Yu Yue on Jin:5.16黄金原油最新行情走势分析及多空解套策略...

　goldMarket trend analysis;


　　黄金上周五中阴线下行走低，创下近期新低位，一度破掉1800整数关口至1798.不过尾盘时段一波反抽最终还是收回1810上方。日线收成中阴线带有短下影线。而周线则是收盘一根大阴K线。周线形成四连阴下挫失守60周线，中期向下调整。受美联储激进加息前景，美元强势，令金价承压。日线已击穿年线支撑且收在之下。短期空头较为弱势，不过中期均线还未完全拐头向下形成空头发散，目前短均线领先拐头向下形成压制。4小时处于弱势下行通道中运行，结构性的整理弱台阶震荡下行，并不是一步到位，每次摔出一个新低都伴随长时间的震荡，震荡是为了蓄势进一步下挫，同时修正指标再蓄量能。上周五在短暂跌破1800之后又快速收回，短线1800关口处还小有买盘支撑，可能局部会有反弹修正。但此处止跌见底还言时过早，需要空间配合。没出现反转式的收复反弹，暂时不急于言底。底部的形成需要时间空间和形态的二次确认。目前只是局部创新低之后，短线伴随反弹修正，美元在短暂冲高后小有回调修正之势，也给予黄金短暂的反弹修正时间。亚盘暂时先观望。目前不确定反弹的空间大小，是弱整理代替反弹修正还是有空间上的强反弹修正。还需要形态上的观察确认。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1805-1810Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1785-1780Frontline support.


Analysis of silver trend:



Silver's recent highest impact26The checkpoint has significantly declined, and due to the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, the daily line has experienced ten consecutive negative declines, and has successfully opened up the downward trajectory space for Bollinger,MA5—MA10The moving average maintains a dead fork downward suppression,MACDIt is also a continuation of the green column's ability to measure. In terms of the monthly line, it also rose and fell, ending in a big negative trend, laying the foundation for the decline in May; At present, silver has fallen below21.5Front low position, refresh low point to20.5The position and bearish trend are clear at a glance. Today and Friday are expected to see a rebound and recovery for technical repair, after all, from a high double peak to the current20The gate has already fallen completely6It's already in the US dollar, and both the daily and weekly lines are in severe oversold areas. Personally, I think we can20.5Nearby layouts are mostly focused on technical rebound fixes, but the current trend is still bearish, rebound21.5空才是顺势而为




　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:



　　原油陷入反弹走势已经一月有余，中途也是变数不断，周五的再次上攻打破了反弹结束的可能，短线看来前高111.35也将不保，因此今日回落后短线继续保持多头思路。原油操作建议回落至107.70再次买入，风控107.20Below, target109.80~110.60~111.30，上破则继续持有看112.80。按照波浪交易系统的更新，目前整体的反弹B浪走势陷入复杂阶段，出现了三重三浪的迹象，当前位于其中的Bwavez的最后一轮反弹走势中，后期上方目标黄金分割50%的点位111.70预计很难压制住，50%~61.8%的区域触及后需多加谨慎，防止中期顶部的出现。