Guide Metallographer:7.22欧央行加息50基点，黄金重回千七上方

　　goldMessage interpretation:

Yesterday(7month21day)European Central Bank7月意外加息50个基点，这也是欧洲央行11年来的首次加息，并结束了欧元区的负利率时代。美国至7month16The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is25.1Ten thousand people, expected to be24万人，美国各州申请失业保险的人数连续第三周上升，达到去年11月以来的最高水平。机构认为，是因为越来越多的公司宣布裁员，这表明原本稳固的就业市场出现了一些疲软。受以上消息面的影响，美元指数日内波动剧烈，短线下挫后迅速反弹近百点，随后又回吐涨幅，最终收跌0.43%Current report106.65；10年期美债收益率大幅下挫，最终收报2.882%；黄金在欧洲央行公布利率决议前一度触及1680附近，随即大幅反弹，触及1720USD level, current report1716dollar/ounce.

　　昨晚美国总统拜登在推特上发布视频表示，他的新冠病毒检测呈阳性，但身体状况良好。美国白宫发言人称，拜登患重度症状的风险大大降低，因为他已经加倍注射了疫苗。目前，美国累计新冠肺炎确诊病例已超过9000万例。这一数据意味着美国平均每3.6个人中，就有一人感染新冠病毒。公共卫生事件的持续发酵，或将给黄金多头提供支撑。市场参与者继续焦急地等待下周美联储的利率决议，预计政策制定者将把利率提高75个基点，以遏制失控的通胀。

Today's Focus

　　14:00 britain6Monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment

　　15:15 France7Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value

　　15:30 Germany7Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value

　　16:00 eurozone7Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value

　　16:30 britain7Monthly manufacturing and service industryPMI

　　20:30 Canada5Monthly retail sales rate

　　21:45 U.S.A7monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIinitial value

　　21:45 U.S.A7monthMarkitService industryPMIinitial value

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金昨日震荡单边下跌，美盘开盘公布失业金数据小幅利多，这个消息影响还是小的，主要是欧洲央行要加息50个基点！欧洲央行以“鹰派意外”开启11年来首次加息，欧元跳升美指回落，带动黄金上涨，目前美指反转上涨，黄金要看一波下跌，不过下方1680支撑再次试探了，形成了个三底形态，短期内没有强消息面的刺激怕是很难走出下破了，就等28号美联储加息。目前的走势支撑上移到1700一线，上方多空分水岭是越过日线10Daily moving average1725，那么就有望企稳延续涨势。

　　黄金果不其然终是如预期一致企稳年线关键支撑1680开启多头反攻模式，那么空头的虚晃结束，下跌浪型彻底走完，准备迎接多头的开始发力吧，强调了目前的高通胀不是强烈加息这招能直接解决的，黄金的避险属性必将发力，盘面中黄金再度受大量买盘助力企稳1700之上，无疑是探底回升的节奏，所以咱们思路也就该明确了，下方极有可能形成大三底支撑金价，低多是接下来的重点趋势，点位上稳健建议大家继续关注1700区域；目前黄金没有破位1680支撑，也没有破位1724上方阻力，短线还是在下跌承压区间内震荡，那么操作上的思路就非常明确，回调1700附近做多，不破阻力做空，综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方关注1725-1730One line of resistance, pay attention below1702-1700Frontline support.

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