Analysis of the latest trend of spot gold international crude oil Operation suggestions

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Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of Gold News: Monday(8month22day)The international gold price has dropped to7month28New low since the beginning of the day1741.70US dollars, expected to decline in the future1729USD. Gold prices are constrained by a stronger US dollar and expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, despite9Third consecutive month75There is little possibility of a one basis point interest rate hike. The US dollar index rose to7month15New high in recent days108.29This makes gold more expensive for other currency holders.10The yield on one-year US Treasury bonds has risen to its highest level in a month, increasing the holding cost of non interest bearing asset gold. As inflation expectations have peaked and economic recession concerns have intensified, the Federal Reserve9The monthly interest rate hike will be reduced to50Basis points. Interest rate traders currently expect that the Federal Reserve9Third consecutive month75The possibility of raising interest rates by basis points is unlikely50%. The focus of this week will be on Friday(8month26day)The annual global central bank meeting held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech at the meeting. In terms of economic data, investors are paying attention to the data on durable goods orders in the United States, and it is expected that the data will be from the previous value2%lower0.5%。

Technical analysis of gold: Gold fluctuates and falls around the medium track for four hours, and each rebound is basically a key test to suppress the decline and break through the low, echoing the previous fluctuating upward trend. If it is extremely weak in form, then the key to breaking the position is1752Support can easily lead to an accelerated decline, but if the trend breaks before the US market on Friday and does not form a continuation, then the probability of a pullback is relatively high. Although the pullback occurred on Friday evening1758A secondary pressure is formed nearby, but a significant rebound occurs, at least indicating that the short-term is not extremely weak. From the perspective of the four hour energy column, it continued to decline last week, and the energy column significantly weakened in the second half of the weekMAMoving to the oversold area, the hour line has shown continuous deviation, and deviation signals have also begun to appear within four hours. On Friday evening, although the pattern was once again under pressure and fell, the low breaking did not continue, so today's trend may form a long rebound, with a higher and lower mentality. The key suppression above is the second drop to the high point on Friday morning1751Nearby and high pressure points on the US market1757Breakthrough within the day1751Basically, establish the rhythm of oscillation, and if we break through again1758Probabilistic continuation of backtesting1771even to the extent that1783So anytime you go up and break1758回撤都可多一次。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上秦泽冉建议反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注1748-1753Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1727-1722Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry point and timing of settlement, please pay attention to Qin Zeran's firm offer and it will be provided in real time.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Monday（8month22At the beginning of the Asian market, Meiyou is currently reporting89.33dollar/Barrel; Last week, oil prices fell due to the strengthening of the US dollar and concerns that an economic slowdown would weaken crude oil demand; The Iran nuclear negotiations await whether the United States can comply with Iran's "red line". In a report, analysts said, "Although crude oil and finished oil can escape the impact of a strong US dollar on a single trading day, the long-term strength of the US dollar will pose significant resistance to the sustainable rise of oil pricesNYMEXNew York crude oil9monthfuturesAffected by warehouse transfer and monthly exchange,8month23day2:30Complete the final trading on the floor in the early morning5:00Complete the final transaction of the electronic disk, please pay attention to the risk control of the announcement of changing months at the expiration of the trading venue. In addition, some trading platforms typically have shorter expiration times for contracts with American oil companiesNYMEXOfficial one day in advance, please pay more attention. Overall, geopolitical tensions continue to support oil prices, but the Iran nuclear talks still need to wait for the United States to comply with Iran's "red line", and oil prices may increase90Nearby the checkpoint, there is volatility, and this week the annual meeting of global central bank governors will be held by Jackson Hall. We also need to pay attention to the speech of the Federal Reserve Chairman.

From a technical perspective, crude oil closed on a small negative line last week, and the overall space did not go too far. In the early week's retest, the inertia dropped to85.75After stabilizing nearby, a rebound correction was carried out, repeatedly confirming the pressure on the upper track of the downward channel. Last Friday, it was confirmed again that the pressure on the upper track of the channel had decreased. The daily trend is fluctuating and falling in the downward channel, and the rhythm is slow and circuitous due to the high conversion trend of the weekly trend. Every time a new low is reached, it is accompanied by a significant rebound correction.4The hour chart is still processing the downward steps for the time being. Although the rebound was slightly larger last Friday, it still closed at a low point, with the upper steps reaching the next highest point95.0It is still a short-term short defensive point, while the resistance on the downward channel of the daily line is92.0Nearby. Last week's final inventory was completed, and this week's operations are still below the critical point, taking advantage of the high altitude, breaking through and adjusting our thinking. Still looking back on the short line86.低点，破位再进一步下看空间，空间也是随着形态的收低，再慢慢扩大。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上秦泽冉建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期重点关注89.1-89.6Frontline resistance, short-term focus below85.0-84.5Frontline support.

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This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.