Li Lianying:10.12Analysis of the evening market trend of gold and crude oil and the latest operational suggestions

The most important thing in investing is not how much you can earn in a week, but whether you can make stable profits. Short term fluctuations, medium term bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods. As long as they are suitable for oneself and can achieve stable profits, they are all good methods. As the ancients said, "Don't do small things for good, and don't do small things for evil. The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right.
　　
　　gold消息面解析：上周特朗普改口恢复谈判，提升了市场对美国推出新一轮财政刺激的预期，帮助美国股市大涨，避险美元大跌创三周新低，金价则顶破了1920At one point, it reached a three week high to1933.26dollar/Ounces; Although Trump and Pelosi blamed each other for the deadlock in negotiations over the weekend, reducing the possibility of short-term stimulus measures and posing a certain risk of a pullback in short-term gold prices, it is expected that there will still be a certain opportunity for gold prices to rise this week.
　　
On the one hand, the Federal Reserve will maintain ultra-low interest rates for a long period of time; On the other hand, with the severe deterioration of the overseas epidemic, it is likely that the United States will still launch a new round of stimulus plans, and the possibility of further monetary easing by the European Central Bank has significantly increased. The possibility of negative interest rates by central banks such as the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve of New Zealand has also significantly increased, which still helps gold prices continue to fluctuate and rise.
　　
Analysis of International Gold Market: From a technical perspective, gold has risen through repeated fluctuations this week1.62%Last week, the market mainly focused on the expectations of the new round of fiscal stimulus plan in the United States. It is worth noting that on Friday, there was an attitude towards a large-scale fiscal stimulus plan180The transformation has also become the main factor that led to the final significant increase in gold prices this week. Last Friday, the daily line of gold closed with a bare head and bare feet, and the daily level showed three consecutive highs, further reaching the resistance level in the early stage. After forming a double bottom at the bottom, the gold price rose in a wide range, and Brin showed an opening period,MACDThere is a tendency to regroup into golden forks,KDJRandom indicator three line up, reaching overbought,MACDThe red kinetic energy column is starting to increase in volume, and the fast and slow lines are gathering gold. The bulls are relatively strong,4hourKDJThe third line continues to rise,MACDThe golden fork, Brin's mouth pointing upwards,KThe line is folded on the upper track, and the short line is expected to further explore upwards. Overall, Li Lianying's personal suggestion for gold's short-term operation today is to focus on a pullback and buy long, supplemented by a rebound in high altitude Top short-term focus1940-1945Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:1The rebound above the gold does not break1943-1945Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1932-1930frontline;2The pullback below the gold does not break1918-1920Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1930-1932frontline;3、盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以李联赢微信（李联赢）实盘为准；美crude oilMessage analysis: Monday（10month12Japan) US Oil has fallen, currently trading in40.21dollar/Barrel, Down1.21%. Although Hurricane Delta forced American energy companies to reduce production, the end of the strike by Norwegian oil workers should increase crude oil production. Libya lifts force majeure measures against the Salara oil field. If the Salara oil field is fully restored, Libya's oil production will reach60Ten thousand barrels, this new supply cannot be ignored.
　　
According to data from Baker Hughes, the total number of oil wells drilled in the United States recorded193Mouth, for6month12The highest level since the beginning of the current week, although still far below the level before the outbreak700Mouth. Recently, the epidemic has rebounded, and US experts have warned that the flu season may be more severe, and the economy may decline again in the fourth quarter, which is not conducive to oil prices.
　　
Analysis of US crude oil market: From the perspective of crude oil technology, the daily closing stabilized and pulled up the Zhongyang, which is close to opening a decline in the early stage41.8-42The region is currently lagging behind, and the overall trend in the near future is still dominated by a wide range of fluctuations. Although bulls have experienced continuous upward movements, they have still not broken through the recent range of fluctuations. On the daily chart, the Bollinger Belt runs downward with three tracks,MA5On the moving averageMA10The moving average crosses the golden cross upwards,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA60Near the moving average,MACDThe red kinetic energy gradually increases upwards at the intersection of the fast and slow lines,KDJThe third line runs in a golden cross upward divergence, and the daily chart market shows a certain strong trend; From a four hour perspective, the Bollinger Belt runs three tracks upwards,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average continues to rise with a golden cross,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACDThe speed line appears as a golden cross, easing upwards, and the red kinetic energy slows down,KDJThe three-line crossover runs upwards and diverges, with a certain amount of upward mobility in the short term. Overall, Li Lianying's personal suggestion for the short-term operation of crude oil today is to focus on a pullback and buy long, supplemented by a rebound in high altitude, with a focus on short-term operations above41.3-41.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below39.5-39.0Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:


    1Crude oil rebounded to41.3-41.5Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target40.4-40.2frontline;


                     
    2Crude oil callback to39.0-39.2Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target40.3-40.5frontline;


                     
    3The market is constantly changing, and the points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market should be cautious. For more details, please follow Li Lianying's official account||Wei: Li Lian wins;


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