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Life is a constantly changing process, and trading is a trial and error process!The main problem faced in situations where errors continue to occur is the shrinking of funds and psychological suffering!A trader must reduce the probability of errors occurring!How to improve probability, Liang Qiandong proposed a viewpoint to share with everyone - the problem is wealth!Do you want to have wealth or avoid wealth? Everyone has a great right - the right to choose!What a trader never changes is to do everything possible to make themselves right. Risk control is a condition that a trader must possess, not to trade for the sake of trading!Investment is to make money, to earn profits, not to spend money on technology, not to spend money on experience. If investment does not yield returns, it is consumption. Don't forget the initial purpose of investing. If your current abilities are not enough to support your current situation, then you need a military commander to help you control the overall situation. One choice is a turning point! One attempt is an opportunity
Liang Qiandong【lqd1918】Renowned financial bloggers focus on spot goodsgoldLondon Gold, Analysis of Gold Trends crude oilOperational recommendations,foreign exchangemarket USD exchange rate, USD index
Explanation of the Gold Market Next Week
News: Yesterday's gold price fell, and spot gold briefly fell close30The US dollar has reached a new low in the past week, reaching1894.74dollar/Ounces, further weighing on gold prices due to better than expected US employment data, a strengthening US dollar, continuous rise in US bond yields, and concerns about the possibility of an economic stimulus plan before the US presidential election. But Speaker of the US House of Representatives Pelosi once again hinted at progress in stimulus talks, keeping gold prices at a close of1900美元上方。贵金属futures整体疲软,皆拜美元走强及国债收益率上涨所赐;二者使不提供收益率的贵金属价格遭受双重打击。美国国会仍在就刺激法案进行磋商。标普500The weekly decline of the index narrowed, while financial stocks rose nearly2%Energy stocks followed the rise in oil prices, while small cap stocks rose1.5%. Negotiations on Washington's stimulus plan remain the focus of investors' attention, and lawmakers are still in negotiations. Although House Speaker Pelosi expressed optimism about reaching a deal with the government, the Republican controlled Senate still opposes a large-scale agreement, which reduces the likelihood of reaching a deal before the election.
Technical aspect: Gold fell from its high yesterday and closed down, taking back all the room for early week gains, reaching its highest level1925.60.Lowest dip to1894.80.It almost reached the starting and low points of the week. Near the end of the week, there was a fluctuation near the low point of the parallel line and the daily line closed at a low point. During the daily chart harvest, both positive and negative were swallowed, and structurally, it seems to be weakening. Of course, the rebound from the low level of the US dollar has played a certain suppressive role. Today's weekly closing work, after exploring high and falling at the beginning of the week, touched10At present, the suppression of the weekly trend suggests that today's closing should be at10Below the weekly line. And below, there is competition1890-1894The gains and losses of the low point, if the weekly chart closes at a low point, will continue a weak downward trend next week.
Gold currently4The hour was accompanied by a bottoming and rebounding needle and thread, while also supported by Brindow and the low points at the beginning of the week. The continuation of the strength of today's Asian market is not obvious.KThe line shape may seem weak, but I dare not be overly bearish for the time being even if it has not fallen below the low point of the range. Mainly due to the high frequency of repeated oscillations this week. If the European market remains stable after opening1894Above the low point, a short-term rebound is not ruled out to regain lost ground again. If treated as a weak market, the premise is that if the European market can fall below1894.So the resistance point of the subpan is1908-1910Between. This is a radical void for the continuation of weakness. Weak rebound cannot be high, as a high rebound will lead to volatility. Overall, Liang Qiandong's personal suggestion for the short-term operation of gold today is to focus on rebounding from high altitude, supplemented by a pullback and long trading, with a focus on short-term operations above1907-1912Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1887-1882Frontline support. Can you please communicate with me about the situation where you have orders and covers on hand? As Liang Qiandong is not aware of the specific locations and positions of your orders, it is not possible to provide corresponding strategies for resolving them. Please add/Jialiang Qiandong Official\/Micro:lqd1918Unlock your order.
Interpretation of crude oil market next week
Message: Friday(10month23The price of crude oil in Shanghai fell. Main contract2012To265.3element/Bucket closing, down1.7element/Barrel, decline0.64%. US crude oil futures prices fell slightly, trading in40dollar/Near the barrel, the resurgence of the European and American epidemic continues to impact the already sluggish demand outlook, despite Russian President Putin stating that he will be prepared to extend the record breaking supply reduction time in the face of the virus epidemic. The possibility of reaching a stimulus agreement in the United States before the election is still limited, and there is also a bearish outlook on both supply and demand in the oil market. The epidemic is still impacting the demand outlook of the oil market, the United States24Newly confirmed cases within hours75829For example, the record high number of virus infections on European Day, coupled with further lockdown measures, all indicate poor fuel demand. As the eastern armed forces lift the blockade and resume loading,10Libya's oil exports are accelerating this month, which has exacerbated supply concerns. Libya's oil production has rebounded to around5010000 barrels/The government predicts that production will double by the end of this year. AustriaJBCEnergy stated that due to the lack of factors to stimulate demand recovery, it has lowered its global oil demand expectations for the rest of this year and early next year; European crude oil demand may experience a resurgence of weakness due to the rebound in the epidemic, while the lack of gasoline demand in the United States is a concern. The World Bank stated that the epidemic may have a "sustained impact" on oil demand by changing consumption and employment behavior.
Technical aspect: On the daily line, crude oil started to explore high and fall back the next day, falling below the medium track20The daily position recorded a heavy overcast period, and today's market opening was held on the medium track20Running below the daily line, while the top moving average is highly oppressive, it may continue to decline or rise and fall within the day;4On the hour, the next day, crude oil fluctuated and fell below the middle track, punctured the lower track, and extended its operation. Currently, the Bollinger Belt is in an opening period,MAThe moving average moves out of the double dead cross,KDJRandom indicator three line slightly upward curved hook,MACDThe green kinetic energy column of the indicator continues to increase in volume, and the fast slow line has a dead fork downward. Overall, Liang Qiandong's personal suggestion for short-term crude oil operations next week is to prioritize low to high levels. Top short-term focus42.0-42.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.5-39.0Frontline support. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only. Specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add guidance from Liang QiandongvYour words:lqd1918Obtaining guidance quota
The most important thing about investing is not how much you can earn a week at a time. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods. As long as they are suitable for you, achieving stable profits is a good method. Operational risk is an objective and inevitable factor, and under certain conditions, it also has certain patterns. There are many investors in the market, some of whom do not believe in evil. As someone who has tried to persuade you, you must listen to some principles. If you do not listen to such experiences, you will understand some trading principles. It is actually easy to stay away from losses. In fact, the market writes a lot of analysis articles, and the strength of analysts lies not in the content of the article, but in the real order. Because the market is constantly changing, the real order has value. After implementing a set of strategies, the strategy is right and simple, The market has a regular pattern, and the operation requires methods. It is easy to accept the best one and make a profit.
I hope everyone can overcome the most difficult stage of market trading and give themselves enough time and opportunities to embark on a stable and profitable path, rather than being overwhelmed by short-term difficulties and pressure. I am Liang Qiandong, and I am very grateful for being able to patiently read through some of my personal experiences. I also wish every investor can overcome difficulties and bravely climb the peak of market trading.
Author Liang Qiandong - On Jinshi/Oil market/equity market/The bond market and other major global financial markets have in-depth and unique insights, mainly using price control to accurately predict high and low prices. The main research directions include volume price spatiotemporal, Gann astrogram, etc |
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