Yu Yue on Jin:6.30黄金暴涨后会暴跌吗？白银走势分析，原油...

　goldTechnical analysis:



　　黄金日内短暂回弹，如预期在回弹测压5Daily line1822附近便再度表现承压回落，欧盘时段受美元强势再回升影响，黄金也出现一波大幅回落，目前低点已经跌至预期的日线级别区间下沿1805-00区域内，整体来看目前黄金走势与美指走势还是有很大的负相关联系的。



　　日内黄金走势与预期高度吻合，整体偏弱状态也比较明显，即便目前行情回撤至关键技术支撑位，但也不能完全参考此支撑目乐观看涨。预期晚间黄金可能会借助1805-00区域止跌，但至于回弹动作，预期暂时不会很大，后续行情是否会跌破1800，则要关注美指是否会突破前期高点，而晚间黄金即便有回弹，也暂时作为止跌看待，技术上不支持立刻反转，基本面上更没有强势反转的条件。



　　美联储再放鹰派言论将致力于强劲加息来降低高通膨的危机，黄金也是应声走跌，但是一定要关注好重点分水岭1800关口，同时投资者是否买账美联储的降息也还尚未可知，所以经济衰退以及地缘因素的风险担忧依旧是当前金价最好的支撑，盘面中4小时图可以看到下降楔形中的支撑1800未破就不能算是极弱的格局，若能守住或将再度迎反弹，所以个人认为黄金大跌的可能性较小，目前有通膨数据PCE以及初请数据利多金价，那么布局上大家不要等待可现价1803直接多。操作思路上建建议黄金1800支撑看涨；



　　黄金操作：建议现价1825Short nearby, stop loss1832, Objective1810；



Suggest withdrawal1803看涨，止损1797, look at the goal1820；



Silver Technology Analysis:



The silver daily line has ushered in a unilateral downward trend, reaching its lowest point20Near the checkpoint, the decline was alleviated and rebounded multiple times with impacts22At the critical juncture, we have not successfully broken through and stabilized, representing22The pressure above the checkpoint is also enormous. Subsequently, the silver was in the20—22The interval engages in a multi air tug of war, repeatedly oscillating back and forth. However, silver is currently under pressure22The level has started to fluctuate downward, and the previous low support has been tested again, with a slightly weaker oscillation. Silver operation suggests rebounding to21.20Selling nearby, risk control20Cents, target20.60-20.40Fall below and continue to look20.20。



　　crude oilTechnical analysis:



　　原油中长期的上涨局面毋庸置疑，价格在本次回调之后也是迎来了像样的反弹，价格最终是要回到高位的。日线级别，布林带收口，价格自下轨附近开始反弹，一步一步接近中轨附近，早间开盘价格小幅回落，价格需要回调整理然后再度上行。4小时，布林带开口向上，价格站上前期阻力平台，阻力变支撑，日内价格有回调需求，需关注下方108-109区域的支撑，操作思路上建议原油回调做多即可。



Crude Oil Strategy: Recommendations109Long nearby, stop loss108.3, Objective112-113。