Xiao Yizhou:5.25Gold has seen a significant decline, and the latest trend analysis and operational strategies in the evening

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　　goldMarket trend analysis:

　　对于中线博弈反弹1786and1790一路做多的目前都是可以获利出局，今日后半周开启布局中线做空了，本次黄金上涨除了技术反弹修复超跌反弹，还有一点就是美元调整超预期，导致黄金震荡延续反弹，但是日线目前已经到压力区域，不宜1870上追涨，熟悉盘面都是清楚乌克兰危机前黄金反弹次高位就是1877区域，同时乌克兰危机以后突然拉升1973也是单日下跌1878企稳再次上涨本次自1998一路下跌也是在1873区域开启反弹1919再次下跌，也就是说1877顶底转换现在成强压区域，熟悉我们都是清楚分时4reach6小时出现做多信号绝望诞生一半行情就是50reach80美金反弹幅度基本就是行情结束，那么基本低位反弹最大幅度80美金也就是1866区域基本到位，本次1998reach1786Decline amplitude212美金，强势反弹不过50%Location, i.e1905区域，依然还是空头控制盘面，既然下跌趋势，反弹修复以后还会再次下跌，况且美元101.5企稳反弹大概率。我想说的是熟悉节奏和熟悉味道，首先本次2070黄金下跌两个月是因为美联储加息缩表预期，和全球开启紧缩货币政策导致，那么回顾3month16Rihe5month3日加息前黄金走势，你就是看到如出一辙的走势，那就是在加息前20天都是黄金反弹上涨冲顶，而且ETF都是连续配合反弹高位增持，给你创造变盘多头环境，然后盘中温水煮青蛙下跌，本次连续三天增持都是20吨，相比三月和5月增持13吨稍微少点，但是为什么主力在跌到1786不去增持，反而每次在加息前20天反弹阶段压力位置增持呢？那就是给你创造破位上涨诱多信号，然后一去不复返，首先交易不要相信你的眼睛，毕竟这个ETF增持实物只是一个参照，不是交易的依据，而且你要看什么位置增持，如果在1786不去增持，反而上涨80reach100美金去追涨，我想这个信号还不如一个散户，无非创造一个多头氛围，然后futures上补仓空头下跌一样大赚。我们要做的就是全世界看到的消息一定不是消息，那么既然做多信号最大幅度80美金反弹已经完成，而且距离6month16号加息还有20天，基本本周就是重要变盘时间窗口，所以还是熟悉的节奏1870上分批布局空，甚至主力如果诱多直接拉升乌克兰危机前次高位1877reach1882区域再跌更完美因为那样再次启动两个月震荡下跌到1700时代利润更丰盛。

　　现在看主要压力区域就是2个第一个1877reach1895区域，其次就是本次50%多空分水岭1915区域，目前看最后一个区域可望不可及，那么我们技术在遇到第一个区域就是开启做空中线布局进场，你就是想下跌趋势没有改变，即使1786是个阶段的底部，多头上涨走势，那么也需要二次回测夯实底部，何况现在技术和基本面都是不支持连续上涨，日线均线在粘合交叉，说明技术反弹修复以后还会继续下跌，多余话不说，曾经2070and1998我们提示布局中线空，很多人不相信，那么再次1870上我们再次开启三次中线布局空目标1700时代等待验证。下跌趋势震荡下跌不是直线，毕竟多空双方博弈的市场，连续下跌超卖必有技术反弹，而且现在疫情，乌克兰危机，以及新来的猴痘都是或多还有避险，所以不要一日反弹就改变三观，黄金即使要涨也是6Month to7月大幅加息缩表明朗以后，那样后期加息预期没有那么强烈，或者多空习惯加息缩表的消息，自然都是免疫了才有大幅波动反弹，暂时只是一个反弹而已，跌200多美金，反弹50%namely100美金幅度目前也没有到，所以就是到50%位置，也改变不了下跌走势，而且后面只要碰到一个压力位置，都是20reach30美金调整随时闪崩，显然1870上空间有限，但是下跌无限，从资金博弈角度也是空安全，多余话不说，熟悉节奏和熟悉味道反弹继续做空，1870上始终是大涨大空，小涨小空，破位下跌反弹追空目标1700时代二次探底开启。综合上述具体操作建议如下

Pressure:1877——1895Support:1813——1793

　　那们自1786最大反弹80reach100美金幅度基本上空间有限，昨日基本完成最后诱多预期，那么下跌趋势不变还是熟悉节奏熟悉味道，反弹顺势做空为主，如果都是等1877在空，主力洗盘。那么必须两手准备，就是第一在1877下甚至1872追开启下跌，激进早上1870reach1875Area Empty1885损，防止突发惯性延续反弹洗了所有空在次下跌，那就是突破1877惯性10reach15美金，在稳健1887reach1892Area Empty1900损当然这个位置可望不可及。目标1850reach1835reach1825reach1815reach1803reach1790reach1750区域，不要一日反弹波动改变三观，缩回拳头出击才最有力度。极限区域当然挂单1877.8三倍空等待就好。也许未必到，但是只要成交就是大赚。

　　crude oiltechnical analysis

　　美原油市场昨日低开在109.573The market will first decline after the position is given107.883After its position, the market rose and the daily line reached its highest point110.738After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at109.598的位置后行情以一根下影线长于上影线的长脚十字星形态收线，而这样的形态收尾后，今日的行情108.5Multiple stop loss108, look at the goal109.7and110.5-110.8.Break the position to see111.3压力。萧毅舟美原油具体操作思路：今日的行情108.5Multiple stop loss108, look at the goal109.7and110.5-110.8.Break the position to see111.3Pressure.

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