Zhou Jinrui12.10Will gold continue to rise? Analysis of Futures Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil Trends

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of Gold News: Thursday（12month9Spot gold fell. US dollars and the United States10The yield of one-year treasury bond remained firm, limiting the upward trend of gold prices. United States10Breakthrough in monthly job vacancies1100Ten thousand, close to a record high, bulls have been unable to make further progress in the near future. The cooling of concerns about the epidemic has also reduced the charm of safe haven gold. Investors are waiting for Friday'sCPIData to break the stalemate. Prior to this, material fluctuations were still limited.
　　
Technical aspect: Gold daily closing with one negative line, explanation1792The short-term pressure has come under pressure, but the price is already above the short-term moving average and has formed a certain golden cross performance, indicating that1780There is also some support below, so prices are naturally easy to enter the residential area and continue to organize. Today, the probability is still fluctuating repeatedly, and only when the inflation data from the US market is availableCPIOnly then can we completely break free from the slow ink path of this week; So, as a1762In the form of stabilizing the bottom with a positive envelope and a negative envelope, the idea is to maintain the upward rebound correction of the oscillation unchanged, as long as the low point gradually moves up. This oscillation belongs to the form of forward one retreat two, and the upward wave will be accompanied by a rebound, so it is not advisable to directly pursue the upward trend with a relatively high point; Below1680-1720Trend support derivative point moved up1772On the first line, this position is only suitable for dips, and today1790There is still pressure below, suitable for high altitude;


Gold4At the hour level, a large shade falls overnight, and at this timeKSlowly climbing up the line, it is easy to encounter resistance and fall again to test the low point. From the moving average, in recent days, it has relied on the support of the medium rail to operate again,macdThe kinetic energy of the red column is beginning to decay, and it is expected to break through the mid orbit and try again1772Above, it can also be said that this week's operating range is basically locked in1790-1770Between; To continue the rebound at the bottom and correct the upward trend, it should not break down1770The final choice after the shock should be to go up and down1790Expanding new operating space while standing up; The gold hour line level rebounded slightly in early trading today, testing the early morning pressure1780First line, also overnight decline618Split point, in addition, the short-term trend pressure point moves downwards1789Frontline, cooperationmacdInsufficient kinetic energy, expected1789Next time, there will be a wave of falls to break the level1779Overnight low point, as a fluctuating and discontinuous movement this week, is prone to puncturing1779The situation of another upward trend in the future, therefore today's operational strategy is basically1789When we meet high below, we will be empty first,1770It is a lower end position in the early week's volatile range, with a high price on the dips. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for today's gold market was suggested by Jinrui last week, with high altitude being the main focus and low abundance being the secondary focus, with a focus on the top1790-1795Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1765Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr8527）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.
　　
Recommendations for Gold Operations
　　
　　①1770-72There are many nearby areas, causing damage1767.target1780-1788Break the position to see1795
　　
　　②1790-92Nearby empty, loss1795.Target View1780-1770-Break the position to see1750
　　
GoldTDtechnical analysis
　　
GoldTD:From the daily chart, goldTDReceived a "small negative line" and received20The suppression of the daily moving average,KDJThe three line tick of the indicator is upward and arranged in multiple positions. From the one hour chart, it is goldTDShockingly rising, affected by5Day10The support of the daily moving average,KDJThe three line indicators have downward ticks and are also arranged in short positions. From the actual trend, gold prices have rebounded significantly,363It has clearly become a short line at the bottom. At present, the price is still suppressed at the early high point368Below. Gold prices are at a high point from last week368-369The suppression on the front line is too close, there is no need to pursue more. Suggested GoldTD368element/Ke, you can short lightly.
　　
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
　　
SilverTD: SilverTDdayKThe line once again tested downward to support the rebound, and silver fell into a negative decline again, still suffering from5Day,10Daily moving average suppressionRSILocated at a low level, there is still a high possibility of a lower volatility in the future,4700The area can be emptied once it is under pressure again. Follow Above10The daily moving average is under pressure, and prices are still operating below the downward trend line in the short term. The moving average remains a dead cross short position, which is likely to slow down, and the price structure remains volatile and short. Pay attention to the potential energy of price index correction, and pay attention to the upward pressure4723/4770Follow below the price4600Nearby support;Short term trading rebounded and pressure bearish orders mainly participated.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday(12month9day)International oil prices have surged and fallen, with both cities hitting new highs11month26A new high has been reached recently. Research has shown that existing vaccines are effective against new virus variants, eliminating concerns about a sharp drop in fuel demand. In addition, geopolitical tensions and disappointing Iran nuclear negotiations have boosted oil prices. However, it is important to be vigilant that the UK has announced new restrictions, which may limit the upward trend of oil prices.
　　
On the technical side of crude oil, the daily yield of crude oil was slightly positive, and overall it remained high. In terms of daily structure, after three consecutive positive periods, the short-term upward momentum has been basically exhausted, and the current stagflation performance is also due to this. Therefore, in the short term, it is necessary to take precautions against adjustments that may occur in the market due to the depletion of dynamic energy consumption. The main reason for the rebound of US oil this week is not only due to the need for a technical rebound, but also the reduced impact of the Omicron strain on crude oil demand in the market. This is also a factor that has led to the rebound and stabilization of US oil. According to the daily structure, there may be a sustained rebound in the short term for the US oil company,72.7Although the nearby pressure may be broken through, even if it does, there is not much technical space. You can pay more attention to it from above20Daily line73.5And the low point before the previous decline74.5Nearby stress testing shows that there has been a slight easing in fundamentals, but once fundamentals sentiment returns, there is still a possibility of another sharp decline in the US oil market, as the medium to long term technically supports a downward adjustment in the market. In terms of operation, the focus is still on selecting high altitude and short altitude, with reference to72.7Try short air nearby and stand firm73Stop loss above, target retreat72、71-70.7Reduce positions in batches and retain some of the holdings as expected for band short orders. If the market stabilizes73Above, don't chase more. Above, you can follow more74-74.5The pressure area will be confirmed at that time before considering the layout of empty orders. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today was recommended by Jinrui last week, with high altitude as the main approach and low altitude as the secondary approach. Top short-term focus72.0-72.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below68.5-69.0Frontline support.