Liu Yuming:5.17黄金原油多头持续爆发最新行情分析及今日独...

　   相逢即是缘。俗话说先有伯乐而后有千里马，千里马常有而伯乐却不常有。投资的本身就是一种对自身的修炼。不断的修炼，才能晋升为成功者的行列。想要走的更远，与谁同行才是关键,How far a person can go depends on who they have with them;How excellent a person is depends on their guidance;你见多了纸上谈兵,我医多了惊弓之鸟,不知道你愿不愿意做谨言的伯乐，创造双赢。市场凶险，瞬息万变，谨言愿伴你同行，与君共勉。


　　　goldTechnical analysis:


　　　回顾日内黄金走势，在美元没有太大波动，消息面也相对平和的情况下，日内黄金出现如此诡异走势还是很反常的，这样的走势也充分说明当前行情的情绪化风险，虽然下方1786A trend line that belongs to a short-term low point connection, but this abnormal state is not strictly in accordance with technical requirements. The expected market on the hourly chart may come under pressure1818-20Conduct a pullback1810-07Regional decline stopped and completed a three band downward revision for a small cycle, but gold has already fallen below1800The low point dropped to1786Nearby, it belongs to a serious oversold, with obvious signs of short selling, and the evening US market also perfectly met expectations. Slowly rising all the way and directly breaking through to1820frontline!


　　　今日黄金下方关注1810Short term support, the main support still depends on the low trend line connection1785-80Area, on the Golden Station early this morning1820Above, continue testing1830-35区域测试，操作上，今日主思路依旧保留择低布局多单思路，鉴于日内行情波动异常状态，务必做好仓位管理，尽可能的择低点参与，而至于空单，则不再考虑参与，因为目前美指回修迹象还是很重的，则黄金空单风险是远大于多单的，顺势而为，今日操作上低多为主！综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上刘煜铭建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，短期上方重点关注1835-1840Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1810-1805Frontline support.


　　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;


　　　周二（5month17During the Asian period, American Oil hovered around114dollar/Near the barrel; Meiyou rose by more than3%Touched at one point in the session3month10New high in recent days114.90dollar/Barrel, due to tight global oil supply, the market is concerned about summer supply. American gasolinefuturesFor the first time in history, it exceeded the limit per gallon4The national average retail price of gasoline rose to a record high in the US dollar. For the first time in history, US gasoline futures have surpassed per gallon4In the US dollar, the national average retail price of gasoline has reached a record high, and the rise in crude oil futures prices often quickly spreads to the gasoline market, indicating that people will face higher energy costs as the end of the summer driving peak month approaches5month13In the week of the day, the inventory of Cushing crude oil decreased by about262.9万桶，美国库存偏紧导致油价走高。2021年春季以来，俄罗斯石油生产保持平稳增长态势。但今年俄乌冲突爆发后，俄遭到美西方国家制裁，包括禁止投资俄原油勘探、生产和加工。数据显示，今年4月上旬，俄罗斯石油产量和3月同期相比下降6%And to4月底时降幅扩大至近9%。俄财政部长安东·西卢安诺夫此前表示，受制裁影响，2022年俄石油产量可能下降17%。刘煜铭认为，俄石油产量减少将让全球石油供应更趋紧张，加剧市场担忧情绪，推升国际油价。总体来看，成品油供应紧张利好油价，但欧盟外长会议未能就新一轮对俄制裁达成共识，且欧盟为欧洲企业继续购买俄罗斯天然气开了绿灯，油价涨幅或受限；建议投资者日内关注APIdata


　　　原油技术面分析；原油昨日再次收高上涨。日线强势四连阳，还没有止住涨势在迹象，在整理中修正后再蓄势破高的走法，昨日短线先踩后扬，先回踩108.20The first line started to stabilize, and the European and American markets gradually consolidated and regained momentum, breaking through the high in the late trading and closing at a high level.4The hourly wave of strong breaking continues to rise in the short term, but after stepping back yesterday, we held on10The unit moving average is measured again. At present, the short-term trend is relatively strong, but after reaching a high point, the defense of the previous high point still needs to be tested. Whether to further accumulate momentum to break through the high point or construct a second top fall remains to be confirmed. However, considering that the short-term trend is relatively strong, it is not advisable to guess the top too early at the moment. Let's take advantage of the trend and wait for the pattern of hitting the high point and falling back before adjusting our thinking.1Hour chart yesterday108.20The formation of short-term low points during the initial stabilization period, the fluctuation of the steps, the rise of the secondary low point, and the upward pattern remain unchanged. Today, the mid track of the Bulling Road happened to break the high point yesterday111.80.日内短线回踩中轨处先行短线看多。综上所述，今日原油操作思路上刘煜铭建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，短期上方重点关注116.0-117.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below110.0-109.0Frontline support.

　 本文由刘煜铭供稿，多年黄金、原油、foreign exchange实战经验，各大财经网站撰稿人，专注投资理念、趋势研判、风险控制等领域，对行情的把握有独到的见解。操作建议仅供参考，不作为下单依据，具体操作以实盘为准，更多实时精准点位可关注刘煜铭。