Xiao Yizhou:7.19早间黄金最新走势分析，早间操作策略指导。

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萧毅舟——以下是日内goldcrude oilDaily trend analysis and specific operational strategies

黄金昨日先扬后抑，尾盘依旧收在低位，受美元走弱提振。金价短线反弹最高触及1723.80dollar|盎司，不过反弹之后持续性不强，美盘稍晚时段仍受压回落收在低位，日线收成小阴十字K线。弱势修正的手法未改变，伴随着反弹后收低，以此反复来修正指标再蓄势进一步下行，整体结构仍处于下行当中，短暂修正为破低做蓄势准备。日线仍处于浪形发散延伸当中，昨日反弹接近中轨处承压。弱势点未收复，短期下行趋势不改。消息方面：此前市场对美联储下周加息100个基点的押注有所减弱。周五的数据显示，美国消费者在7月降低了他们的通胀预期，这一进展可能会受到美联储官员的欢迎，他们担心对高通胀的预期会使其抑制价格上涨的任务变得复杂，欧洲央行在本周晚些时候的会议上预计将加息25Basis points.

4小时反弹受到30单位均线压制回落，结合双均线的系统，单边弱势下跌行情中，修正的幅度相对略小，30均线就是一个临界弱势的标准线，此前两次触碰都承压收低，表明这波下跌趋势并未结合，昨日触及后尾盘回落，同时也收回布林道中轨之下。短线可能在低位收敛修正，但要留意后市的再次放量，周初越弱，周中放量的空间就会越大，以时间换空间修正指标后再延续趋势。目前初步在构造次高点1723-1728之间。此位之下维持反弹高空思路，而次高点1752yes4小时级别的临界点。反弹中择机空，后市依旧看破1700.

原油昨日日线大阳收高，二次回测守住上周五的低点走反弹，受美元走弱及美联储不会在下次会议上将利率提高整整一个百分点以对抗通胀的预期提振。助推油价大涨。一度上升至102.70高位。日线收盘一根大阳线。随着日线的收高，离颈线越来越远，短线拉回震荡，加上十字线配合中阳线止跌反弹，局部仍守住颈线上方走反弹。日线依旧维持宽幅震荡思路。短线伴随阴阳互换的拉锯。

4小时图昨日守住布林道中轨支撑处走出一波强力反弹，持续性较足，不过尾备受及今日早盘开盘在下行趋势线。此前的下跌通道，目前刚好触及下行趋势线，亚盘还是有所压制，而昨日单向上涨中途并未回踩，故今日亚盘先看一波回踩确认，至于确认之后的趋势得结合形态重新安排，是承压重新回落还是回踩后蓄势再破趋势线，目前不得而知。需要等到美盘后，留意形态的转换。1小时图走出一波小台阶的上升。伴随着小阴线回踩大阳线拉升，形成局部三台阶放量。在震荡行情中，特别是由空转多的趋势变换当中，三连台阶高点后常常伴随回踩，配合4小时下行趋势线的阻力。亚盘围绕103.0-103.30下方看个短空。

7-19(Tuesday)Gold, crude oil:

Gold:(1)1716-1721Separate air defense1728.50 target1700-1697Drop the bag halfway and take a closer look.

crude oil:{1}Subplate102.70-103.0先行短空 defense104.0target101.0-100.0.

Yizhou Case Sharing:

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