Wang Decheng:21日豆粕聚乙烯塑料白银螺纹期货基本面分析

       Wang Decheng:21日豆粕聚乙烯塑料白银螺纹futuresFundamental analysis

   

   时光荏苒，转眼已到了2020的尾声。相信这大家与我一样，回首在这一年来在这个市场的拼搏，感慨必定颇多。每每回首过往总是想到一句话-历史总是惊人地相似，却难以复制。那么，勿论收获怎样，让我们给自己这一年来的坚持一个掌声。为了一直怀揣梦想的自己，为了不曾丢弃的信念，因为我们蔑视怯懦，因为我们敢于参与，因为披荆斩棘我们依然傲然地存在于这个充满精彩的市场。

  豆粕：

     昨日沿海豆粕价格3040reach3180element/吨一线，涨20-50element/吨。国内沿海一级豆油主流价格8620reach8770element/Ton140-220element/吨。豆粕期货价格上涨，豆粕成交增加，总成交16.05万吨。豆油期货价格上涨，豆油成交清淡。隔夜CBOT大豆期货价格上涨。上周美豆销售情况旺盛以及南美降雨仍然偏少推动CBOT大豆价格上涨。未来一段时间，CBOT大豆价格保持强势的基础仍然是偏低的库存消费比。这将进一步使市场仍对巴西大豆产量有所担忧——未来任何对巴西大豆产量的调减都可能加剧供需情况的恶化，促使CBOT大豆价格进一步上涨。上周国内豆粕提货量再度减少，但在豆油的旺盛需求推动下，当周大豆压榨量有所回升，因此预计当周豆粕表观消费量将下降至145万吨左右，仍然处在同期偏高水平。另外从季节性来看，油粕比一般在年末触及高点，在上半年呈现偏弱走势。因此若国内豆粕消费持续旺盛，未来油粕比仍有回落的可能，这将给DCE豆粕价格上涨打开空间。

   聚乙烯塑料：

    华北地区聚丙烯拉丝市场低端价格8500element/吨，较昨日价格涨50element/吨；聚丙烯粉料价格8300element/吨左右，较昨日价格稳定；聚乙烯线型价格8000element/吨左右，较昨日价格涨50element/吨；华东地区聚丙烯拉丝市场低端价格8650element/吨，较昨日价格涨100element/吨；聚乙烯线型市场价格8050element/吨，较昨日价格涨50element/吨。聚烯烃现货市场价格小幅度反弹，盘面反弹，基差走弱，市场成交情况较好。

   silver2102：

    上周白银最高触及5470，长阳线报收。形态上，上周回踩阶段获得提示支撑4950reach5000一带，后续反弹阶段依次抵达提示目标5200reach5300一带，进入反弹回升走势。对于周内走势，重点观察冲击测试5500一带表现，如进一步突破该线，则将打开中期上涨空间，波段目标参考5700and6000位置合理。

    建议：白银周内重点留意5500，该线对应长期横向强阻位置，周五晚间顺利给出多单减持机会，该线之下运行阶段，回踩支撑参考5300一线，之上运行维持回升延续预期，如遇5500冲高突破，留意提示目标测试表现。

   thread2105：

    上周螺纹最高触及4317，长阳线报收。形态上，上周连续阳线持续冲高，期价上扬至4300附近，受钢坯价格暴涨带动，预计早盘还将冲击4400一带，如进一步突破该线，则是极端涨停走势，不过阶段盘面进入高位，谨防大幅高开杀跌走势实现。

    建议：螺纹周内重点留意4230一线，之上运行阶段仍是上涨走势延续，日内重点观察4400一带冲击表现，多单可以冲高逐步离场，之后大概率应有回落杀跌实现，回落低点依次注意4350and4300两档目标。

    Written at the end of the article: Friends who work in futures know that futures are traded on a time share basis, at night11The market will stop at midnight, and traders don't have to stay up late to watch the market. That's really tiring. For doinggoldcrude oilAs a trader, the author has always emphasized a state of investment: strict light position operation, strict stop loss, strict reduction of operation, not investing too much funds in trading, treating trading as a pastime. It doesn't matter if you lose or win every day, and it doesn't affect the normal operation of your family. In this way, even with the wind and waves blowing, you can still be better than idle walking, and there is no need to stay up late to read and analyze the market. Once the market fluctuates greatly, you will be jumpy, Don't ruin your health by not making a profit on your account.

   

   Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat:wdckdj。