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Wang Jinbo  3.26原油仍然弱势,黄金小幅承压-黄金原油最新行情分析

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Preface: How to become a successful investor Achieve a state of sustained and stable profitability? Consisting of three important parts= Trading ideas/idea+Trading ideas(skill)+Trading sentiment (Market sentiment and personal sentiment) Let's briefly talk about it first Trading ideas/理念,以后在讲交易情绪。做交易最关键的找准命门要害的那个点位进场,如何找到这个点呢?这个就可以运用到阶段性价格算法!在那么多走势陷阱当中,如何规避呢?这就要上升到交易思想,就是你自己主观上对交易的认知。行情波动,内在规律就是多空双方博弈的结果,是互动的。交易思想和理念很重要,技巧不重要。思想理念对了,技巧顺其自然


  crude oil:原油日内测压至25一线后出现回修,目前下方回撤至24一线,也处于5日线位置,小时图午后开始连阴,若是持续在低位保持震荡,小单边空头还是可以预见到22-23位置,这也是原油这几日震荡的主要旋律区间,在没有明确大动作前,维持现有状态,区间内做低吸高抛,是最好的选择。日线结构上,行情处在5、10日线之间,虽有止跌回弹,但动能不强,整体还是保持着弱势状态。预期日内大概率会围绕在5、10日线之间运行,但突破10日线的可能性不是很大,如果后期行情在10日线下方震荡的周期延长,则以其技术结构来看,或有可能再带来一波较大幅度的回落调整。


  从基本面方面考虑,在全球疫情扩散,降低原油需求,同时沙特价格战依旧在继续的情况下,美油短期内是很难获得实际有效的回升动能的,更别提逆转行情,未来疫情得到控制也未必会给原油带来太多的回升空间,主要推升因素还是重点关注沙特价格战的相关消息,所谓解铃还须系铃人,此前的崩盘暴跌因价格战沙特大幅增产而起,那么未来出现相关减产的消息方才是原油的救命良药。小时图级别构筑下跌通道的情况下,日内短多点位需要进一步下移,但是这种小幅的震荡下跌随时可能再度出现触底大幅反弹的局面,对此务必要防范,总之操作思路以择低做多为主,上方若非关键点位,莫要急于参与高空。综合来看,今日午夜短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注25.0-25.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below22.0-21.5一线支撑。行情实时变化,添加笔者王今博WeiXinNumber(wjb9395)Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!


  gold:周三(3month25日)亚洲时段,美元指数小幅下跌,美国白宫与民主党人就抗击疫情的刺激计划达成协议,叠加此前美联储的无限宽松行动,市场风险偏好情绪继续回暖,商品货币继续走高,澳元探底回升百点。现货黄金冲高回落40美元,疫情仍在扩散中,且对全球经济造成重创,避险无法支撑黄金创出新高,需要更强的经济回暖才可以。此前黄金市场爆发了罕见的流动性问题,流通量极度匮乏,以至于各大经纪商的黄金报价系统都出现了交易中断的现象,市场中的点差也极高。


  技术面来看,黄金从日线上来看,金价单边下跌后筑底反弹,低位类似“吞没看涨”后紧跟大阳线,金价顶破了MA10Daily moving average1540附近阻力,目前该位置已经转化为重要支撑位所在,由于KDJ金叉运行,若能守住该位置,则现货金有望进一步试探1703-1451Downtrend61.8%Retreat position1642附近,一旦顶破该阻力,则增加中线看涨信号。由于MACD死叉信号仍在,若不能顶破1642附近阻力,则金价仍面临重回跌势的风险。四小时来看,黄金在低位震荡后上破,昨日短线回撤至1560一线再次上涨,各项指标多头排列,四小时连阳释放空间将弱势打破,同时也将震荡区间完成突破,技术面完成了反转向上,虽然过程会迂回一些,但是目前的态势多头显强,日内短线先顺势看多,配合阻力再适当短空!综合来看:今日短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以回调做多为主。短期上方关注1652-1665Resistance, pay attention below1600-1570Support.


  如何成为一名成功的投资者 Achieve a state of sustained and stable profitability? Consisting of three important parts= Trading ideas/idea+Trading ideas(skill)+Trading sentiment (Market sentiment and personal sentiment) Let's briefly talk about it first Trading ideas/Concept, we will discuss trading sentiment in the future. The most crucial point in trading is to find the key point of your life and enter the market. How can you find this point? This can be applied to stage pricing algorithms! How to avoid so many trend traps? This needs to rise to trading thinking, which is your subjective understanding of trading. The inherent law of market fluctuations is the result of the game between the long and short sides, which is interactive. Trading ideas and concepts are important, skills are not important. The ideology is correct, the skills are natural.


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