Xiao Yizhou:5.27黄金晚间最新走势分析及操作策略指导。

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　　5month27Day, Friday

　　又到了本周最后一个交易日了，回顾这一周的行情，贵金属和crude oil都走的不温不火，一直围绕小的区间做震荡整理。但是这种情况今天晚上可能会结束，因为本周最重磅的数据要来了，美国4Monthly CorePCE物价指数年率，作为美联储决策前最重要的参考经济指标，pec的分量举足轻重，甚至超过CPI对于通胀的影线。

　　从前值来看5.2%，而预期只有4.9%，很明显，市场对于这次的4月通胀是期待回落的，如果成真，那么这将是继上月从5.4--5.2之后，再次下降。更加能说明美国市场的通胀可能已经越过山丘。

　　那么结合昨天公布的美联储会议纪内容，更加强了9月紧缩政策结束的可能。另外从这两天美元的走势能看到，机构们对于美元的未来强势也显得信心不足了，连续的下跌即将回到100Integer level.

　　贵金属方面

　　由于这两天波动率降低，使得gold昨天并未给到预期的低点1835附近，二次测试了1840点之后，就开启的上涨的延续之路，今天亚盘借势刷新了高点，从结构上看，还是回到了1小时上行通道的内部。

　　总体上可以认为，当下黄金还是属于震荡偏多的走势，低点上移的情况下，今天有可能结束数据的利多上测前高1866frontline.

　　具体到操作上，日内回落1854附近接多，目标看1866--70即可，如果强势突破，继续看上方1890

Analysis of crude oil trend

　　原油周四大幅上涨，得益于美股上涨，且美原油和汽油库存在夏季驾车出行季节来临前显露持续减少的迹象；英国政府周四宣布对能源公司盈利征收暴利税也为油价上涨助力。北半球夏季即将到来之际，随着需求几无放缓迹象，而库存在下降，美原油futures交割地俄克拉荷马州库欣的库存已连续三周减少，欧洲也一直在采购轻质低硫原油，以弥补俄供应缺口。

　　原油价格的上涨趋势已经很明朗，短线维持看多基调。日线级别，布林带开口向上，价格在本周经历了三天的横盘整理之后，依托中轨支撑，开启了上涨模式，不过需要注意的是，上方115.5一线阻力较为强劲，前期价格多次触及到，都未能上破。4小时，布林带开口，一根大阳线突破上轨附近阻力，打开了上方空间，日内价格未能继续上探，那么原油还是存在宽幅震荡触顶回撤的走势，短线操作上萧毅舟建议原油高位触顶做空，上方关注115-115.5Suppress, follow below111.5Frontline support.

Analysis of silver trend:

　　白银昨天下跌未果，价格最终顺从多头的意愿再次上行，在昨天多头动能的支撑下日内多头的表现依然很强，并且突破前高，结构波浪理论子浪a的反弹走势已经形成了5波结构，有望形成引导楔形，因此晚间建议在引导楔形上沿22.45一线考虑做空，风控点放置22.65Above, as seen from the target position22.20-22.10。

Analysis of crude oil trend:

　　原油周四大幅上涨，得益于美股上涨，且美原油和汽油库存在夏季驾车出行季节来临前显露持续减少的迹象；英国政府周四宣布对能源公司盈利征收暴利税也为油价上涨助力。北半球夏季即将到来之际，随着需求几无放缓迹象，而库存在下降，美原油期货交割地俄克拉荷马州库欣的库存已连续三周减少，欧洲也一直在采购轻质低硫原油，以弥补俄供应缺口。

　　整体来看，原油价格的上涨趋势已经很明朗，短线维持看多基调。日线级别，布林带开口向上，价格在本周经历了三天的横盘整理之后，依托中轨支撑，开启了上涨模式，上方116一线阻力上破。4小时，布林带开口，一根大阳线突破上轨附近阻力，打开了上方空间，日内价格有望继续上涨，短线操作思路回调做多，下方关注113.5Frontline support.

　　操作策略：回调114Long nearby, stop loss113, Objective117。

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