Li Lianying:9.20下周原油将陷入震荡 TD金银走势

Life is a constantly changing process, and trading is a trial and error process!The main problem faced in situations where errors continue to occur is the shrinking of funds and psychological suffering!A trader must reduce the probability of errors occurring!如何提高概率，老师提出一个观点与大家共勉——问题就是财富!Do you want to have wealth or avoid wealth? Everyone has a great right - the right to choose!What a trader never changes is to do everything possible to make themselves right. Risk control is a condition that a trader must possess, not to trade for the sake of trading!Investment is to make money, to earn profits, not to spend money on technology, not to spend money on experience. If investment does not yield returns, it is consumption. Don't forget the initial purpose of investing. If your current abilities are not enough to support your current situation, then you need a military commander to help you control the overall situation. One choice is a turning point! One attempt is an opportunity
　　
　　goldMarket analysis:
　　
News: This week, several officials of the Federal Reserve will make speeches, focusing on the hearing of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell in Congress, and US Treasury Nuqin will also testify at the hearing. On the central bank side, the Federal Reserve of New Zealand and the Swiss Central Bank will announce9The monthly interest rate resolution suggests that the Federal Reserve of New Zealand may further relax monetary policy, while the Swiss central bank is concerned about whether it intends to emphasize the issue of the Swiss franc exchange rate. In addition, news about global health events, Brexit, and US fiscal stimulus may continue to be monitored.
　　
Market hotspots this week
　　
　　① Monday(9month21day)The Federal Reserve held a public meeting on the Community Reinvestment Act.
　　
　　② Tuesday(9month22day)US Construction Permit, Existing Home Sales, USAPIcrude oil库存、鲍威尔和努钦的听证会，英国央行行长贝利在英国商会的网络会议上发表讲话。
　　
　　③ Wednesday(9month23day)New Zealand Federal Reserve Resolution: A Series of Manufacturing Industries in the EurozonePMIManufacturing industry in the United StatesPMI，EIACrude oil inventory report, Powell testimony, Bank of Japan Governor Tohiko Kuroda delivered an online speech to major business leaders.
　　
　　④ Thursday(9month24day)The Swiss Central Bank has decided to request data from the United States at the beginning of the week, with testimonies from US Treasury Nuchin and Federal Reserve Powell, and speeches from Federal Reserve Rosengren, Quales, and Daley.
　　
　　⑤ Friday(9month25day)US durable goods orders, leading indicators for the week, with speeches from Federal Reserve officials Brad, Evans, and Williams.
　　
　　技术面：因美元走软，且市场对经济从卫生事件中复苏的步伐感到担忧。现货黄金周五上涨，收报1950.85dollar/Ounces, up6.42美元涨幅0.33%The lowest touch in the plate1943.98dollar/盎司，盘中最高触及1960.13dollar/盎司。本周，现货黄金上涨10.03USD, increase0.53%，为连续第二周上涨；
　　
Looking at the daily chart,MACD死叉，但绿柱动能微弱，KDJ金叉，布林带收口后偏向水平运行，继续关注布林线轨道1911.61-1985.44区域突破情况，在突破该区域之前，预计金价短线将维持震荡走势。上方阻力首先关注周五高点1960.13，若突破，则金价可能会重新试探近期高点1973.56附近阻力，进一步阻力上看布林带上轨1985.44，金价需要企稳该位置上方才有机会再次冲击2000Da Guan.
　　
　　不过，市场对全球经济从卫生事件中复苏的乐观预期也限制了金价的涨幅，同时投资者还要关注美国财政刺激政策和美国大选的进展。而实物黄金买盘方面，央行购金有所减弱；技术面来看，由于MACD死叉信号仍在，且金价近期多次在上方密集成交区1975附近受阻回落，所以短线仍然需要警惕金价震荡回落的风险，若金价下破周四低点低点1932.97附近支撑，那么金价将重新试探布林带下轨1911.61附近支撑。强支撑仍然关注1900关口，该位置是重要的心理支撑，短期来看，预计该关口不会轻易跌破，一旦该位置失守，新的下行空间将被再次打开；综合来看，黄金短线仍将维持震荡走势，继续关注1911.61-1985.44区域突破情况，区间不破，操作思路上老师建议高沽低渣即可，破位区间再调整思路；
　　
Focus on resistance above:1960.13、1973.56；
　　
Focus on support below:1932.97、1911.61
　　
Analysis of crude oil market
　　
Message surface;沙特阿拉伯对OPEC+Warnings from cheaters and short sellers in the alliance help create oil prices6The largest weekly increase since the month, New York10Monthly crude oilfutures上周大涨9.6%Brent11月原油期货上周涨近8%, Junchuang6月以来最大单周涨幅。上周四OPEC中最具有影响力的国家沙特阿拉伯展示了捍卫石油市场的决心。沙特暗示他们已准备好进行新的减产，并猛烈抨击了在遵守产量限额方面作弊的OPEC+成员国。上周五油价一度短暂下跌了1.6％，因为利比亚军事指挥官Khalifa Haftar表示，他将允许恢复原油生产和出口。但是，这份与该国副总理达成协议排除了利比亚国家石油公司，因此是否会真正重启出口尚不清楚Strategic Energy & Economic Research的总裁Michael Lynch称，押注利比亚石油供应恢复似乎是一个冒险的选择，因此交易员可能不愿在周末前对此大量下注。他还表示，沙特周四的明确表态使市场参与者充满信心，相信可以“依靠OPEC将产量阀门关闭更长一段时间”。到第四季，油市短缺将达到30010000 barrels/日，并重申其价格预测，即布伦特原油均价到年底达到每桶49美元，到2021年第三季度到每桶65美元。瑞银也指出了供应不足的可能性，预计布伦特原油均价将在第四季升至每桶45美元，到2021年年中升至每桶55美元。一个热带低压在墨西哥湾西部形成，未来几天可能升级成为飓风，料威胁到更多的美国石油设施。
　　
　　技术面：原油最近多头延续上扬，先踩后涨，回踩是确认支撑，上涨是主趋势，基本符合预期，我们最近思路一路做多，形成单边上涨.日线收盘在高位，收成中阳线。短线结构有收复此前回落失地之迹象，但是突破的机率相对较小，最终上探后会进入局部停顿震荡修正，1The hourly chart forms a small upward trend, with the previous day's low point being today's bullish critical point and breaking through the high point at the same time40.20Conversion to support nearby, recently stepping back to break through the high point and taking advantage of the trend to see a wave of inertia rising. From the perspective of large cycles, the current crude oil price has once again been operating in a bullish upward range;4小时图和小时图连阳单阴运行于强势反弹节奏中，多头仍将延续，所以综合分析周初操作上老师建议回调做多为主，高空为辅，上方关注42-42.5One line of resistance, pay attention below39-39.5Frontline support.
　　
The investment market always has four levels: maintaining principal, controlling risks, earning returns, and achieving long-term stable and sustainable profits. Don't rely on the outcome of a day's gains or losses, whether making money is accidental or inevitable, whether it is through real effort or luck. Those who can survive in the market are definitely the investors who can ultimately sustain long-term profits. Trading is a good habit, strictly follow your trading plan.
　　
A rigorous transaction=Good mentality control+correct position control+excellent technical skills, never buying or selling forcefully in cooperation.
　　
Opportunities are reserved for those who are prepared, and a correct choice is greater than a hundred times the effort, You trust the teacher, I will give you a satisfactory return. You just need it, I am just professional!
　　
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