Chen Dabin:3.26现货黄金走势分析、原油晚间操作建议及解套

　　交易是一门“观阵、布局、用兵、制胜”的战略系统科学，又是融汇“洞察时局、战略决策、执行计划、完成交易”的市场行为科学。要看到、想到、做到、才能得到。与其临渊羡鱼，不如退而结网。失败并不可怕，只要没有放弃，勇往直前，胜利将不会太远。只要信念还在，希望之光就会驱散绝望之云。下面陈大宾就对日内行情做出个人看法及应对策略，希望能对你有所你帮助。

　　gold：


　　美元指数连续2日回调，非美普遍延续反弹走势，美国三大stock market index涨跌不一。隔夜美国国会两党谈判为本周就刺激法案进行投票铺平了道路，投资者等待空前规模的抗疫刺激法案获得通过。因此市场风险偏好回暖，降低了对美元的需求。周四公布的数据料将显示，美国初请失业金人数激增，因全美各地企业纷纷关门歇业，以遏制病毒扩散。美元短线预计仍将承压下行，但从中期来看，美元走强或仍为大趋势。


　　今日英央行将公布利率决议及对应会议纪要，并公布3month19日紧急降息的会议纪要。欧洲央行将公布经济预期，G20集团领导人将举行电话会议，讨论新疫情，届时可重点关注。数据方面可关注美国四季度GDPandPCEPrice index.


　　技术面，黄金昨日高位震荡整理，午后连续下破1610关口并延续走低破位1600，美盘前快速冲高触及1622一线再度承压回落，晚间小幅下探至1600关口上方震荡收盘，日线以高位十字K报收，短线进入宽幅震荡格局，无论上涨或者下跌，虽然幅度大，但是本质上并没有脱离区间，昨日早盘冲高回落，二次反弹不能创出新高，晚间在1622压力下方盘整，并且继续下探，黄金日线三连阳之后首次在高位收阴，出现了下跌的重要信号，而今天是延续看跌的重要时间点，如果今天下跌延续，本周剩下两个交易日会有较大回落空间，可以看低位在1540-1536。包括小周期内的活动区间也会向下释放，MACDDead fork,KDJDead fork,K线高位吞没看空，5周均线下穿10周均线形成死叉，金价基本确定见顶！今日操作上陈大宾建议高位做空为主。上方关注1615-1620One line of resistance, pay attention below1585-1590一线支撑。对黄金等投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友，欢迎单线陈大宾nbc1983Is Weixin getting the latest information and daily market trend analysis!

　　crude oil：


　　3month25日，市场警告称，不要相信石油多头！因为疫情冲击，未来几周全球过剩石油恐达200010000 barrels/日，令油价继续下滑。美国疫情扩散，打压经济重启的信心。而石油分析师指出，狡猾的交易商可能会试图将石油储存在管道网络中，直到油价回升。投资者和石油生产商越来越担心，美国原油过剩可能消耗储油能力，迫使企业关闭油井。


　　美国形势的恶化使人们对油市做出了各种各样的预测。就在3month17日，渣打银行还估计，4月份全球石油过剩134010000 barrels/日，但现在预测这一数字可能超过2000ten thousand/桶。渣打银行表示，如果美国每日石油需求减少700万桶的悲观预测在4Month and5月得到证实，关注工纵好“陈大宾”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、中线布局计划一份！全球储油罐可能最快在第二季就会被填满，而不是在年底。该行警告称：“对市场的短期影响是一样的：油价可能会进一步下跌，一些成本更高的供应商将需要关闭。”


　　技术面，日线上看，隔日原油开盘上涨后回落，基本持于23.0-25.0区间运行，在经过前两日的反弹后，再次收阴，日线收得小阴十字星，日线上，虽说部分技术指标利好多头，但多头力度枯竭，加之MA10均线压制，预计日内来回震荡的可能性比较大，或将冲高回落；4小时上看，隔日原油位于中轨附近徘徊，当前布林带即将开口，MA5Daily line andMA10日线形死叉向下，KDJ随机指标三线拐头向下前方延伸，MACD指标红色动能柱开始缩量，快慢线平行向前，就目前来看，原油目前仍有回撤可能性，预计涨跌来回的可能性较大，操作上陈大宾建议多空结合一起来操作，上方关注25.2-25.5One line of resistance, pay attention below22.3-22.5一线支撑。有套单的朋友，可单线本人，由于笔者陈大宾不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线陈大宾nbc1983是惟心

　　大宾团队投资风险管控:


Step 1: Clarify your goals, which means planning your intended investmentforeign exchangeThe amount of funds traded, the amount of profits earned, and the approximate range of losses that can be borne are the basic goals through which a reasonable fund management plan can be made. However, it is also important to remind foreign exchange investors that although foreign exchange is a low-cost and high-yield investment with a hundred times leverage for gain, they should also pay attention to cost control and avoid frequent transactions that increase costs.


Step 2: Plan the steps, such as what trading mode to use to gain profits, whether you are good at frequent short-term trading or prefer a long-term fishing model to make orders, how much trading to stop every day, how much money to withdraw from the market when losing, and how much money to close positions when earning, all of which need to be well planned.


Step 3: Test the plan. No matter how perfect the theory is, it cannot be determined whether it is effective without combining it with practice. After roughly formulating your trading strategy, you can use the mini account provided by the platform to test whether the formulated strategy is available and see if it can bring stable profits to yourself.


Step 4: Strictly implement. This step is the core of the entire plan, and the losses caused by any random operation can be fatal,Foreign exchange transactionsUnable to withstand any deviation. Planned trading is necessary to better control risks, accurately follow market trends, and achieve profits. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the market!

　　笔者陈大宾———对金市/Oil market/equity market/The bond market and other major global financial markets have in-depth and unique insights, mainly using price control to accurately predict high and low prices. The main research directions include volume price spatiotemporal, Gann astrogram, etc