秦梓昕：大非农进入倒计时，一文助你全面备战

　　周五现货goldContinuously brushing the high for over a week to1676.65The US dollar, coupled with concerns over public health events, saw the US Treasury yield continue to hit a historic low. On Thursday, due to concerns over public health issues, the top three US stocksstock market indexBoth have fallen by more than3%At the same time, US bond yields continue to decline, and the market is concerned about the Federal Reserve3The bet on a monthly interest rate cut has been raised100%The US dollar index continued to hit a two month low. Affected by this, gold surged nearly40USD.　　

　　——3.6黄金要闻解读——
　　
Beijing Time3month6Day and evening21:30, will welcome the United States2Monthly non farm employment data. expect2Non farm employment will increase in the month17.5The growth rate is expected to be lower than last month, but it still reflects moderate growth in the labor market; The unemployment rate is expected to remain at3.6%unchanged,1The monthly average hourly wage is expected to increase year-on-year3%. Based on current market expectations, non-agricultural data is expected to be mixed, and the market will look for clues from sub data, including changes in manufacturing employment and population. If there is more data indicating that the US employment market is still strong, it is expected to provide support for the US dollar.
　　
　　疫情当道，在家把钱赚！引领现货资讯风潮，把握实时行情动向，为亏损之人雪中送炭，亦可助有识之士锦上添花！宾饯日月，初心未变！盈亏就像坐过山车，有高峰，也有低谷，这意味着，无论眼下是好是坏，都只是暂时的。前瞻的眼光，超前的意识才能把握好整个行情节奏。接下来咱们来详细分析一下大非农的操作思路：

　　——3.6黄金行情分析——
　　
　　黄金亚欧盘在1667再次暴涨一波，不过今天暂时的走势是先跌后涨，早间1675直接做空小赚出局，在路演中给出了1667的支撑多单，会员同样给出多单，全部止盈。目前黄金上涨至前高1690However1690of*效果比较明显，触及之后快速回落，多头力度和市场结合起来还要考虑非农数据对1690的双顶有效性。
　　
　　很明显3月非农数据对黄金的影响将是近期的关键。目前在高点1690形成了伪双顶，趋势也显然是多头，如果数据利多1690可以秒破，今晚上涨的高点在周期中关注1698附近，如果数据利空，黄金配合下跌，1690双顶成立，近期将会有一波大跌出现，今天将关注1667/1655低点，包括下周或本月行情都会有延续的回落空间存在。
　　
　　从数据上看，ADP公布偏差交易，利空不跌，失业金利多暴涨，多头情绪大于空头，而本次非农数据前置是22.5w，市场预测值是17.5w，数据对比来中，黄金偏好利多，所以今天交易保持谨慎的态度对待目前可能形成的双顶。
　　
　　从技术面来看，周线目前顶天立地大阳，亚欧盘连涨，上方几乎没有引线效果，这种走势比较少见，不管非农数据多空，市场经过数据冲刷之后，尾盘肯定有回落空间可看，利空很好解释，利多估计黄金先涨后跌，最周形成震荡，所以，数据是关键，交易要谨慎，直接跌或者先涨后跌，都会有一波下跌空间在，1698是利多预期高点，1690可能是双顶点，1667是今天的顽强支撑，1655是数据利空的可期目标。　

　　投资决策以策略为主，以预测为辅。反弹行情的趋势发展往往不明显，行情发展的变数较大，预测的难度较大，所以，参与反弹行情要以策略为主，以预测为辅，当投资策略与投资预测相违背时，则依据策略做出买卖决定，而不能依赖预测的结果。
　　
　　反弹未必能演化为反转，但反转却一定由反弹演化而来。但是，一轮跌市行情中能转化为反转的反弹只有一次，其余多次反弹都将引发更大的跌势。为了博一次反转的机会而抢反弹的投资者常常因此被套牢在下跌途中的半山腰间，所以千万不能把反弹行情当作反转行情来做。
　　
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Author: Qin Zixin   QQ：974288610
　　
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Author's Message: Investment carries risks   Be cautious when entering the market
　　
Writing time:2020/3/6