Liang Qiandong8.27黄金原油多空徘徊，今日走势预测及短线操作建议附解套

Blind intervention in the market, random search for teachers, a panicked mentality, and uncontrolled risk operations may be the reasons for your failure. Even if you are covered in bruises and unhappy in the market, are you willing to leave the market at the end of high profits, and are you happy to give up halfway? Fear of continuing to lose money is just an excuse for lack of confidence in oneself. Experience in various industries is the most important, and there is specialization in the field. Who, including myself, has not paid tuition fees in the early stage? I can walk from losses to the finish line, and I believe you are only a few stages away—— Inspired by your thoughts, dedicated to investors struggling and lost in losses

　

Spotgoldquotations analysis
　　
Message: International Spot Gold Wednesday(8month26day)触低反弹，逼近1955美元一线关口，美国商务部最新宣布制裁24家参与建岛的中国企业。这是中/美紧张的最新信号，似乎在一定程度引发市场避险情绪升温，进而引发黄金反弹。另一方面，市场在全球央行年会前整体保持谨慎，投资者静待美联储主席鲍威尔将在会议中就目前货币政策框架的评估结果发表的讲话。若在此次年会中，鲍威尔暗示将针对前瞻性指引推出新的货币政策工具，对金价无疑是重大的利多。目前黄金价格上行动力不足，主要是美国货币政策的宽松度没达到市场预期，多头暂时无法找到下一个推动金价上涨的因素，而美联储的态度是近期最有望重振贵金属价格的因素。若鲍威尔在年会上的发言仍维持前期的说辞，无疑是对多头的再一次重创。毫无疑问，本周的年会将使得贵金属价格剧烈波动，而美联储的态度则是决定黄金价格走势的关键。　　
　　
Technical aspect:日线图来看，MACD死叉，绿柱动能强劲，KDJ死叉；布林带持续收口，金价在中轨下方承压，短线仍然存在震荡回调的风险，下方支撑首先关注5Daily moving average1938，进一步支撑参考1925，若下破则金价将再次回踩1900关口附近支撑，一旦下破该位置，或将引发新一轮的抛售，届时金价将直接回踩8month12Daily low point1863.16；不过，美盘时段，金价自日低1902.48迅速拉升近47USD, approaching1950关口，短线看空信号已经明显削弱，上方初步阻力关注10Daily moving average1950.51，进一步阻力在布林带中轨1960，由于金价在近5个交易日受到该位置，阻力相对较强，若突破则金价将有机会再次冲击2000大关！综合来看，在金价有效突破布林带中轨附近阻力之前，短线仍然存在震荡回调的风险，所以短线操作思路上梁乾东个人建议暂时以高空为主，低多为辅。
　　
　　futurescrude oilLatest market analysis:
　　
　　消息面：油价周三持稳，一方面美国原油库存下降，另一方面，墨西哥湾沿岸炼油厂停产迎接飓风劳拉，预计原油需求将疲软。美国政府的数据显示，上周国内原油库存减少近500万桶，连续第五周下降，对石油市场是个利好迹象。由于新冠疫情破坏需求，石油市场库存依然处于数十年来最高季节性水平。
　　
　　EIA周三公布的数据显示，上周美国原油出口增加12010000 barrels/Day, for2019year2月以来最大增幅，至近340万桶日。同时，随着飓风劳拉即将登陆，墨西哥湾超过80%的石油产能和大约30010000 barrels/日的炼油产能关闭。飓风走向进一步向东偏移，对休斯敦地区炼油厂和港口造成严重破坏的可能性降低；此外，美国汽油需求依然比上年同期低了约10%to15%，且供应充足。
　　
Technical aspect: 原油技术面来看，原油从日线上来看，昨日原油延续前几个交易日走势，继续持于中上轨盘整运行，日线录得带上下影线的小阴，原油四小时走势图上来看，近期呈现明显的震荡走势，布林带三轨走平，油价在布林带上轨和下轨之间运行，布林带上轨形成压力，布林带下轨形成支撑；梁乾东从K线形态上看，昨日油价在布林带上轨受到压力之后，收出两根长上引线，说明该区间压力巨大；梁乾东从均线上来看，四小时级别的EMA144Mean Square andEMA169均线仍然为美原油的走势提供了支撑作用，并且最近两次的回落都恰好在均线处受到支撑，这说明美原油整体上还是偏向多头的，只是暂未启动而已。分别在关键位置为美原油画出了一条水平支撑线和一条水平阻力线，预计今日美原油若能回踩至支撑线，仍将获得支撑。综合来看，原油今日短线操作短线思路上梁乾东个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注44.5-45.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below42.5-42.0Frontline support.
　　For some people, this market may already be physically and mentally exhausted, from being full of hope for exposure to gold investment, to being afraid of entering the market with heavy losses, losing even without the confidence to encourage oneself. Perhaps it is really not suitable for this market, whether in terms of strength or mentality, cannot do well. At one point, I sought a teacher who can help you, but also ended up losing money. I am not happy to continue to stay in the gold market, and I am not willing to leave the gold market, This may be the current situation faced by many investors. Any investment carries certain risks, either not doing it or making a name for it. So on the road of investment, I can't give you too much warmth. I can only help you regain confidence, I can't provide too much comfort. I can only learn from operation, I can't give you too many false promises, I can only help you understand market rules in practical practice