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Zhou Jinrui10.1原油还会跌吗?原油黄金白银行情分析及操作建议

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  goldMarket trend analysis
  
  技术面:黄金日线以大阳线收录,在测试顶底转换位1760没有突破之后,黄金再度下行。黄金下行结构的顶底转换位从1760转移至了1750,而从最近金价日线的走势中,不难看出,阴线破位之后伴随的变数反弹回测顶底转换位,而不是阴线延续,属于阶梯式的下行,这样的趋势运行到最后,容易形成楔形形态,越到末端,运行空间越小,变盘便容易发生,这个从最近阴线破位的力度便可以看出端倪,而这种形态往往出现在趋势的末端,后市像趋势的反方向破位的概率较大,所以现在黄金的日线,需要等待的是向之前在1832受阻时出现的破位k线,近期重点关注顶底转换位1750一线的破位,日线实体突破这个位置,此段1832的回调便结束。


  按照日线现在的下跌节奏,这两天延续阴线的概率偏小,因为发生破位后,即便没见底,至少会出现两天的调整周期,而现在破位后离顶底转换位1750差距更小,今天行情走势预计会扩大波幅,那么向上变盘的概率也会更大。短线方面,金价在走出新低之后,MACD指标的二段底背离如期形成,底部1721以来的支撑线也未能下破,反而形成支撑开始反弹,日内预计将要测试金价破位的1760平台位,进一步位置预计在1770一线,日内围绕1740附近布局多单即可,4小时下降楔形上轨阻力在1770附近。短线突破此位置将是重要的变盘信号。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上周金瑞建议低多为主,高空为辅,上方重点关注1770-1775Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1730-1735Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui(zjr8527)Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.
  
GoldTDtechnical analysis
  
From the daily chart, goldTDReceived a 'little yang line' and received it20The suppression of the daily moving average indicates that goldTDTo fall. However,KDJThe three line tick of the indicator is upward and also arranged in multiple positions, indicating goldTDThere may still be an increase. From the one hour chart, goldTDShake down and suffer5Day10The suppression of the daily moving average indicates that goldTDTo fall. However,KDJThe three line tick of the indicator is upward and also arranged in multiple positions, indicating that goldTDThere is a possibility of an increase. In summary, today, goldTDOverall, it tends to oscillate. Operational strategy suggestion: If goldTDLower rupture361element/Ke, you can short lightly. Due to the uncontrollable trend of the holiday season, if there are holdings, there is a high risk after the opening. It is recommended to have short positions during the holiday season. Wishing everyone a happy National Day.
  
SilverTDTechnical analysis:
  
SilverTDFollow Above4650element/Kilograms, and4760element/Resistance near kilograms; Follow Below4545/Support around kilograms, and4400/Kilogram support; Shanghai Bank2112Follow Above4660element/Kilogram resistance, and4740element/Kilogram resistance; Follow Below4590element/Kilograms, and4500/Kilogram support;
  
  crude oilMarket trend analysis
  
  原油技术面:原油从日线上来看,整体走势震荡偏涨,虽然有小幅回撤,但随后还是一路慢涨,日线收平阳十字,说明近期可能维持高位震荡,下方关注MA10Daily line73.2Support73.2上方我们保持一个震荡偏多思路,若意外下破则关注中轨71.5支撑,只要油价运行于上方,多头趋势不变。四小时来看,布林带开始走平,油价窄幅运行于四小时中轨附近,很明显的震荡行情,指标上MAMoving forward from the moving average to the third line,KDJ随机指标并拢向上,但是MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量,快慢线死叉向下,说明油价仍存在下跌风险,日内建议回撤后做多!综合来看,今日原油短线操作思路上周金瑞个人建议以低多为主,高空为辅。上方短期重点关注76.0-76.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below73.0-73.5Frontline support. At present, friends who have nested orders in their positions are unable to provide corresponding unwinding strategies due to the author Zhou Jinrui's lack of knowledge about the location of your nested orders and the specific situation of your positions. Friends who need to unwind can use a single linezjr8527obtain.

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