Yu Yue on Jin:5.13黄金周线收盘，晚间行情走势分析及策略指导

　　【goldMarket Analysis

　　早上快速下跌1811区域，这个加速下跌当然早盘到欧盘一步到位打出个低位，然后展开反弹测试1830压力预期大概率。首先恭喜昨日1858and1854闭眼空的粉丝，目标1815早盘如期到来，全球昨日白银，数字货币都是闪崩，美联储加息75基点言论再起，至少6reach7月连续加息50基点大概率，同时伴随缩表启动全球资产再次从新推到从来，所以黄金跟随下跌预期之内，当然1833区域没有抵抗企稳，那么黄金基本回到1700时代，也即是说1833区域是乌克兰危机避险起涨点，现在避险暂时消退，加息缩表预期下跌走势还没走出来，日线自2070见顶以来是头肩顶技术形态，下跌目标位置1730区域还有段距离。


　　根据日线以及小时图结构，黄金日内承压1828一线再回修，那么晚间行情很有可能会进一步扩大下方空间，1810附近虽然可能会有争夺，但从日线级别角度来看，下方或有可能回撤至1805-00区域去确认支撑有效性，而即便行情回撤至此止跌，能否有回弹动能，依然还是要看美元脸色，如果美元不进行空间回修调整，那么黄金即便止跌，也很难有太多的回升空间预期。



Analysis of silver market trend:



Silver's recent highest impact26The checkpoint has significantly declined, and due to the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, the daily line has experienced ten consecutive negative declines, and has successfully opened up the downward trajectory space for Bollinger,MA5—MA10The moving average maintains a dead fork downward suppression,MACDIt is also a continuation of the green column's ability to measure. In terms of the monthly line, it also rose and fell, ending in a big negative trend, laying the foundation for the decline in May; At present, silver has fallen below21.5Front low position, refresh low point to20.5The position and bearish trend are clear at a glance. Today and Friday are expected to see a rebound and recovery for technical repair, after all, from a high double peak to the current20The gate has already fallen completely6It's already in the US dollar, and both the daily and weekly lines are in severe oversold areas. Personally, I think we can20.5Nearby layouts are mostly focused on technical rebound fixes, but the current trend is still bearish, rebound21.5Emptiness is taking advantage of the situation.



　crude oilMarket trend analysis:



　　原油今天开盘还是在延续上个交易反弹，最终价格反弹靠近黄金分割23.6%附近出现滞涨，通过时间的推移原油日内也产生了一定的回落，值得一提的是价格反弹靠近23.6%已经是反弹的尾声，晚间不确定会不会再次创出新高来到黄金分割23.6%Location of108.25一线，因此晚间建议关注107.4一线能否有效承压，如果不能被突破存在没有高点的可能，如果107.40一线失守，上方看108.25一线，出现滞涨信号考虑做空，风控点放置108.75Above, as seen from the target position107.00~106.50。