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crude oil消息面解析:周四(7month9day)European market, US crude oilfutures价格承压41美元关口,市场担心美国新冠肺炎新增确诊人数激增可能引发再度实施疫情管控,这一忧虑盖过了美国汽油需求复苏的迹象。周三油价上涨,因美国能源资料协会(EIA)数据显示,美国截至7month3Day and WeekEIAActual increase in announced changes in crude oil inventory565.40Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease318.9Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased719.5万桶,而需求攀升至88010000 barrels/Day, for3month20日以来的最高水平。
然而美国几个州新增的病例增加了重新封锁的可能性,可能阻碍燃料需求的持续复苏,导致美国原油期货价格本周保持在窄幅区间,不过仍维持在每桶40美元上方。在石油输出国组织(OPEC)及其盟友(hlm3578)7month15日召开市场监督小组会议之前,市场也处于停滞状态。OPEC+stay6Monthly production reduction106010000 barrels/Day.OPEC+可能决定削减或延续8月以来创纪录的每日970万桶的减产。该小组一直在向伊拉克、尼日利亚等生产过剩的国家施压,要求它们更好地遵守限制措施。
美原油技术分析:原油从日线上看,隔日原油位于MA5日线上继续整理,盘中涨跌转换,最终以中阳收线,日线上,当前行情并未失守MA5-10均线,回调空间受限,等待实体K线去突破,后市或将继续呈现慢涨趋势;4小时上看,隔日原油位于中轨附近徘徊,并有效突破刺破上轨后回落,当前仍运行于中轨上方,当前布林带处于平口期,MA5、10日线向下弯钩,即将走出死叉,KDJThree lines of random indicators converge downwards,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量,快慢线死叉向下。综合来看,今日操作短线思路上个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注40.5-41.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below39.0-38.5Frontline support.
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
1The rebound above the crude oil does not break40.5-40.7Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target39.7-39.5frontline;
2Unable to break under the crude oil38.5-38.7Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target39.5-39.7frontline;