Bo Hu Lun Jin:3.4黄金暴涨空单又当如何？后市怎样去操作黄金解套

　　
　　3month3Daily, spotgoldPrices have risen as the market expands bets that global central banks will cut interest rates to mitigate the economic impact of the rapid spread of global public health events. Last month, manufacturing activity in the United States slowed down. Investors are waiting for the upcoming meeting later that dayG7The finance minister and central bank governor will have a conference call to discuss countermeasures on the impact of public health incidents on the economy. The oil market is driven by bullish expectations of loose policies from global central banks and fundamentals, whileOPECAnd its allies are expected to increase the reduction in production. It is expected that central banks of various countries will soon relax their monetary policies and may adopt a coordinated approach. In addition, the survey shows that OPEC2monthcrude oilProduction has decreased compared to last month5110000 barrels/Solstice278410000 barrels/Japan's production is mainly affected by the turmoil in Libya, and OPEC2Monthly crude oil production has dropped to over10The lowest level since the beginning of the year.

　　===Analysis of the latest trend of spot gold===

　　现货黄金回到1600下方，全球央行集体宽松的预期升温，尤其是美联储降息的预期也大增，美指创四周新低，美债收益率跌跌不休。此外本周市场将迎来不少需要关注的风险事件。本周二是美国大选的一个关键节点，如果桑德斯从美国民主党脱颖而出，对市场而言将带来非常大的影响。此外，本周五还有美国2月非农数据。

　　黄金从技术面来看，日线MACDHigh dead cross,KDJHigh dead cross,5Daily moving average underpass10日均线初步结成死叉，后市存在进一步下行风险；初步支撑在布林线中轨1592.53Nearby,2month10The daily high is supported by1577.05Nearby,2month12Daily low point support at1561.93Nearby,2month5Daily low point support at1547.57附近；鉴于上一交易日金价跌幅较大，短线仍然存在温和反弹或者震荡调整的可能性；上方初步阻力在1month8Daily high point1611.42Nearby, pay close attention10Daily moving average1624.65附近阻力，上周二和上周三的低点也都在该位置附近，若不能顶破该阻力，则后市仍偏向震荡下行；若回升至该位置上方，则削弱后市看空信号。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上博虎论金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，下方短期重点关注1582-1584一线支撑。若有不懂或跟不上操作的朋友可关注博虎论金レ，亻言：KD1394Get more real-time guidance.

　　===crude oilfuturesLatest trend analysis===

Monday(3month2day)亚市盘中，美国原油期货价格暂停此前六个交易日的连跌之势，低开3%后回升至45.30dollar/桶附近。投资者们担心突发公共卫生事件蔓延引发经济衰退，全球经济衰退将打击石油需求，国际油价在2月连续第二个月暴挫逾10%。有分析认为，2020年石油需求可能根本不会增长，为过去近四十年来第四次出现。自1984年以来，全球石油需求仅有三次未能录得增长，分别为2008Year and2009年全球金融危机时期，以及1993年美国经济开始复苏时。

　　技术面来看，原油上周弱势下跌五连阴。几乎是开盘无反弹式的弱势破低下行，周线低位继续放量收盘大阴线，最低至43.80.本周开盘还伴随跳空低开下行进一步刷新43.50低位。周K线进一步下探当中。日图一直连阴弱势下行，暂时还未出现止跌出现。伴随着快速的下探回升反抽收复失地的走法还没有，K线形态上也是弱势延续收低。日图依旧偏空。短线4Hour from54.60高点下行以来。呈现出一波45角度式的单边弱势下跌，弱势阴跌贴着短期均线极弱下跌，上周的走法是亚欧盘阴跌，美盘尾盘时段伴随一波反抽修正，隔日再进一步弱势下行。

　　本周周初仍要留意是否延续这种节奏，还是说改变走法。亚欧盘反弹美盘下行。重点留意一下今日的走法。目前4hour10均线依旧是空头压制点，要反转弱势空头。首先得站稳10单位均线。不然这种弱势还将继续延续，不过K线形态显示下行稍有放缓，附图指标也处于低位。随时都有超跌反弹的可能。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上博虎论金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注48.8-49.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below46.5-46.7一线支撑。行情瞬息万变，更多实时策略博虎论金口未亻言KD1394盘中指导给出！
Bo Hu's Message on Gold: As a lone soldier, do you feel like you are walking on thin ice in this financial market and struggling to move forward? If you are tired of unproductive investments and lost in the foggy market; If you suffer losses one after another but feel unwilling. So, it's time to change the status quo. Good birds choose trees to live on, your choices determine your future!
　　
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