Guide Metallographer:5.3今日黄金走势，鹰派预期左右市场，澳联储...

　　不谋全局者不足谋一城，市场风云，变幻莫测，定其心，观其势，谋定而后动， 不乱于心，不困于情。，运筹帷幄之中，方能决胜千里之外。

　　【goldTrend Analysis

　　上一交易日，周初周一确立行情的思路方向，跟随方面还是主空参与，但是早盘开盘直接回落，后市反弹力度薄弱，到了欧美盘时段未能给到一定的反弹机会，我们临盘直接如空，后市延续跌幅实现了获利，短期结构依旧较为明显，触及低位之后依旧偏弱对待。周一布局空单从1880一线到下方1865一线获利，日内还是以前期的低点为参考来布局对待。

　　上周五的走势确立了本周开盘的方向，而布局阶段以反弹高空为主，周一开盘直接回落，后市形成延续性下探，日内还是主空为主。日内布局关键点还是以前期的低位为参考，昨日破位前期的低位，而前期的低位短期形成顶底转换，所以日内参考前期的顶底转换位置为日内布局的参考点位，1872frontline.

　　日内布局点位参考1872一线，反弹压制下主空参与，目前趋势结构依旧偏弱对待，反弹压制跟空继续看回落，于此同时防范的反弹力度。跌幅较深的时候就要防范低位反抽走势，盲目的低位跟空容易追空到地板上，所以日内以反抽跟空高空为主。若反弹力度薄弱，预期低位形成震荡整理，等待的是压制下的震荡时间转换空间，方可二次入空布局。

　　交易需要等待机会，不是急于一时进场，日内等待关键机会在做布局，点位参考1872一线，若反弹不过高后市主空还是等待小时线反弹机会。趋势性整体还是偏弱的形态，短期未能见到低位的反转信号。总的来说，周二还是以空头为主布局，点位上参考前期的1872一线，前低的顶底转换位置为主！

　　操作上来说，关注隔夜午夜反弹高点1872，其次早盘高点1866，如果看延续趋势极弱下行，那么围绕这里可考虑分阶段去继续空看延续破底回撤思路！操作上指南建议高空为主；上方关注1866-1872-78Resistance, pay attention below1853-1843-35Support for;

　　【crude oilAnalysis of the Latest Market Trends

Monday(5month2day)International oil prices have fallen nearly3%，因担忧全球最大石油进口国中国需求疲软，且印度大量购买折价俄罗斯石油，可能抵消欧盟对俄罗斯原油潜在禁令引发的供应压力。虽然西方国家已经限制购买俄罗斯石油，因为制裁打击了该国出口航运和保险，但由于印度一直在大量购买打折的俄罗斯货物，这对全球供应的影响得到了缓冲。加拿大皇家银行分析师估计，印度从俄罗斯进口的原油已从2021Less than the year of1010000 barrels/Daily increase4Of8010000 barrels/日，并预计只要华盛顿不实施二级制裁，印度将继续增加进口。分析师在研报中表示：“中国数据将放缓到何种程度，可能是大宗商品市场和世界经济面临的主要问题。” 两名欧盟外交官在周末欧盟委员会与欧盟成员国的会谈后表示，欧盟倾向于在年底前禁止进口俄罗斯石油。俄罗斯每天470万桶的原油出口中约有一半销往欧盟，2020年欧盟石油进口的约四分之一来自俄罗斯。限制供应可能会阻止油价下跌。

　　原油从技术面来看，日线图上看，NYMEXThe price of crude oil is within the range of95.28The upward trend of the US dollar opening((3))Wave, upward resistance looking towards23.6%Target bit111.34USD. Looking at the hourly chart, the oil price is from103.23USD starts to rise(3)Wave trend, upward resistance looking towards38.2%Target bit108.07USD.(3)Waves are((3))The sub waves of the waves.4小时级别震荡上涨后回调；MACDDead fork,KDJDead fork,K线高位吞没看空+上影线阴线，短线偏向空头，关注布林线中轨102.89附近支撑，若失守该位置，则增加短线看空信号，进一步支撑在99.81附近，然后是布林线下轨98.34附近支撑。上方10Moving average resistance105.07附近，若能顶破该阻力，则削弱短线看空信号；布林线上轨阻力目前在107.44附近，若意外顶破该阻力，则增加中线看涨信号；进一步较强的阻力在109.81附近。综合来看，今日短线操作思路指南老师建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注105-105.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below95.5-96Frontline support.

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