Dingsheng Jinshi:8.13Today's gold trend analysis shows that gold prices have once again climbed the thousand eight mark...

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Friday(8month12day)The international gold price remains firm, but the rebound in the US dollar index limits the upward space for gold prices. The market continues to believe that the United States7The weakening of monthly inflation pressure is unlikely to prompt the Federal Reserve to change its monetary policy path, and the rise of non yield asset gold still faces constraints.


Spot gold rose for the fourth consecutive week this week, up nearly1%, Create in Disk7month5New high in recent days1807.72dollar/Ounces. The US dollar index fell more than1%, creating6New low since the end of the month104.634。 U.S.A7The significant easing of monthly inflationary pressure has prompted traders to lower their expectations for future interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. However, the potential inflationary pressure in the United States remains high, and Federal Reserve officials have suppressed market expectations for a significant relaxation of their tightening policies, which has limited the upward trend of gold prices. The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has suppressed the rise of gold, but it has also heightened concerns about economic recession, creating a close confrontation between the two. Of course, the tense regional political situation also supports gold.


——Gold analysis and outlook for next week's operational recommendations layout——


Gold1680Bottom rebound, currently the highest impact1808The position was hindered and fell back, and the next day did not continue the previous day's decline, but instead touched1783Low point impact again1800The big level, unfortunately, still rises and falls in the end, representing1800There are a large number of short positions suppressed above the major level. In the short term, gold has fallen into a long short battle, but of course, the short-term upward trend has not been broken, but there have been signs of stagflation and correction, after allMA5—MA10The moving average crosses upwards, and the Bollinger belt opens upwards,MACDThe red column can continue to release; The weekly trend is also a three consecutive positive rebound pattern, representing high short-term bullish sentiment. The focus now is on location1800Only by breaking through and stabilizing can we clearly determine the direction for bulls to continue rising, otherwise we will really be under pressure1800The Great Pass has gone through a correction. In fact, my personal opinion is that it needs to continue to rise, after all, there have been so many shocks1800There has been no significant decline in the major levels, and if we really want to fall, we should have fallen long ago. Now1800Such a clear signal that the top has not yet fallen may be an illusion, attracting more short orders and breaking through in one fell swoop.


　　4From the hourly gold trend chart, the high volatility is still continuing, so at the low level1782-1780After multiple dips, if the market has not broken through, then this position is still important. Only after breaking through this position can the market effectively adjust its structure downward. Otherwise, the market will still be strong from the perspective of the overall trend. So next week, we will pay attention to whether the market can continue to strengthen after rebounding from the second highest point. Dingsheng Jinshi suggests paying attention next Monday1812-1814Strong pressure level, following below for multiple times without breaking through1782-1780Line neck support.


Reference idea 1: Strong rebound next Monday1812-1814Short selling, stop loss1820, Objective1801-1782-1775Nearby;


Reference idea 2: Step back for the first time to1790-1788Short term, stop loss1784, Objective1796-1802Nearby;


Reference idea 3: Step back forcefully to1782-1780Long, stop loss1774, Objective1792-1800-1815nearby


　　——crude oilAnalysis and future operational recommendations for next week's layout——


Recently, crude oil prices have been at a low and volatile level. Upon reaching87After the bottom of the US dollar, the price has been tested several times downwards, but has not broken through, and there is strong support below. At the daily level, the opening price was in a bullish band, and prices were repeatedly supported by the lower track, forming a low level horizontal consolidation trend. However, yesterday's bottom rebound gave rise to further upward momentum in prices. The early opening price continued yesterday's upward trend, and in the short term, the forest track may be explored.


　　4Within an hour, the Bollinger band rose, and prices continued to fluctuate upwards in a positive direction. There was a trend of opening up the upward trajectory and rising within the day, but it is important to pay attention to the breakthrough within the day92.5The situation of resistance level above the line. Overall, the operating strategy of Jinshi for the short-term peak of crude oil is recommended to prioritize low to high, with a rebound to high as a supplement.


Suggestions for crude oil operation:


Top short-term focus95.5-96.0Line resistance


Short term focus below92.1-91.6Frontline support


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!