Yu Yue on Jin:6.21黄金跌破短线支撑1837，空头下一目标位在哪？

　　　国际goldMessage and technical aspects:



Message: Tuesday(6month21day)，国际金价承压，多头在美储主席国会作证前保持谨慎。投资者密切关注美联储加息前景可能释放的新信号。有机构认为，美联储正在玩一场危险的游戏，金价很难跌破1800美元关口。北京时间15:25Spot gold fell0.27%to1833.37dollar/Ounces;COMEXThe main contract of futures funds fell0.30%to1835.1dollar/盎司；美元指数下跌0.29%to104.176。



　　技术面：黄金价格早盘下探1835形成探底回升反弹，上探到1846后，接下来的欧盘美盘直至今日早盘，都是围绕1840关口作为分界，上下区间震荡，目前也还是在1840关口位置。经过昨日周一的窄幅修正和上周五尾盘的空间修正，黄金的价格来到通道线和四小时生命线的位置，反复进行徘徊后，现在仍是在此处的上方。因此，还是可以继续参考红色通道和四小时生命线的分界，后续跌破了再对应进行区间的切换。黄金目前红色通道区间是1839-1876，绿色通道区间1860-1888，随着时间的推移，通道位置均有所位移。



　　GOLD多空转折点：1840dollar/ounce



　　策略参考：多单建议1832dollar/盎司附近做多黄金，目标看至1848-1850dollar/盎司。空单建议1850dollar/盎司附近做空黄金，目标看至1832and1815dollar/ounce.



Internationalcrude oilMessage and technical aspects:



Message: Tuesday(6month21day)，国际油价上涨，收复上周部分跌幅，因为投资者关注原油和燃料产品供应紧张，而不是担心经济衰退会抑制未来需求。美试与盟国对俄石油实施价格限制。北京时间16:24，NYMEXcrude oilfuturesrise1.54%to110.44dollar/Barrel;ICEBrent crude oil futures up1.42%to115.75dollar/桶。周三2:30 NYMEXNew York crude oil7月期货受移仓换月影响，6month22day2:30Complete the final trading on the floor in the early morning5:00Complete the final transaction of the electronic disk, please pay attention to the risk control of the announcement of changing months at the expiration of the trading venue. In addition, some trading platforms typically have shorter expiration times for contracts with American oil companiesNYMEX官方提前一天，请多加留意。



　　技术面：日线级别：震荡上涨后回调；MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，在收复布林线中轨112.53前，短期风险仍然是下行风险，然后恢复波林线中线112.53，周五低位106.40附近的最初支撑，如果失去，或会进一步跌向布林线下轨103.30附近，甚至是5month19Daily low point100.66附近。但是，油价连续两天在106.40附近有支撑，55日移动均线附近有支撑位置，周一也录得交叉，需谨防油价回归反弹的可能性，初步阻力位在5Daily moving average111.09附近，布林线中轨阻力112.53附近，若能突破阻力位，增加短期看多信号。



　　WTI多空转折点：109.0dollar/bucket



　　策略参考：多单建议109.0dollar/桶附近做多原油，目标看至111.8-112.5dollar/桶。空单建议112.3dollar/盎司附近做空黄金，目标看至109and106.8dollar/Bucket.



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