Xiao Yizhou:7.11Gold fluctuates downward, and evening trend analysis and operational strategy outlook.

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　　萧毅舟——以下是日内黄金原油日内最新走势分析及具体操作策略

Analysis of Gold Technology

　　黄金日线上看，从黄金日线图来看，在金价上周大跌之后，相对强弱指数(RSI)指标跌至30以下的超卖区域。上一次RSI跌破该水平是在2021year8月，当时金价进行了一次技术性反弹，预计未来金价可能会出现类似的动作，但一定不是周初，。黄金4小时线上看，近期价格持续受20日均线压制走低，周初大跌后，目前行情仍处于下跌中的调整过程，但布林带中轨与20日均线重合出1747一线压制较为明显，虽然MACD给出金叉，但这并不能支撑价格有效走高，4小时震荡偏弱。整体来看，晚间黄金操作上，萧毅舟依旧建议反弹做空为主。

Golden Night Operation Strategy:

Strategy 1: Suggest a rebound in the market to1740-1742Short selling, stop loss1750, Objective1732Nearby;

Strategy 2: Below1730Long nearby, stop loss1725, Objective1739Near.

　　原油技术面分析

Monday(7month11day)亚欧时段，美原油震荡微走弱，目前交投于102关口附近，疫情的担忧情绪回升，加剧了全球经济衰退担忧，亚洲股市普遍下跌，投资者担忧原油需求下降。技术面10日均线对油价压制明显，油价短线重回跌势的风险显著增加。

　　投资者还需留意供给面的变化，上周油价大跌后，供给面的担忧一度给油价提供了较为强劲的反弹动能。不过，美国贝克休斯石油钻井数据上周继续增加，至597Mouth, for2020year3月以来最高，短线对油价不利。

　　本交易日留意俄乌地缘局势和新冠疫情相关消息，留意欧美股市的表现。

　　当前原油短线级别震荡下跌，MACD死叉，油价的低位反弹受到了10日均线的压制，未能扭转7month5日大阴线的利空影响，短线油价重回跌势的风险显著增加，留意5Daily moving average101.20一线支撑，晚间交易思路上总体看震荡即可！

Night operation strategy for crude oil:

Strategy 1: Rebound103.80附近做空，止损：104.40, look at the goal102.80-101.90

　　策略二：下方在先回踩101.20附近做多，止损：100.70，目标待定

Yizhou Case Sharing:

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