Zhou Jinrui9.10Will gold continue to fall? Suggestions for Analyzing Futures Gold and Silver Trends

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Message analysis: Thursday（9month9Spot gold rose slightly as the US dollar rose to a one week high, and7The monthly job vacancies continued to rise slightly, but Williams' dove talk and the collective decline in the stock market supported the gold price. Overall, gold prices continue to move away from1800The checkpoint is quite unfavorable for the subsequent trend of gold prices, and there is a possibility of continued weakness in the future. The intraday trend mainly depends on the dynamics of the European Central Bank.
　　
Technical aspect: The gold daily line is included as a cross negative line with an up shadow. The position where the gold price daily line is tested is a breakthrough in the downward channel resistance on the track, which has some buying support. As the decline this week has basically been achieved, everyone needs to pay attention to the market rebound test in the past two days, and the top and bottom conversion level that broke on Tuesday should be tested1818The construction of the head, shoulder, bottom, and right shoulder of the front line and the daily line will take some time, and the position of the right shoulder is currently uncertain, but1782The probability is not the low point of this decline, and important support positions are still being monitored1750Up and down.


From1From an hourly perspective, the initial resistance that needs to be addressed today is1802This position is the high point that rebounds after a new low, and1The top to bottom transition point of the hourly decline structure is also here. Once it breaks through this position1The downward structure of the hour will be disrupted, indicating that this period from1833The decline has ended, and the short-term rebound is about to begin. In terms of indicatorsMACDThe indicator is at a new low1782Later, there was a preliminary bullish signal of bottom deviation, whilekThe decline of the line is narrowing, indicating that this period of decline has reached the end stage. However, as the decline structure is still intact, we need to wait1802The confirmation signal of the breakthrough, if it were to occur again today1802If hindered, it is expected that there will be a deviation from the bottom of the second section, and the new low position will be monitored at that time1777Touching can enter multiple orders, and for a market at the end of a decline, once there is a new low, it provides an opportunity for multiple orders. Waiting for new lows in short-term operations, or1802Breakthrough signal for multiple entry orders, mid-term attention1818A frontline opening opportunity. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for today's gold market was suggested by Jinrui last week, with high altitude being the main focus and low abundance being the secondary focus, with a focus on the top1805-1810Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1770-1775Frontline support.The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr8527）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.
　　
GoldTDTechnical analysis:
　　
Goldt+dFrom the daily chart, goldTDThe trend has been negative for three consecutive periods, with short-term prices weakening and bears taking an advantage. This gold price correction has given up all the gains in the second half of the previous upward stage, and the stage support will be tested. Failure to defend may further open up downward space. It is recommended to adopt a short selling strategy in the short term. goldTDSuggestions,375Short selling, stop loss376Stop surplus370。
　　
SilverTDTrend analysis:
　　
Silvert+dFrom the daily chart, silver has shown a continuous decline, with a relatively small decline compared to gold. This week, silver prices have only recouped last Friday's gains, but bears are currently dominant, with short-term prices weakening, and there is a possibility that silver will continue to decline. It is recommended to adopt a short selling strategy in the short term. silverTDSuggestions,5180Short selling, stop loss5220Stop surplus5050。 At present, friends who have nested orders in their positions are unable to provide corresponding unwinding strategies due to the author Zhou Jinrui's lack of knowledge about the location of your nested orders and the specific situation of your positions. Friends who need to unwind can use a single linezjr8527obtain.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday（9month9US crude oil hovers around69.0Nearby, announced in the morningAPIData shows that US crude oil inventories have decreased, but the decline is lower than expected; It also provides impetus for oil prices and helps them rebound slightly. Oil prices rose more than Wednesday1%Due to the disruption in crude oil production caused by the passage of Hurricane Ida by US Gulf of Mexico oil producers, the recovery process has been slow and has caused2060The news of a 10000 barrel reduction in oil production is also positive for oil prices.
　　
In terms of crude oil technology: The crude oil daily record shows a shadow like Zhongyang. The recent fluctuation of crude oil daily is not significant, and the overall fluctuation remains within a small range. Today, the market opened with a slight rebound, but it did not break resistance. The main reason for the volatility is that there are weak signals from the rebound bulls, but the short-term hurricane impact is resisting bears, but it is highly likely that at present70.50It's just a short-term high, so we still focus on suppressing and shorting in the short-term operation1Hour level,MACDThe green kinetic energy column of the indicator has slightly decreased, and the fast and slow lines have a dead cross downward,RSIThe crude oil is currently under pressure as it falls below the centerline. From the perspective of the market, crude oil as a whole shows a pattern of suppression and oscillation, with rebound and pressure bearing69.7The first line fell and the daily level showed a continuous adjustment pattern of three consecutive negative periods. Recently, the hourly level has been suppressed by double peaks69.5The first line has become a strong resistance and suppression area for bullish rebound, with a continued downward trend. Crude oil exploration67.6The first line slowly rebounds to recover lost land, and the current short-term watershed continues to be monitored69.5On the first line, rebound and break will be explored70.5-71On the first line, if not, continue to callback and test the support below. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today was recommended by Jinrui last week, with high altitude as the main approach and low altitude as the secondary approach. Top short-term focus70.0-70.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below66.0-66.5Frontline support.