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Guide Metallographer:5.12黄金又见大反转!美国通胀高烧难退,黄金...

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  goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Thursday(5month12日)亚洲时段,现货黄金延续隔夜涨势,目前交投于1858美元附近。周三金价从200日均线附近展开反弹,一方面,美国通胀增速放缓,虽然不能改变美联储的加息进程,但美元的涨势放缓,逢低买盘入场给金价提供支撑;另一方面,美国股市大跌再创逾一年新低,俄乌局势有所恶化,给金价提供避险支撑。 金价下跌主要是受到美元强势的影响,黄金保值以及避险的能力并未受损,特别是在通胀高涨的时期,黄金将会持续受到青睐。整体来看,虽然美联储加息前景和强势美元对金价有所压制,欧洲央行的加息预期升温也对金价不利,但俄乌局势引发的地缘局势担忧升温,美股大跌也给金价提供避险支撑,鉴于美元上涨动能减弱,短线回调的压力加大,短线金价存在进一步反弹机会或者是低位震荡调整的机会。本交易日重点关注美国4monthPPI数据和初请失业金人数变动,留意俄乌局势相关消息和新冠疫情相关消息。鉴于美元在近一周的时间内并未明显上涨,短线回调压力有所增加,投资者需要予以警惕。

From a technical perspective, gold fell and rebounded yesterday, closing positive. The Asian market inertia fell and hit a new low, hitting the annual line1832Supporting the start of stable consolidation, European and American stocks rebounded again with a second retracement and closed at a high level. The daily closing line was a bullish candlestick, reaching a maximum of1857.90dollar|Ounces. The daily structure of double negative combined with single positive rebound correction is still in a downward trend from a structural perspective. Although there has been a rebound, it is not yet sufficient to determine whether it is a reversal. It can be regarded as a shock while pulling the moving average index downward. The US dollar has briefly rebounded and corrected before closing at a high level, and its performance remains strong. However, yesterday's brief decline caused gold to fluctuate. There is slightly more room for rebound, and the market will close at a relatively high position at the end of the day. The next day, it will first fluctuate and correct.4The hourly chart slightly stabilized and rebounded at a low level, and yesterday's backdraft confirmed breaking through the low level1850Under pressure, stepped back, but failed to close below the low during the closing session, and instead closed at1850上方,收盘决定了隔日的强弱延续,收在低点之上,短线震荡。=at present4小时图由于走出二次下探回升。短线不排除进行反弹拉锯,再次下行要等回吐昨日的空间,破低之后才能进一步延续,不然短线容易维持在低点上方进行修正。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹高空为辅,回调低多为主,上方重点关注1875-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1835Frontline support.

  crude oil最新行情分析

  美油昨日虽受消息面影响有居高震荡动作,但始终未能突破102.8-103压力,晚间行情出现连续回修,下方回撤至100整数关口有刺破,但此后行情借助100支撑震荡再回弹,且EIA库存数据也给原油带来一定回弹动能,最终日线录得一小阳星线,回到20日线上方。

  日线结构上,美油虽然回到20日线上方,但又承压10日线,整体状态还是不够强的,导致这种状态的因素还是得归结于消息面的影响,即如果没有消息影响,那么美油整体还是可能会偏弱一些,如果今明两日消息面无利好刺激,那么技术上美油依然可能很难翻过10Daily line102.8-103压力,但如果消息面有利好刺激,那么翻上10日线后,美油可能会测压前期高点104.5-105区域。日内下方则继续关注100整数位争夺,如果今日100再度失守,则很有可能会将美油带回到技术性偏弱的状态。

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