Liang Qiandong8.6Suggestions on gold operations, real-time trend analysis of futures crude oil, with the latest trading strategy attached

Life is always about making choices and waiting for results. The road cannot always be smooth, there will always be obstacles, mediocrity is not the goal that everyone pursues. The investment market is also the same, it cannot be smooth sailing, and windfall profits are everyone's dream, but there are always various temptations and traps along the way. Accustomed to unilateral behavior, one is always stifled by shocks and washes, which is the law of the market. In the face of life, we are making choices. We can't make a detour, we can't make a river, we always have to resort to other methods. And the market, too, should not blindly pursue operation. Some markets may see profits, but they may not necessarily be able to earn profits.
　
　　gold早间快讯：
　　
Message analysis: Gold prices have reached new highs due to the weakening of the US dollar and a decrease in US bond yields; Gold prices surged to a record high on Wednesday, as the weakening US dollar and declining US bond yields prompted investors to hoard safe haven gold; Gold prices broke through for the first time on Tuesday2000The US dollar barrier; Gold prices have skyrocketed this year34%Yes2020One of the best performing assets of the year, investors bought a large amount of gold in the hope of preserving its value during the COVID-19 pandemic that disrupted the market; Investors are concerned that the economic stimulus measures introduced in response to the epidemic will trigger inflation and lead to the depreciation of other assets; The actual return on US government bonds has significantly decreased, making non yielding gold more attractive;
　　
The head of commodity strategy at Daoming Securities stated that we have seen the US dollar continue to deteriorate, US bond yields further decline, and inflation expectations rise; This means that in the foreseeable future, the opportunity cost of holding gold will become lower and lower; Washington's negotiations on a COVID-19 rescue plan reached an impasse, leading to the weakening of the dollar; The US dollar competes with gold for a safe haven position; The depreciation of the US dollar also makes gold cheaper for buyers holding other currencies; Silver prices have also surged, with a slight increase in intraday trading4.3%, to27.13dollar/Ounces, for2013year4The highest since the beginning of the month, with a late rise2.8%, to26.73USD; So far this year, it has skyrocketed50%The increase even exceeded that of gold; There are three factors for silver to rise. As a monetary asset, like gold, with the recovery and stimulus measures from the COVID-19 crisis, industrial demand improved, and supply problems.
　　
Technical analysis: Gold was a roller coaster market yesterday, starting from2055Directly fall all the way down to2028On the front line, a wave of pullback has caused many investment friends a headache, as many gold trading institutions have bought a large number of short orders and smashed the market5Billion US dollars, harvested a portion of leeks, analyzed from a technical perspective, gold4Breaking through the sorting interval during the hour1982-1985The high point forms a continuous positive release,MACDRaise the golden fork again. Short lineKThe line structure and indicators are still rising again. The short-term moving average forms a critical point for unilateral bulls.4Hours do not close on10Below the unit moving average, it will continue to rise slowly in the short term.1Hour chart and30Due to the continuous surge of the minute chart,KDIndicator overbought. Short term correction may be accompanied by a pullback. Liang Qiandong expects that after the Asian session rises, there will be a pause high or a correction transition to the European session. The inertial approach of the US market. Therefore, the high position in the Asian market is still not catching up with many, and we will choose a short term bearish trend with a high position first. After stabilizing, decide whether to backhand more, if it is a direct rapid decline. It is necessary to avoid the high and rapid sweep down market. Overall, Liang Qiandong suggests paying attention to the resistance above in terms of operation2048-2050First line, support attention from below2020-2018frontline.
　　
　　crude oil早间快讯：
　　
Message analysis: Wednesday(8month5day)The international oil price reached a new high in nearly two weeks, continuing the upward trend of the previous three trading days. Although the increase of global and US COVID-19 infection cases has weakened the market's confidence in the rising fuel demand, the sharp reduction of US crude oil stocks has supported oil prices. American Petroleum Institute(API)Tuesday(8month4day)According to the published data, as of8month1During the current week, crude oil inventories plummeted858.7Ten thousand barrels, to5.2Billion barrels, analysts estimate a decrease350Ten thousand barrels. Gasoline inventory unexpectedly decreased174.8Ten thousand barrels, analysts estimate an increase138.2Ten thousand barrels. Liang Qiandong stated:“(APIstock)The decline far exceeds expectations and almost confirms that US oil production has significantly decreased, possibly by millions of barrels per day. This is enough to enable investors to overcome their concerns about the economic slowdown caused by the COVID-19, and promote the rise of oil prices to get rid of the dull market conditions in the past more than a month. "
　　
Technical analysis: The US economic data has been continuously improving recently, andAPI原油库存大降，因此提振了市场的乐观情绪，推动布伦特原油futuresReceived3Since the beginning of the month, US crude oil has also reached its highest level in nearly two weeks42.08USD. Daily lineMACDandKDJDead fork operation; The Bollinger Belt continues to close, with oil prices trading narrowly above the mid track, resulting in weaker overall momentum and further stepping back on the Bollinger Belt's lower track in the short term39.53If there are signs of nearby support, if the position is missed, a short-term bearish signal will be added; Further support on60Daily moving average37.94Nearby, if it continues to lower, the oil price will directly step back6month15Daily low point34.36Nearby support, this position is from3Since the launch of the month, it has been tested multiple times and has strong reference value. It is expected that there is little possibility of a short-term breakthrough. Overall, Qiandong believes that the focus of the market still lies in the supply and demand balance of the oil market, and the continued spread of the epidemic continues to limit the increase in oil prices. However, Saudi Arabia continues to imply that it will maintain its oil exports8Month and7The month is at the same level, which partially alleviates the market's concerns aboutOPEC+Concerns about reducing the scale of production cuts; At the same time, the resumption of negotiations on a new round of US aid plans also provides some support for oil prices; Overall, Liang Qiandong's personal suggestion for short-term operation is to focus on a pullback and buy long, supplemented by a rebound in high altitude, with a focus on short-term operations above43.0-43.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.3-41.0Frontline support.
　　
Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning strategies. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to judge every segment of the market correctly.
　　The investment market has its own advantages and disadvantages. Why do I suggest investing heavily? Obviously, if you don't invest heavily, you won't be able to make or lose money, but you haven't fully utilized the market situation. It is a common principle for ordinary players not to engage in heavy warehouse operations and not to touch the top and copy the bottom, as this may seem safe on the surface and extend the life cycle, but in reality, it is impossible to make money. I have two requirements for entry points: one is to have a small stop loss, and the other is to bring in a breakeven stop loss after entering. By doing so, I can easily grasp these two points. In addition, stability and accuracy, as well as good cooperation, can be achieved.