Liang Qiandong8.13疫苗出黄金避险暴跌，今日操作低多为主，原油震荡需警惕

The quality of the market does not depend on how much fluctuation there is, but on how much profit you can capture. No matter how big the market is, what cannot be grasped is also in vain. No matter how small the market is, as long as it fluctuates within a normal range, arbitrage back and forth can also yield considerable benefits. As long as there is the sea in my heart, there are beaches everywhere, love in my heart, and sunshine everywhere. Whether life is beautiful or not depends on a positive attitude towards life. Those who don't have money envy the happiness of those who don't, and those who envy the happiness of those who don't. Happiness comes from a mindset, born from within. What kind of attitude you have towards things will lead to different outcomes, and investment itself is a cultivation of oneself. Continuous cultivation is the key to being promoted to the ranks of successful individuals. To go further, who to walk with is the key. The path to profitability, step by step, step by step! What matters in life is not where you have been before, but where you will go in the future! Direction determines success or failure, thinking determines results! Think today, work tomorrow, and succeed the day after tomorrow! Today I see, tomorrow I think, and the day after tomorrow I fail!

　

Spotgold行情解读：
　　
Message face:8month12日，现货黄金创三周新低至1863附近，目前最高回升1949美元，黄金过快的涨势使得黄金陷入严重的超买，从技术面上看黄金亟需进行回调，但是在全球持续宽松以及经济下行的背景下，市场又缺乏足够的理由；许多黄金交易商都在“寻找锁定利润的借口”，而周二俄罗斯冠状病毒疫获得批准后找到了抛售黄金的理由，这使得黄金遭遇大幅的抛售，同时美元在持续走低创出逾两年低位后有所企稳，此外作为黄金重要推动因素的黄金ETF持仓近期出现一些抛售，近几个交易日累计下降10吨，尽管总量不大，但是为3月以来最大的抛售力度，凸显市场对于持有黄金兴趣下降。不过，仍需要留意逢低买盘的支撑情况。
　　
　　技术面：黄金从日线上来看，昨日日线大幅跳水，日线收成实体大阴线且收在低位，暗示弱势仍将延续，指标上MACD死叉、绿柱能量增加，KDJDead cross, index at60附近，从技术面看，黄金短线同样有下行风险。下方首先关注1862早间回落低点支撑，一旦跌破，黄金将会试探布林带下轨1780。反之，上方还是先看中轨1935关口，进一步看MA5/10Daily moving average adhesion point1993。四小时来看，早间金价延续昨日跌势继续下行，跌破布林带下轨至1862，随后一根大阳柱反弹近80美金，但仍承压于MA10Below the moving average,KDJ三线开口向上，但是MACD仍死叉，绿柱能量强劲，短期均线也死叉向下发散，所以黄金短线有下行风险。今日依托MA10、MA20average1955/1993阻力看空！综合来看操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1955-1960Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1905-1900Frontline support;
　　
　　futurescrude oil行情解读：
　　
　　消息面：北京时间周三（8month12日）凌晨，美国石油协会（API）公布的数据显示，美国截至8month7Day and WeekAPIReduction in crude oil inventory401.1Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease320Ten thousand barrels; Reduced gasoline inventory121Ten thousand barrels; Reduced inventory of refined oil294.9Ten thousand barrels; After the data was released, the US oil company quickly rose in the short term and closed the report41.61dollar/Barrel, decline narrowed to0.79%. Market expectations for the United StatesAPICrude oil inventories have fallen for the third consecutive week, with actual reported declines exceeding expectations. Prior to the release of the data, Meiyou was hovering around41.50美元左右，并在公布后温和上涨。梁乾东认为，石油不能忽略贵金属的大幅修正。欧佩克内部仍然存在悬而未决的状况，还有大量的闲置产能。
　　
　　技术面：原油日线级别收线中阴线，高点破前高，低价没有破新低，出现了区间宽幅震荡，没有延续原油收阳线延续走高，而是继续维持区间震荡中。近期原油表现可以看出，原油就是维持一个窄幅震荡中，若进一步上破后有望出现新一波趋势行情，原油在四小时级别上看，原油一直延续在6month25日，原油触及37.2位置得到支撑后上涨的趋势线上方，若后市回撤继续守住在该位置支撑，大概率原油将出现延续上涨概率，就原油上方阻力位首先需要考验43.9Horizontal position resistance, further upbreak will test45.0美元阻力；若原油下行支撑位，首先需要关注39.5Position support, and then further testing38.0水平位置支撑。综合来看，原油今日短线操作短线思路上梁乾东个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注43.5-44.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.5-41.0Frontline support.
　　
Single duvet cover? Online solution:
　　
　　1.Investors who hold high positions can use the rebound market to unwind and exit, or reduce their positions when they encounter high positions; Once the market changes, the covered orders will immediately stop losing and be eliminated, and reverse positions will be established to compensate for losses;
　　
　　2.Investors with mid range hedging can temporarily wait and see, do not rush to cut orders. If there is an opportunity in the market, they can reduce their positions appropriately and increase their positions based on trend analysis combined with technical analysis to make up for losses;
　　
　　3.Investors who hold low positions can use the pullback market to unwind and exit, or reduce their positions on dips; Once there is a change in the market, the orders will be placed to stop losses and exit, and reverse positions will be established to compensate for losses.
　　The market situation is difficult to predict. In daily operations, many friends who engage in hedging may come to seek solutions. Hedging is basically the most common problem among investors nowadays, especially during the big market, when the direction of gold and crude oil's sudden rise and fall is difficult to predict. It is important for investors to control risks and take measures to stop profits and losses. We may sweep losses due to misjudgment, but once hedging occurs, So what follows closely is taking on orders or even cutting the flesh. Even if we unwind, we cannot expect to make a profit. The final loss is much more than the initial sweep loss. Therefore, we hope everyone remembers that when investing, we must first learn to control risks, and then profit.