Xiao Yizhou:7.19今日黄金最新走势分析，午间操作策略指导。

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Xiao Yizhou - The following is for the daygoldcrude oilDaily trend analysis and specific operational strategies

Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday（7month19At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading in1709美元附近，美债收益率的上涨令金价承压，不过，因为加息100点的预期降温，美元指数回调，仍给金价提供支撑，市场关注本周美国的房地产市场数据，数据显示，美国房屋建筑商信心急挫且纽约地区服务业萎缩，仍有望给金价提供支反弹机会，但本周欧洲央行也将加息25个基点，黄金ETF持仓持续下降，仍令多头有所顾忌。

　　此前市场对美联储下周加息100个基点的押注有所减弱。周五的数据显示，美国消费者在7月降低了他们的通胀预期，这一进展可能会受到美联储官员的欢迎，他们担心对高通胀的预期会使其抑制价格上涨的任务变得复杂，欧洲央行在本周晚些时候的会议上预计将加息25个基点。由于美元连续第二天下跌，黄金一度反弹0.9%，这在一定程度上减轻了这种不支付利息的贵金属的压力。此前，美联储可能大幅加息的预期导致金价连续第五周下跌。由于美元走软，黄金价格在今天的交易时段略有缓解，但价格仍有下行倾向。未来几个月，我们可能需要看到一些‘鹰派峰值’的迹象，才能让黄金重拾一些市场信心。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金昨日先震荡回弹，高点测压至1724一线，但晚间时段行情震荡回修，跌回至预期的1710-07区域内，日线收得一带有上影线的阴星线。从昨日黄金运行节奏来看，在美指持续震荡回修的情况下，尤其是欧美盘时段，黄金运行节奏与美指几乎同向，如此不协调的节奏显得有些异常，也从侧面说明在美联储加息预期的前提下，短线黄金走势还是存在较大的消极情绪的，即便技术上有止跌回弹需要，但多头信心却很难维持。

　　根据日线结构来看，昨日黄金短线冲高回落收带有上影线的阴星线，或多或少会给给短线走势带来不确定性，日内需要多留个心眼，防范行情可能出现情绪化的再度下跌风险，但下方还是继续关注1700整数位附近争夺，依然允许有刺破动作。主思路还是趋向看回弹，但回弹的级别需要进一步的压缩，上方关注5、10Daily line1715、1725附近压力。上半周如果能站稳5、10日线上方，那么再考虑后期测压前期高点1750的可能性，但如果持续站不上5、10日线，就要防范美联储加息预期带来的市场消极情绪对行情的打压风险。

　　结合小时图走势，昨日黄金白盘运行节奏与美指还是有很大协同性的，但欧美盘时段行情有些异常，在美指持续下修的情况下，黄金也持续承压回修，这样的状态一则表明当前市场情绪很不稳定，二则说明多头动能和信心的不足，虽然目前整体结构还是存在止跌反弹预期的，但也不得不对未来回弹级别进行调降。目前下方主支撑调降至前低趋势线1700整数关口位，而日内回弹则需要借助美指再进行承压回修为条件，否则回弹动能将依旧很弱，甚至于小时图有形成低位横盘震荡消耗的可能。日内上方关注1716-18短压，如果能站回其上，则短线市场偏空情绪可能会有所缓和，上方或将再测昨高1722-24一带，但至于能否再度走高，依然还是要参考美指走势。至于行情如果意外跌回至1700下方，那么盘中根据实际情况再做进一步的调整分析。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上萧毅舟建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期关注1718-1723Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1698-1693Frontline support.

Analysis of the latest crude oil market:

　　原油上个交易日走出一波大幅反弹日线报收一根大阳线，在H4级别走势上原油走出一波拉升之后价格持续维持在高位的窄幅区间震荡中，以原油最近的走势来看基本是在一波拉升维持高位横盘之后都没有二次拉升的空间，基本都是长时间的横盘之后走继续下跌。今日操作思路上蒋福财建议原油高空为主，上方关注104Resistance; Follow Below96Support for;

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