Xiao Yizhou:6.20Analysis of Gold Evening Trend and Operational Strategies.

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Market trend analysis:
　　
　　gold上周受美联储利率决定的影响，表现震荡回弹，但又没有实际上涨动能，上方触及1857一线后有所承压回修，周五收得一阴线，依旧处在日线级别均线带之间震荡运行。日线结构上，黄金短线方向不是很明朗的状态，上周受基本面的影响反倒走势更显混乱，来回在日均线带之间反复争夺，导致整体走势结构更倾向于大区间的横盘震荡状态。如果这种横盘震荡延续时间加长，对于黄金整体结构而言反倒是很不利的，有扩大中长线下跌空间的可能性。而如果黄金要回升，基本面目前似乎又没有太过明确的支持，所以这也是困扰黄金走势的关键因素之一，中长线角度来看，黄金也就可能会更偏空一些。
　　
　　小时图上，上周五黄金震荡回修，短线行情形成小周期的下修通道，目前下行只运行了两波，预期日内或再有一波回撤调整的可能性，下方可关注1833-30、1826/25Short support test nearby, can be followed above1845Nearby short pressure, main pressure depends on1848-50一带压力测试，因周一美盘休市，交易相对会清淡一些，预期日内黄金震荡空间不会很大，大致看此区间内震荡运行即可，如果行情走出此区间，则再根据实际运行状态再做分析调整。周一黄金暂作区间内短线低多高空，预期在美盘休市的情况下，行情交投会清淡许多，故实际操作上也适度减少参与频率和仓位，以规避交投清淡带来的控盘风险。综上所述萧毅舟总结：操作上考虑反弹做空为主，上方关注1850-1852USD resistance, follow below1833-1835美元支撑。各位还需根据市场的变化来随机应变，所以进行操作的同时，投资朋友一定要控制好仓位及止损问题、严格设止损，切勿抗单操作。近期市场动荡幅度较大，机会与风险并存。
　　
　　6.20Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:
　　
Empty order strategy:
　　
Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1848-1850Short selling (buy down) nearby, stop loss5Points, target1840-1836Nearby, break down and take a look1833frontline;
　　
Multiple order strategy:
　　
Strategy 2: Gold Callback1830-1833Going long nearby (buying up) and stopping losses5Points, target1840-1845Nearby, break down and take a look1848frontline;
　　
Internationalcrude oilreal-time info
　　
Monday(6month16day)上海原油价格收盘回落38.5Yuan, decrease5.27%。主力合约2207Final closing691.5element/Barrel38.5element/桶。油价收跌，主要因美联储大幅度加息，打压了原油市场的需求，不利于油价。整体来看，过去一周油价的下跌更多源自紧缩利空落地下系统性风险的释放。如果系统性下行风险释放节奏超预期，理论上未来一周也有可能继续跟随其他大类资产共振下跌。但是，无论是从原油现货市场价差结构、贸易活跃度还是终端成品油裂解价差的角度来看，下行驱动暂时比较有限。
　　
Analysis of crude oil market
　　
　　原油上周五周线高位放量下挫，周线的大阴收低，打破了慢性小阳线的上扬格局，可见价格进入高位，卖盘也是比较重。日线级别，震荡上涨后回调，MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，油价失守布林线中轨，油价放量破低下行。4小时图依托布林道中轨处承压构造了二浪下行，同时是弱势的连阴下行，收在低位，本周反弹后有进一步延续下行概率。综上所述萧毅舟总结：原油今日跳空开盘，随后窄幅震荡，高位承压明显，今日操作上考虑反弹做空为主，油价反弹不破119.3可以空，下方支撑关注106.2-105.0，破位会延续下看，若意外上破119.3，油价上看阻力位在112.5美元，该价位不上破可以再空一次。


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