Li Jucai:4.25黄金还会持续震荡吗？白银TD原油操作策略解套

        素不相识的投资朋友只因看了我的文章信任我，所以每位找到我的投资朋友我都会给予最大的帮助，让这份信任变的更有价值。在市场经济中，只要你参与到经济中来，就是经济人了，经济人当然就以盈利为目的，特别在资本市场中，没有慈善家，只有赢家和输家。无论你在其他方面如何成功，到了市场里，赢输就是唯一标准。佛渡有缘人，我带有心人！李钜财期待与你成为朋友！关于目前热门的goldsilvercrude oil、沪金沪银等大宗商品，感兴趣但是无从下手的，或者正在这一投资手里有单总体收益不理想的都可以咨询我的，那么就请跟上我的步伐投资理财指导找李钜财老师，获取每日投资资讯，行情走势分析，交易策略指导！如果你需要帮助，本人李钜财会一直在，但如果你连手都不伸，我又怎么能帮到你呢？（点击头像查看资料进群，免费申请直接进群体验。每天现价喊单3-5Single)

　　

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　　【国际黄金、白银TD行情走势】

　　黄金，大周期自1676构筑双底上升以来，底部形成一波W底反转上升形态，尤其突破1760前期底部宽幅箱体震荡区间上沿的压力之后，市场看涨氛围相对浓厚，但我认为不要忽视前期黄金下行的极弱形态格局，尤其在第一季度从1960承压跌至1676位置，调整大跌的力度还是非常明显了！而目前属于4月份也是第二季度的第一个月，目前的反弹上来，尤其大方向我认为还是定义为反弹格局！虽然目前较低位反弹力度已超100dollar.

　　从辩证思维来看，后市一旦突破1800一定会有很多散户蜂拥而至提高浓厚的看涨情绪，而这恰恰是我认为主力提前埋伏的算及好的思维！所以后市突破1800之后炒顶，而不是盲目看涨！大方向，后市依然是重点找机会炒顶布局！之前文章也多次提高计划在1810一带上方炒顶安排！但目前来说1800大整数关口是否存有提前见顶下行可能的问题！如果第二季度延续第一季度大跌调整格局，而1800关口承压回撤之际，在之前1790第一波承压回撤超20美金应该属于第一个调整的信号！

　　所以，总而言之，言而总之，1797-8一旦属于第二季度的历史大顶位置，那么1790位置就很有机会构筑右肩顶形态，那么后市长线可以往下看破1767前期历史低点位置！如果构筑失败，后市1810一带上依然长线炒顶下看！所以今天的走势就很关键，因为今天周五行情不仅衔接到下周行情，而下周过后也会直接衔接到下个月的行情！

　　

Crude oil fundamentals:

　　1.美国谘商会经济指标主管Lynn Franco表示，消费者信心达到2020year3月疫情爆发以来的最高水平，消费者对当前状况和短期前景的评估显著改善，表明未来几个月经济增长可能进一步加强。消费者重新燃起的乐观情绪提振了他们对房屋、汽车和一些高价商品的购买意愿。然而，对短期通货膨胀的担忧也在上升，很可能是由于油价的上涨，并或将在未来几个月抑制消费意愿。

　　2.瑞银石油分析师斯汤诺沃(Giovanni Staunovo)表示：“欧洲的采购经理人指数强劲，美元走软，一些欧洲国家计划放宽部分限制等因素在一定程度上支撑了油价。但由于新冠肺炎确诊病例持续增加，印度对石油需求的担忧限制了上升空间。”

　　3.Market research institutionsIHS MARKIT首席商业经济学家Chris Williamson称，美国经济第二季度开局强劲，随着限制的放宽和疫苗的推出，更加光明的前景和刺激措施都有助于提振需求。这种好转的基础是广泛的：服务业正以调查历史上近12年来最快的速度增长，制造商也报告了过去7年来最强劲的扩张之一。后一种情况更令人印象深刻，且工厂继续受到前所未有的供应链延迟的限制，其结果是价格进一步大幅上涨。

　　原油技术面：周线来看，上方抛物转向点是66.23，随着收线上方点将继续下移至65.5-66.0Nearby, so this week's64.3Maybe it's just a high point. From Zhou Linnao“k”形态上看，上方在64.7Frontline. Weekly indicatorsMACDThe high level gold fork has been fluctuating, and there is no upward momentum to start withdrawing. The daily line is currently supported by the medium rail and moving averageMA60nearby61.0-60.5Frontline, and currently daily indicatorsstoQuick downward repair,MACDThe shrinkage of the golden fork is gradually sticking to the zero axis, so there is still another opportunity for the daily line to rise, while the strong support from the lower side is60.0frontline.4Hour linemacdDead fork high-throughput operation, flexibility indexsto勾头向下修复并进入超买区域，短期4Hours are still short, but it will soon end and face a wave of rebound and rise. This happens to be in line with the daily schedulestoThe trend rebounded a wave. Hour lineMACDLow dead fork shrinkage bonding, flexibility indexsto快速向上修复。说明短期小时线也快要见底。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上李钜财建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注62.8-63.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below60.5-60.8一线支撑。《指导威信:  sc11399   QQ：706967673》

　　

GoldTD】

Gold is retreating371Daily lineMa10Get support and rebound nearby, and break through again374Strong position, dailyKThe line represents a positive column, running inMa5/10Above the moving average,macdGolden cross operation, crossing the zero axis on the fast and slow lines, and increasing volume, overall in a bullish trend. Currently, gold is371-376区间呈现震荡偏强走势，操作上可在区间内高沽低渣操作。四小时，黄金冲高回落，测试中轨企稳反弹，下方支撑上移，macdGolden fork halo,KIn the upward channel of line operation, in the355After bottoming out nearby, there is a ladder upward trend, indicating that gold is breaking through and stabilizing370多空分界线后行情转强。郭格建议回撤370Long nearby, stop loss367, look at the goal375/376Above378Short selling, stop loss379, look at the goal373/372.

　　【白银TD】

　　白银保持在5330-5450区间震荡整理，盘中多次冲高回落，说明上方依然有较强的阻力*，短线于Ma10The moving average has gained support, and all indicators remain bullish overall,macd金叉运行，行情依然处于修正反弹走势中，短期关注区间破位，在未破位前可在区间内高沽低渣操作。郭格建议回撤5250/30Long nearby, stop loss5200, look at the goal5430/5450Test above5465Short selling, stop loss5490, look at the goal5370/5340。

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