Zhou Jinrui3.12Will gold continue to rise? Analysis of Futures Gold and Silver Trends and Operational Strategies

　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
Gold News: Friday(3month12day)The weakening of international gold prices was dampened by the rise in US Treasury yields and the strengthening of the US dollar.10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has surged by over6One basis point, re touch1.60%Increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold. The US dollar index has hit a one week low91.364Nearby rebound. Investors are waiting for next week's Federal Reserve meeting to obtain clues on the direction of monetary policy. Adding to the US statement, the government is expected to achieve earlier distribution than planned1One billion doses of virus vaccine. Zhou Jinrui believes that the implementation of the Baidu virus rescue bill is raising concerns about a large influx of bonds into the market and rising inflation rates. The continued promotion of vaccination also provides support for the labor market, thereby reducing investors' demand for safe haven assets, which will further suppress gold prices.
　　
Technical aspect: On the daily line, the daily line can record a longer shadow line with a small negative line, and the pressure level of the short-term high points in consecutive intervals is gradually showing, and the daily gold price is still at10The daily moving average of technical indicators is above the price support level, and the overall daily moving average is arranged in a downward divergent and bearish manner. The short-term rebound amplitude is expanded, bringing about an upward crossing of short-term technical indicators with a golden cross shape. The hour line shows that the short-term gold price has rebounded from rising to falling, forming a trend of stepping back on the technical indicators of the hour line. During the short-term decline, the support level of technical indicators has a positive impact on the price, and there is no significant downward unilateral continuation momentum. The short-term gold price has slowed down from rising to falling, and the bullish momentum has slowed down. In terms of operation, please pay attention to the following topics today and below1700The support of the gateway, followed by1690、1680; Follow above first1725-1728Regional resistance, followed by1737、1740Under the pressure of the checkpoint, if the support level stabilizes, you can try to go much lower. However, if the pressure level is hindered, you can short and trade on a volatile basis within the day. As long as the gold price does not fall below1700At the checkpoint, gold prices are still expected to further drive up and rise, and if they return to1700The downward trend will naturally resume below. The short-term high and low points are still moving upwards, so before falling below the previous low, the main trend is to retrace the low and long points, with important pressure levels above being short. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for today's gold market was recommended by Jinrui last week, with high altitude being the main approach and low altitude being the secondary approach. Follow Above1720-1725One line of resistance, pay attention below1675-1680. The market is constantly changing, with more real-time market analysis and timely operational strategies added.Author Zhou Jinrui（zjr5857）Daily market analysis, unwinding strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included.


GoldTDTrend analysis
　　
GoldTDYesterday, gold prices surged and fell, putting pressure on the Bollinger track in four hours,KThe line continues to close negative and decline, and the current price is running atMa5/10Below the moving average,macdThere is a deviation in the gold cross shrinkage, and there is a risk of a pullback in short-term gold. The hourly line indicates that the gold price is below367Near the top, it falls back,KThe line continued to weaken and the yin fell, breaking through the middle track and falling,MaHigh dead fork opening,macdThe dead cross operation and the expansion of the green bar indicate a serious short-term pressure above the gold price, and there is a risk of further downward movement. It is recommended to short during the day when there is a high. Follow Above366/368Resistance, pay attention below355、350Support. Suggest a rebound367/366Short selling, stop loss368, look at the goal362/360, lower retreat355/350Long, stop loss348, look at the goal365/366.
　　
SilverTDTrend analysis
　　
SilverTDSilver surged and fell back yesterday5480Under pressure and tested at the lowest point in late trading5366Area, within four hours of mid orbit andMa10The moving average has gained support and rebounded, and the current price is consistent with5400Nearby, it was organized horizontally. After four hours, Brin began to close his mouth,MaKeep the golden fork running,macdThe golden fork runs, but the potential energy shrinks, while the silver5150The region has formed a phased bottom support, and the decline has been temporarily postponed. However, the overall weak pattern remains unchanged, and there has been no breakthrough in international silver27Before the US dollar, there is not expected to be much room for growth. Focus on daily rail transit5530and5600Regional resistance suppression. Short term silver prices fluctuate horizontally, and we can sell high and sell low within the range. Below, we will focus on the four hour medium track5150、5100Regional support. Suggest withdrawal5130/5100Long in batches, stop loss5080, look at the goal5320/5350Above5380/5430Short selling, stop loss5480Go ahead, look at the target5280/5230。 At present, friends who have nested orders in their positions are unable to provide corresponding unwinding strategies due to the author Zhou Jinrui's lack of knowledge about the location of your nested orders and the specific situation of your positions. Friends who need to unwind can use a single linezjr5857obtain.
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
Crude Oil News: Friday(3month12day)Before the European market, the US dollar index slightly rose as US bond yields slightly increased. The US and Brazilian oil companies saw a slight decline, weighed down by the rise in the US dollar. But the support of the bulls is still intact, US crude oilfuturesPrices slightly declined but still traded in65Above the US dollar, on the one hand,OPECContinuing to maintain the scale of production reduction, on the other hand, the early signing of the stimulus plan by Dubai has also boosted confidence in the oil market. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate(WTI)Closing revenue2019The largest spot premium since the beginning of the year has released a bullish signal that supply is tightening. At this point, the positive valueOPEC+The commitment to maintain production restrictions and the promotion of viral vaccination will boost global consumption prospects. Meanwhile, crude oil futures prices have also risen as there are signs that the recovery momentum of crude oil demand is starting to strengthen.
　　
Technically, from a daily perspective, the Bollinger belt runs upwards with a three track opening,MA5Mean Square andMA10The closing of the moving average golden fork,KLine intersection at Bolin Middle and upper track reductionMA5Near the moving average,MACDFast slow line0The golden fork closure above the axis is closed, and the red kinetic energy is weak and significant,KDJThe golden cross rose, while daily crude oil fell for two consecutive trading days, and the overall performance of the market was bearish,4On the hourly chart, the three tracks of the Bollinger Belt tend to run flat,MA5/MA10The closing of the dead fork on the moving average,KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACDFast slow line0The dead fork above the shaft slightly closes and runs, reducing the green kinetic energy. The short-term performance tends to fluctuate. Overall, last week, Jinrui personally suggested that the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today should focus on low highs and supplemented by high highs. Top short-term focus67.5-68.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below64.0-64.5Frontline support.