Ultima Markets：【行情分析】日央行利率决议，日元多头最后...

todayUltimaMarkets Bringing you 2024year 4month 26The daily exchange rate between the US dollar and Japanese yenIn depth analysis.

Fundamental points

• Bank of Japan interest rate resolution：市场预测日本央行在周五将按兵不动，而近期日元的大幅贬值使得日本央行更有可能淡化其保持宽松政策的立场。
• 加息压力：今年日本企业与工会谈判导致的强劲工资增长增加了日本央行的加息压力。在上个月实施历史性加息之后，日本央行今年仍可能进一步加息三次，加息幅度可能超过市场预期。
  

technical analysis

Weekly chart analysis

（美元兑日元的周线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4）

• MACD：2At the beginning of the month,macd能量柱在0轴上方再度上传红色慢线，理论上这是强势的多头信号。不过从去年以来的能量柱趋势来看，尽管近期日元贬值超历史价位，但是波动幅度是在衰减的，警惕汇价在触及阻力位后出现顶背离的形态。
• 潜在目标位：当前美元兑日元接近了155.674，这是去年以来上涨趋势的61.8%斐波那契扩展位。配合今日基本面信息，汇价存在短暂调整可能性。但若继续上破，则看向2020年以来上涨趋势的61.8%扩展位一带，同时也是绿色上行通道线的上沿。
  

1Hour chart analysis

(USD/JPY)4Hour chart, sourceUltima Markets MT4）

• Random oscillation index：指标近期调整均止步于50中位线，因此今日亚盘时段的空头信号能否明确为下跌趋势开启，需要关注指标能否跌破中位线。
• Supporting price range：汇价在高位处于震荡调整中，没有出现明确的顶部形态。下跌调整的价位也始终受红色33后期均线和绿色趋势线支撑。若跌破支撑，则可以确立M顶形态，届时才可关注美元兑日元的短期做空机会。
  

Trading CentralHub Line Indicators

(USD/JPY)30Minute chart, sourceUltima Markets APP）

• according toUltima Markets APPInTradingCentralHub line indicators, central price range for the day155.40，
• 155.40Upward bullish, first goal155.75Second objective155.90
• 155.40Under bearish, first target155.20Second objective155.00
  

Disclaimers

The comments, news, research, analysis, pricing, and other information contained in this article can only be considered as general market information and are provided solely to assist readers in understanding the market situation and do not constitute investment advice.UltimaMarketsReasonable measures have been taken to ensure the accuracy of the data, but the accuracy of the data cannot be guaranteed and can be changed at any time without notice.UltimaMarketsWe will not be responsible for any losses or losses (including but not limited to any loss of profits) that may arise from the direct or indirect use or reliance on such information.