Liang Qiandong7.29Exclusive market analysis of gold and crude oil, real-time operation suggestions for gold and crude oil within the day

InternationalgoldLatest Market Analysis

Tuesday（7month28Japanese goldT+DClosing up0.29%to425element/Ke, charge high and fall close3%; silverT+Drise2.52%to5645element/Kilogram, high level sliding500Yuan! Long positions in spot gold chose to take profits and fell within the day70Multiple US dollars, spot silver is even more volatile, from the highest26.188dollar/Ounces dropped to22.319dollar/Ounces, amplitude reached15.7%. The record breaking rise in gold shows signs of losing momentum, while silver has briefly fallen as investors begin to evaluate whether prices have risen too high or too fast. In addition, as some traders took profits, the US dollar also regained some of its earlier losses. In the short term, the upward trend of gold prices is somewhat excessive, and a correction may have already begun. Gold in8Rising within trading days10%By any standard, it is in an overbought state.
From a daily perspective, the price of gold has continued to soar, and as of today, it has8Lianyang, wave amplitude exceeding185USD. In terms of indicators,MACDThe energy of the golden fork and red kinetic energy column has increased, coupled with the upward movement of the Bollinger band opening, the bullish cloud band has also remained intact, and the signals of various lines have also remained bullish. Gold prices are still optimistic and upward, but it is worth noting that yesterday, due to the impact of fund smashing on the Asian stock market, gold quickly plunged below today's starting point, andKDJSending a serious overbought signal,The random indicator is turning downwards and attempting to form a dead cross, indicating that gold is facing a decline or high level adjustment. From the hourly line, the price of gold fluctuates back and forth, directly reaching20On the front line of the daily moving average, after a wave of retreat, short-term gold will enter a correction, and bulls will continue to exert strength in the future;KDJThere are signs of a turning golden cross at a low level. Despite a significant drop in gold prices during trading, it is still recommended not to blindly short. Any pullback may be a good time for investors to buy. Overall, Liang Qiandong's personal suggestion for today's short-term operation strategy is to focus on a pullback and buy long, with high altitude as a supplement, and short-term focus above1968-1970One line of resistance, the next wave will be tested again1980High point at the checkpoint, short-term focus below1930Position support, focus on attention1906Support.
　　
Internationalcrude oilLatest Market Analysis

　　目前因新冠病毒感染病例持续增加打压需求前景，抑制美国出台更多刺激措施乐观预期给原油带来的提振，此前美国出台刺激措施的预期提升了市场对原油需求更强劲复苏的希望。美国原油futures价格报41.39dollar/Barrel0.50%; Brent crude oil futures price report43.87dollar/Barrel0.07%. Liang Qiandong believes that the weakening of the US dollar provides support for both base metals and precious metals, but oil traders seem to be focused on the economic signals that the weakening of the US dollar is flashing, namely the disruption of demand. The weakening of the US dollar usually helps to improve demand, as it makes crude oil cheaper for global buyers. The economic concerns caused by the lack of signs of a slowdown in the epidemic and the escalation of tensions among major trading countries.
　　
The daily Bollinger Bands tend to operate horizontally, and crude oil still oscillates narrowly between the mid and upper tracks;MACDDead fork but weak kinetic energy,KDJDead fork; Indicating that the overall kinetic energy of crude oil is weak and tends to fluctuate and decline in the short term; The lower support should first focus on the middle rail of the Bollinger belt40.36If it breaks below this position, a short-term bearish signal will be added, and crude oil will further step back on the Bollinger Line's track38.4Nearby support; Meanwhile,7Tested in mid month39It also has a certain degree of support. Overall, crude oil is still trading within a volatile range as the market is still evaluating the impact of the second spread of the epidemic on demandOPEC+The reduction in production has left the oil market in a relatively balanced state for a short period of time, and the secondary spread of the epidemic is currently the biggest uncertainty factor. At the same time, the tense international relations will also exert pressure on crude oil. Liang Qiandong believes that crude oil will continue to maintain a narrow range of fluctuations in the short term, waiting for directional breakthroughs. The middle track of the Bollinger Belt still provides good support for crude oil. If crude oil stays at this position, it will still maintain the current trend of inter community oscillations. Therefore, based on comprehensive analysis of operations, Liang Qiandong suggests high-altitude, low, and long operations. Please pay attention to the above42.3-42.5One line of resistance, pay attention below40.5-40.3Frontline support.