微偏鸽派一点，通胀预期将升得更高，美元和美债收益率则会下滑，为黄金带来顺风。但如果鲍威尔展现鹰派立场，并降低对经济成长敏感的程度，黄金可能会大幅下跌。日内黄金价格的振幅可能会扩大，不排除盘中会迎来多空来回拉锯的可能性，操作上需慎重一点。


    黄金昨日探高回落收平，日线虽收成小阳KLine, but the closing price is not high, still closing near the previous day's high to compete, hitting the highest point in the session1765After the first line of pressure, it fell and closed at1755.The daily trend of the small yang has an upward shadow. From the daily perspective, the three consecutive yang rebounds, but the strength has weakened, not a strong unilateral rise. The trend also switches with the change of form.  4The hour chart is currently in1807The high point fell to1727The neutral position in the wave of low point decline, just hit the golden section yesterday0.5Slightly under pressure.4There is plenty of time to choose from. Is it currently a rebound correction in the downward trend or relying on it1727Do bottom reverse recovery? To be confirmed, after yesterday's pressure, it closed flat at a neutral position, causing the short-term strength to continue to be insufficient. Pay attention to today's closing situation. If there is further decline today1727to1765As a rebound wave shaped high point, the future market relies on1765The second wave of construction has fallen, but of course, it is still in the process of structural construction. On the contrary, if it continues to rise and close higher, the trend will turn into a reversal and recovery, with frequent short term long short term switchingK线形态盘中灵活应对。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1765-1770Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1745-1740Frontline support.



   crude oilTechnical analysis:

      原油价格本周持续反弹，价格在反弹的过程中也突破了重要的阻力位置，这意味着前段时间震荡下行的走势得以扭转。日线级别，布林带收口，连续三根阳线突破了布林中轨一线阻力，短线走势震荡偏多，虽然昨日价格有所回落，但还是运行于中轨和上轨之间，早间开盘价格小幅上涨，且有继续走高的趋势。4小时，布林带收口，价格暂时横盘于中轨93没美元附近，可以看到周三之后价格走了一波回撤，但并未下破92.5一线支撑，日内可以以此为防守，先看一波上涨，重点关注晚间消息面的影响。操作建议：回调92.9Long nearby, stop loss92, Objective95.5