期市言论：EIA数据公布对原油的影响分析

beautifulcrude oilMessage surface:
US Energy Information Administration(EIA)Wednesday(4month29day)报告显示，截止4month24日，美国上周原油库存增至2017year4月以来最高水平。美国原油库存增加899.1Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is an increase1502.2万桶。预期值1061.9万桶。美国原油产品四周平均供应量为1452.510000 barrels/Day, decreased compared to the same period last year28%。上周美国国内原油产量减少1010000 barrels to121010000 barrels/日。美国俄克拉荷马州库欣原油库存增至2017year11月以来最高水平。美国中西部上周原油库存增至2017year6月以来最高水平。美国海湾地区原油库存增至2017year3月以来最高水平。美国汽油需求增加54.910000 barrels/Day, for5The largest increase since the beginning of the month.EIA数据公布后，WTIcrude oilfuturesStanding16dollar/桶，日内涨超35%；布伦特原油变动不大，日内涨幅为10.55%。在疫情影响，以及全球经济下滑的背景下，原油需求大幅度降温。如果全球经济得不到复苏，那么原油需求前景也很难向好。美国全国商业经济协会27日发布的调查报告显示，受疫情蔓延导致美国经济大面积“停摆”影响，多数经济学家预计美国经济将陷入萎缩。调查结果显示，86%的受访者预计美国国内生产总值(GDP)将出现萎缩。同时，受访者预计今年一季度企业销售和资本支出将出现双降，经营状况陷入十年来最糟糕境地。具体看，三分之一受访者表示企业运营受到疫情“严重影响”，52%的受访者认为受到“中度影响”。就业方面，63%的企业已经冻结招聘，以应对疫情带来的经营挑战。超过一半受访者预计，2021year4月美国失业率或升至6%reach9.9%之间。展望未来，近四分之三受访者认为未来三个月企业经营前景较一个月前的预测更加糟糕，多数受访者认为工资和就业前景将显著恶化。美国全国商业经济协会是由商业领域经济学家组成的专业协会。协会4month13Solstice16Japanese pairing107名成员发起调查，询问其对当前经济、经营状况和近期商业前景的评价。
美原油技术面：
美原油日线上看，布林带三轨大开口向下，MA5Walking flat andMA10Dead cross closing of moving average,KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger BeltMA5Above the moving average,MACDFast and slow lines with dead cross closure, green kinetic energy reduction,KDJThe third line golden cross eased its upward trend, and the daily market rebounded slightly, but the overall trend still shows a bearish pattern;4On the hourly chart, the three tracks of the Bollinger Belt are gentle and level,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average golden cross eased upward,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in the Bollinger BeltMA5Above the moving average,MACDThe upward red kinetic energy of the golden cross on the fast and slow lines gradually increases,KDJ三线金叉收口缓和向右，油价短线行情震荡看多。
综合来看，原油行情波动剧烈，日内操作上建议区间内高空为主，低多为辅。谨慎交易，或暂时观望停止交易。上方初步阻力在17.5附近，进一步阻力看18.5； Preliminary support below14.5Nearby, further support at10.5。
每日交易策略：
1Suggest using18.3-18.5Consider short selling and stop losing near the US dollar0.5Points, target17.5-15.0Near the US dollar;
2Suggest using14.5-14.7Consider going long near the US dollar and stopping losses0.5Points, target16.0-16.5Around the US dollar.
The content of the article is purely the author's remarks in the upcoming market（qsly1818）My personal opinion is that I do not recommend placing orders. The specific market situation is based on the intraday trend. There are risks in investing and caution is required when entering the market.
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