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行情并不可怕,可怕的自我信心的丧失,可悲的是交易思路的错乱,没了方向你再奔跑都是一场灾难,总是抱着侥幸的心理在博弈一个没有一点把握的未来,某次的盈利只能是个意外,而长期的亏损却成为了常态,这一次,错过了是遗憾,做错了就是悔恨,往往有时候为了前面某一单的亏损,而不停的交易,只是想在自己限定的时间内让之前的损失捞回来,这样的心态却会影响后面理性的判断,好比手里握着沙子,越用力发现反而握不住,握的越紧流失的越快,投资何偿不是如此。多少次被前面某一次的失利被动的交易了后面没弄明白的单子,多少次想着曾经的盈利想要超越却把现有的资金缩水。过去的交易除了反思没什么值得留恋,如果你的入场仅仅只是为了前面一次交易的得失而建仓,那么这样的操作本身就已经是一种错误。
Spotgold周五最高上冲至1690关口,刷新七年高位,随后快速回落,且波动剧烈。整周来看,金价还是大幅上涨,累积涨幅超过6%, creating2011year10month28日当周以来最大单周涨幅。志豪分析认为,卫生事件冲击经济前景,引发的避险情绪,再加上美联储紧急降息之后的其他央行的连锁反应,都支撑金价。油价本周崩跌,尤其是周五美油、布油崩跌近10%,主要受到经济前景和OPEC谈崩的双重冲击。今年年初以来,油价累积跌幅超过20%,进入技术性熊市。
展望下周,市场迎来欧洲央行利率决议,此外还有一系列重磅经济数据,其中包括日本GDPEurozoneGDPUKGDP, USAPPI等,除了这些日常关注的财经事件和数据,投资者还要密切关注海外公共卫生安全问题的进展,如果下周局势没有好转,全球经济前景下行预期升温,那么全球央行降息潮还会成为市场热议的焦点。
黄金:黄金从日线上看,金价出现大爆发,暴涨暴跌50The fluctuation of the US dollar, closing at the end of the day1670Above the checkpoint, constantly approaching the previously touched over7Annual high1690US dollars. Technically speaking,MACDThe red kinetic energy column continues to expand,RSIThe indicators are approaching the overbought level,KDJThe random indicator is upward, and there is still room for short-term growth.5The daily moving average has also crossed again10Daily moving average, gold price has broken through2month24Daily high point1689Nearby resistance, bullish signals in the future have increased, and it is expected to further test the high point1700There is resistance near the checkpoint, and there is a possibility of further upward breaking if the price of gold cannot break through1700Regional resistance still needs to be guarded against similar factorsMThe possibility of topping; Below1654已经转化为初步支撑。
受上周大阴影响,3month2号开始震荡上涨修复,3month3号美联储降息风波影响,黄金避险不断,3month4号窄幅震荡,3month5号继续大阳收线,黄金到1670高位,3month6号大非农数据利空,避险情绪暂时回避,回吐了周线涨幅,最低回撤1642一线,也是5日线附近,晚间虽有反弹,但是也证实了避险带来多少上涨空间,避险消减就有可能回吐多少空间,周K线收一根实体大阳线,并且金价再度创出新高,多头得到进一步的向上延伸。综合来看,下周一短线操作思路上志豪点金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1684-1686Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1660-1662Frontline support.
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1684-1686Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1674-1672frontline;
2The pullback below the gold does not break1660-1662Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1670-1672frontline;
3The strategy is for reference only, and the specific entry points for real-time changes in the intraday market can be found on Zhihao Dianjin WeChat(bzd99996327)The actual offer shall prevail;
crude oil:刚刚过去的一周,美原油价格大幅下挫,重挫接近8%,海外公共卫生安全问题的担忧情绪蔓延,全球原油需求预期大幅度降低,而OPEC+在本周的减产会议并未达成进一步减产协议,油价因此承压大幅度下挫;展望下周,投资者仍要密切关注海外公共卫生安全问题的进展,同时也要关注OPEC减产的最新消息。尽管OPEC就达成减产协议不断做出努力,志豪点金认为这可能并不足以抵御疫情的冲击,全球原油需求的下降幅度可能比想象的更糟糕。
从技术面来看,由于全球产油国联盟出现破裂迹象,OPEC+联盟在维也纳的会谈崩溃,油价周五创2016year8月以来的最低收盘价,跌幅10.07%Closing down4.62USD, Reporting41.28dollar/桶,日线录得一根大阴线,MACDandKDJ死叉运行,均线空头排列,油价再次失守布林线下轨,空头明显占据上风;下方初步支撑在周五低点41.05附近,若油价失守该位置,则可能进一步试探2016year8Monthly low point39.19Nearby support,2016year7月低点支撑在40.57Nearby, in addition40整数关口也存在一定支撑;不过,由于油价短线跌幅较大,OPEC+联盟的产油国可能自行加大减产力度以缓解卫生事件造成的供需过剩,这也将为油价提供一定支撑,且KDJ也逼近超卖区域,若油价能够守住41.05附近支撑,也需要提防局部W底的可能性。2018year12month24Daily low point42.36已经转换为上方初步阻力所在,若收复该位置,则削弱短线看空信号,进一步阻力在布林线下轨43.96Nearby,5Daily moving average resistance45.88附近。综合来看,下周一短线操作思路上志豪点金个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注42.5-42.7Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.8-41.0Frontline support.
Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:
1The rebound above the crude oil does not break42.5-42.7Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target41.5-41.3frontline;
2The downward correction of crude oil does not break40.8-41.0Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target41.6-41.8frontline;
3The market is constantly changing, and the price points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market requires caution. For more details, please follow Zhihao Dianjin's official website||Wei:bzd99996327;
志豪寄语:这个市场没有常胜将军,更没有神这一说,分析师都有出错的时候,那么关键问题来了,笔者志豪点金个人坚持一个仓位和节奏要求VIPJinyou Trading does not involve heavy positions, and no matter how many times it is done correctly, there is no need to discuss whether risk control is good or not. Therefore, when there is an error in an order, the trend and expectations are not consistent. It is important to cut the position as soon as possible instead of waiting for a stop loss foolishly. What needs to be done is the win rate, relying on profit accumulation to earn wealth, rather than heavy position trading. If there is an error in a loss, it is necessary to repeatedly increase the position. I do not have such guidance here, nor do I agree with it. Investment trading always puts technical risk control first, mentality and technology second, only then can profits continue.
This article is written by Zhihao Dianjin (WeChat:bzd99996327)As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publication, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint. |
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