Zhou Hongjin:2.27黄金买需强劲，原油延续跌势-晚间黄金原油行情走势分析操作策略

Summary:goldTrend analysis, gold trading strategy, gold market analysiscrude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
Is investment a balance between long-term and short-term, between oneself and the market, or between expectations and reality. From a micro perspective, investment is also a balance between data and perception, an absolute and relative balance. Of course, investment is still a balance between long and short positions, a balance between risk and return, and a balance between persistence and abandonment. Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding balance and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness.
Message interpretation:
　　在隔夜美国卫生官员吁民众对突发公共卫生事件做好准备后，周四美国总统川普称在必要的情况下进行更大规模隔离的计划，有关突发公共卫生事件海外持续蔓延的忧虑持续，黄金避险买需强劲，市场愈发预期若公共卫生事件持续蔓延，那么全球主要央行将采取应对行动，今年上半年黄金市场有诸多支撑，将能触及1700美元。美原油续刷13个月低位至47.84美元，部分分析师甚至表示，最坏的情况是油价将在当前基础上再下跌10dollar/桶。但是也有分析人士认为随着布油已经接近了50美元关口，即将跌破俄罗斯的盈亏平衡点，这可能迫使俄罗斯在减产问题上做出让步。同时持续走低的油价也进一步打击了美原油厂商的信心，多家机构下调了美原油2020年增长预期，这可能助力油价反弹。
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
　　现货黄金升至1650附近，受避险需求支撑，同时美元指数回落至两周低位，日内多数亚洲股市承压，卫生事件在日韩等地的发展迅速，这将冲击全球经济前景，同时全球央行的宽松预期也支撑黄金，金价料不会出现趋势性下滑，且1630处支撑明显。
　　
　　技术面来看，卫生事件在国外的发展令市场担忧情绪升温，欧美股市延续跌势，给金价提供避险支撑；而且市场对晚间美国数据预期不佳，美元短线存在下行风险，也有望给金价提供上涨机会；日线MACD金叉，均线仍然多头排列，金价在1625附近获得支撑后开启反弹，短线有进一步试探隔夜高点1655附近阻力的迹象，周二高点阻力在1664.04附近，若金价顶破该位置，则增加后市看涨信号，进一步阻力分别参考1680Gateway and1700关口。由于目前KDJ仍然死叉运行，且高位“吞没”看空信号仍在，金价多次反弹受阻，在顶破1664.04阻力前，短线来看，金价有较大的可能会震荡构建短期顶部；初步支撑仍参考1625Location,10The daily moving average is supported by1622.93附近；进一步支撑参考1month8Daily high point1611.42位置，然后是1600整数关口，一旦失守该位置，短线顶部信号将会得到确认；综合来看，今日短线操作思路上周鸿金（zh66646）My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;
　　
Focus on resistance above:1655.00；1664.04；
　　
Focus on support below:1624.98；1622.93；
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
Short order suggestion: rebound1655Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1640-1638；
　　
Multiple order suggestion: callback1625Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1640-1642；
　　
　　行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金免费获取！
　　
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
　　
　　美原油延续跌势，再刷十三个月新低至48美元下方，随着卫生事件在全球范围内的发酵，投资者预期将会有更多交通管制，也将对全球经济造成实质冲击，油市需求前景整体悲观，且短期很难恢复。
　　
　　技术面来看，油价跌破2month4Daily low point49.31支撑后短线看空信号显著增加，日线MACD重新结成死叉，KDJ死叉，油价偏向进一步下探，初步支撑在2019year1month2Daily high point47.78Nearby;2018year12month26The daily high is supported by47.00Near the checkpoint,2019year1month3Daily low point support at45.35Near.49.31已经转换为上方初步阻力，进一步阻力在5Daily moving average50.32附近，油价需要重新顶破该阻力才能削弱看空信号，进一步阻力在10Daily moving average resistance51.59附近。综合来看，在油价顶破49.31前，后市偏向震荡下探。所以今日操作思路上周鸿金（zh66646）My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;
　　
Focus on resistance above:49.31；50.32；
　　
Focus on support below:47.00；45.35；
　　
Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:
　　
Short order suggestion: rebound49.3Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target48.0-47.8；
　　
Multiple order suggestion: callback47.0Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target48.0-48.2；
　　
　　行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金免费获取！
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　金融世界是动荡的、混乱的，无序可循，只有辨明事理，才能无往不利。如果把金融市场的一举一动当作是某个数学公式中的一部分来把握，是不会奏效的。数学不能控制金融市场，而心理因素才是控制市场的关键。更确切地说，只有掌握住群众的本能才能控制市场，即必须了解群众将在何时、以何种方式聚在某一种货币或商品周围，投资者才有成功的可能。解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资趋势，对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友，订阅关注“周鸿金”（zh66646）Get the latest financial information, daily market trend analysis, real-time trading strategies, and medium to long term layout.
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