10.23黄金为什么暴跌？黄金走势分析及建议。

　　2020year10month22daygold白银交易提醒：金价周三(10month21day)上涨近1%，盘中一度触及逾一周高点，因投资者乐观地认为美国将在11month3日总统大选前宣布冠状病毒援助计划，打压美元，并增强了黄金作为通胀对冲工具的吸引力。美国众议院议长佩洛西日内称有可能达成经济刺激协议。对援助谈判的状态感到“比较满意”，希望在选举前达成经济刺激协议。会有经济刺激法案，只是时间问题。美国总统特朗普表示，他认为众议院议长佩洛西和参议院民主党领袖舒默“不会愿意在刺激计划上为我们伟大的美国工人，或我们伟大的美国本身做任何正确的事情。”

　　对刺激计划最终取得突破的押注增加，推动美元跌至近两个月低点，令持有其他货币的黄金价格下跌。

　　黄金被认为是对抗通胀、货币贬值和不确定性的对冲工具，今年以来的涨幅已超过26%，这主要是由于全球出台了前所未有的刺激措施，以缓冲经济在冠状病毒引发的衰退中受到的冲击。Matousek说道：“是什么创造了这种需求，推动金价走高？是持续的经济刺激、持续的负利率、人们担心新冠病毒的蔓延会加剧，因为黄金被认为是安全的避风港。”

Analysis of Gold Message Surface:

Thursday（10month22日）亚盘时段，现货黄金创逾一周新高至1920.45dollar/盎司；美元创一个月新低，业内分析师指出，如果稍后美国财政援助协议如预期达成，那么市场乐观情绪会被进一步释放，这将导致避险美元进一步遭到抛售，从而对金价构成短线利多，推动现货黄金价格升破上周的高点1933美元，而短期内，美国大选选情的进一步发酵才是左右金价走势的关键。如果大选结果无法在第一时间出炉陷入扯皮僵局，由此带来的政治风险将令所有美元资产遭到全线抛售，从而令金价迎来扶摇直上的契机。今天，欧洲央行行长拉加德的言论可能提供中期走势。美国大选前的最后一场总统辩论将于周四在田纳西州的纳什维尔直播，届时也可能对市场造成一定影响。随着越发临近投票日，相信两党如果有任何压箱底的武。器，这个时候都会陆续放出，因此选举形势将会充满着各种突发和不确定性，市场风险情绪的波动也会加大。

Analysis of International Gold Market:

　　黄金技术面，日线级别来看，黄金目前处于三角末端整理，今日黄金延续其连续三天的上涨势头，目前日线级别有望连续三连阳态势，重点关注今日收盘，因为金价料将在1913It remains to be seen whether gold prices will continue to rise if they break through the triangular range by bottoming out, unless the closing price is above the resistance of the downward trend line1913.50Above the US dollar, then a bull market break can be confirmed. And fall behind100Daily moving average1877美元将面临考验。

　　短线方面，黄金日线大型头肩顶右肩2015Downward channel pressure1924As long as there is no breakthrough in the region, the daily line small head and shoulder top shape is still effective. Currently1933It's the top, left shoulder1920In the region, the right shoulder can be lower than the left shoulder, and of course, it can also be slightly higher than the left shoulder, after all, the impact of the loose stimulus bill news. However, although this rebound is higher than the left shoulder, it is still under the strong pressure of the daily downward channel, which means a breakthrough1920The intensity and magnitude of the breakthrough have not reached the significance of inducing more completion, which is even more crucial today's early market gap1907区域一直没有回补，显然多头行情走完。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上古月通铭个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1912-1915Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1900-1895Frontline support.

　　做单就需要对行情节奏的精准把握，该出手时果断出击，该收网时及时获利，二者缺一不可。困难总是存在的，如何调整好心态想办法克服才是我们应该思考的问题：

　　1Don't try to buy the lowest and sell the highest, that's the work of God; The key to operation lies in being fast, ruthless, and accurate. Learn to wait and never take action lightly until the best point of action is reached. After making a move, the vast majority of people focus on how much they can earn, while I only look at whether the market is as expected. As long as it's not as expected, the first action is to stop loss!

　　2On9:15Don't take action before, see clearly what the main force is trying to say. Judging today's trend before taking action, although it may not yield maximum profits, it can protect oneself.

　　3When placing an order, immediately set a stop loss price to not exceed30Point limit. At the same time, update the take profit and stop loss prices daily to ensure that profits are not taken back. After stopping losses, reflect on why you made the wrong order, where there are blind spots in your operations, and how to avoid these blind spots?If you don't understand, just ask. Some questions may not be answered by relying solely on one's own thinking for a lifetime.

　　4Using the ten day moving average as a reference for entering and exiting. Not being short on the ten day line and not being long on the ten day line can at least avoid fatal risks, which usually arise from the persistence in judging the market trend. The disk is alive, but of course, the brain also needs to follow suit. Adapting to changing circumstances isfuturesOne of the essential conditions for a master.

　　5When is a trend plate and when is a consolidation plate??If the short - to medium-term moving average is in a dilemma, it usually starts with a wave of ups and downs. A trend plate is breaking5After the daily moving average3If the daily trend still cannot be restored, it is considered consolidation. The number of days in the market depends on the duration of the trend. For example, if a bullish market cannot continue to reach new highs, it indicates that the market has entered consolidation. The longer the rise time, the longer the consolidation time is usually. In addition, after a period of upward or downward trend, it is easy to break through the upward or downward trend line. At this time, one should appear first because the trend has already changed.

　　6During the consolidation period, regardless of whether there is innovation or not, one only needs to check whether the original trend has changed. If the trend remains unchanged, only different consolidation patterns will be presented.

　　7Turning point: The so-called turning point refers to the turning point of rising along the original trend or the turning point of reversing the trend, commonly known as a turning point. This part is too complex. In addition to the so-called bull or bear failures that occur during trading, the entanglement of moving averages is also an observation method, while the other is the so-called time wave. The topic discussed in this article is the turning point of time waves. Especially when used in conjunction with moving averages, it has high accuracy. The discrimination method is:RSIorKDDraw a pressure line or support line based on the high and low points, if possible50If the position intersects, then that position is the variable inventory. In terms of usage, the turning force drawn on the daily line will be stronger than that drawn on the hourly line, while the hourly line(or15Minute line)More accurate prediction of inventory changes than daily charts.

　　8Gap: For reversal patterns, if there is a gap at the opening(broken)5If the daily chart and backtesting are guarded, special caution should be taken because this is a sign of strong bullish or bearish sentiment. At this time, it is advisable to pause and observe, but there is still no need to immediately enter the market for reverse operations. becauseVThe emergence of the type reversal pattern is based on an instantaneous oversold. Otherwise, a second foot usually appears(Or head)。

　　9Do not allow profits to turn into losses: Some intraday traders establish positions and,Immediate book surplus appears,But they overlooked the opportunity to close their positions for profit,In the end, it turned into a losing business. I suggest that once a position is established, it should immediately adapt to changes in the market,Set a stop loss price. When the market reverses,This can ensure profits.

　　对于想学习投资技术和知识的朋友，我很赞同。古月通铭个人认为投资朋友在投资的过程中提高自身能力，用自己所掌握的技术知识来分析及操作，并乐在其中，爱上这个投资而不是恐惧。恐惧是因为没有实力没有判断力。古月通铭一直推崇的就是在指导的过程中去慢慢学习掌握常用的技术指标（均线、MACD、KDJ、支撑位、阻力位等）结合基本面来进行分析行情走势及具体的操作点位，逐步地提高自己的综合分析能力，并锻炼自己的心态。慢慢一步步成长起来，毕竟投资是一个长期的过程。所以古月通铭带投资朋友也遵循这一原则：授之以鱼不如授之以渔，我会教你从最基本的做起。

　　古月通铭寄语：

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　　本文由古月通铭（微信：tmjs0887）供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对黄金、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，古月通铭老师在线解套，亏损回本，一对一实时指导微信：tmjs0887Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.