Zhou Hongjin:3.3黄金反弹乏力，原油扩大涨幅-晚间黄金原油行情走势分析操作策略

Summary:gold行情走势、黄金交易策略、黄金行情解析、crude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
　　做投资最根本的心理障碍是如何处理风险。交易成功的两项最基本规则就是：停损和持长。一方面截断亏损，控制被动。另一方面盈利趋势未走完，就不轻易出场，要让利润充分增长。但是知易行难，知行合一更难。这里除了操盘交易技术以外，更多的是投资者需要拥有一个好的心态。控制交易的情绪冲动，克服性格上的投资缺点和抑制与生俱来的生理反应是一项艰巨的任务。我们必须在一只眼睛盯着市场的同时，必须另一只眼睛紧盯自己，使操作理性化，最终才能让自己在市场中立于不败之地。
Message interpretation:
　　3month3日，现货黄金价格上涨，因市场扩大押注全球央行将降息以减轻全球公共卫生事件迅速扩散带来的经济冲击。上个月美国制造业活动有所放缓。投资者正在等待当天晚些时候即将召开的G7The finance minister and central bank governor will have a conference call to discuss countermeasures on the impact of public health incidents on the economy. The oil market is driven by bullish expectations of loose policies from global central banks and fundamentals, whileOPECAnd its allies are expected to increase the reduction in production. It is expected that central banks of various countries will soon relax their monetary policies and may adopt a coordinated approach. In addition, the survey shows that OPEC2月原油产量较上月减少5110000 barrels/Solstice278410000 barrels/Japan's production is mainly affected by the turmoil in Libya, and OPEC2Monthly crude oil production has dropped to over10The lowest level since the beginning of the year.
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
Spot gold has risen, and investors' expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut have further heated up. The US dollar index has fallen for four consecutive days, trading at a one month low. At the same time, US bond yields have also fallen, which has boosted the attractiveness of gold. However, precious metals are also suppressed by strong risk assets, and it is expected that short-term gold will find it difficult to achieve sustained gains.
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDandKDJDead fork operation,5Daily moving average underpass10The daily moving average has formed a dead cross, and gold prices are still affected by5Daily moving average1611.52Nearby resistance is suppressed, and the market tends to fluctuate downward in the future; Bollinger Line Medium Rail1592.53Temporarily providing support for gold prices, overnight low support at1584.08Nearby,2month10Daily high support1577.05Nearby,2month12Daily low point support at1561.93Nearby, if the support is broken, it will increase the bearish signal in the future market;2month5Daily low point support at1547.57Nearby; Given the recent significant decline in gold prices, there is still a possibility of a mild rebound or volatile adjustment in the short term;1600The checkpoint is currently the initial resistance above, and further resistance lies in5Daily moving average (near yesterday's high)1611.52Nearby,10Daily moving average resistance1622.56附近，若回升至该位置上方，则削弱后市看空信号。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金（zh66646）My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;
　　
Focus on resistance above:1600.00；1611.52；
　　
Focus on support below:1584.08；1577.05；
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
Short order suggestion: rebound1600Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1592-1590；
　　
Multiple order suggestion: callback1585Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1596-1598；
　　
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2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
　　
Crude oil has expanded its upward trend on the previous day, with hopes that central banks may implement financial stimulus measures to offset the impact of global public health events, and there is growing optimism thatOPECThis week, further production reduction will be requested. Some institutions believe that if major central banks around the world reach an agreement this week to collectively implement new easing policies, andOPEC+By increasing efforts to reduce production, the oil market will recover all lost land in the past week for the first time. On the contrary, if one of the goals is not achieved, oil prices will retest recent lows before the end of this week.
　　
Technically speaking, there is a bullish signal of swallowing up at the low level of the daily chart,KDJThere are signs of re forming a golden cross, and in the short term, there are signs of oil prices bottoming out in a volatile manner, with preliminary resistance above the intraday high48.55Nearby, strong resistance2month4Daily low point49.31Nearby, if the oil price can rebound above this level, it will increase the short-term bullish signal;8month7Resistance at daily low points50.50Nearby; However, due to the significant increase in the previous trading day, we also need to be cautious of the risk of a slight pullback in the short term. Currently5Daily moving average47.08This is where the initial support is located below. Before losing this position, oil prices tend to fluctuate and rebound, further supporting the lower track of the Bollinger Line46.18附近，若回落至该位置下方，则削弱短线看涨信号。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金（zh66646）My personal suggestion is to prioritize low altitude and supplement high altitude;
　　
Focus on resistance above:48.55；49.31；
　　
Focus on support below:47.08；46.18；
　　
Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:
　　
Multiple order suggestion: callback47.1Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target48.0-48.2；
　　
Short order suggestion: rebound49.3Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target48.0-47.8；
　　
　　行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金免费获取！
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　黄金原油的走势经常都是呈现区间波幅来回跳动，很多投资者在前期刚入市的时候因为摸不准趋势，看不透支撑于阻力，总会经常被来回扫单，而一次的偶尔忘记带止损，导致单子由亏转盈，因此自作聪明的学会了不带止损，而一旦大的行情爆发，结果因为没带止损而亏的一蹶不振，甚至连翻身的机会都没有。刚刚入市的朋友可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息，这对咱们做投资来讲是很大的困扰，所以周鸿金欢迎做投资的朋友找到我一起共同交流与进步，让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向，做最稳健的单子。解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资趋势，对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友，订阅关注“周鸿金”（zh66646）Get the latest financial information, daily market trend analysis, real-time trading strategies, and medium to long term layout.
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