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Zhihao Dianjin:2.25黄金原油晚间行情实时分析及美盘操作建议附解套

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前言:投资本身没有风险,失控的投资才有风险。不要用你的侥幸去挑战行情,运气这东西是有,碰上一次别再去奢望第二次。学会止损,止损比止盈更重要,因为任何时候保本都是第一位的,盈利是第二位的;止损的最终目的是保存实力,提高资金利用率和效率,避免小错铸成大错,甚至导致全军覆没。止损不能规避风险,但可以避免遭到更大的意外风险,所以止损技巧是每个投资者都应该掌握的。志豪提示,止损就是投资的生命线,不要因小失大最后得不偿失。记住一句话,当你真正懂得如何去控制风险才是你扭亏为盈的时候。
  
Message: This week(2month24day-3month1Day and Week)将出炉美国四季度GDP,1monthPCE及房价指数,德国四季度GDP等重磅数据,此外上周贵金属的强势之势能否延续也值得关注,在市场对突发公共卫生事件的忧虑升温,及寄望全球央行继续实施宽松措施的背景下,上周金价大幅攀升接近60USD, increase3.75%to1643.41dollar/ounce.
  
  美国上周出炉的PMI数据表现较差,市场对美联储年内降息预期升温,美元大幅走弱,给金价提供上涨动能;公共卫生事件在韩国、日本、意大利的发展加剧了市场担忧情绪,避险情绪需求进一步增加;不过金价短线涨幅过大,需要提防冲高后的回调风险;北京时间2month23日召开的统筹推进新冠肺炎疫情防控和经济社会发展工作部署会议上重申,新冠肺炎疫情不可避免会对中国经济社会造成较大冲击,但综合来看中国经济长期向好的基本面没有改变,疫情的冲击是短期的,总体上是可控的。
  
  gold:受疫情蔓延引发避险情绪升温的影响,金价早盘狂飙超30USD to1680.83dollar/盎司高点,目前自高点略微有所回落,但仍守稳1660美元关口上方。美国劳工部周四(2month20day)Weighing,2month15Increase in initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week4000People, after seasonal adjustment, are21万人,符合预期。这表明在冠状病毒和企业投资疲弱的风险下,就业市场持续走强可能有助于支撑经济。
  
  从技术面日线图上看,金价持稳近期上扬之势,MACD红色动能柱扩大,KDJ随机指标则略偏承压,指示黄金上行动能仍存,接下来料继续守稳升势。4小时图上看,金价也守稳近期上行之势,MACD红色动能柱扩大,KDJ随机指标略偏承压,指示黄金短线上行动能暂缓。本周基本面较少,重点关注周五欧元区CPI数据,同时关注股市表现与疫情势头,若股市出现下行,或者国际市场对肺炎疫情的担忧情绪加剧,那么将对黄金再度产生支撑。反之,金价将持续回落。综合来看,今日晚间操作思路上志豪点金个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1655-1657Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1632-1634Frontline support.
  
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
  
  1The rebound above the gold does not break1655-1657Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1645-1643frontline;
  
  2The pullback below the gold does not break1632-1634Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1640-1642frontline;
  
  3The strategy is for reference only, and the specific entry points for real-time changes in the intraday market can be found on Zhihao Dianjin WeChat(bzd99996327)The actual offer shall prevail;
  
  crude oil:国际油价有望企稳,投资者在上日大跌逾3.5%后逢低买入,但因担忧全球公共卫生事件在全球扩散、损及主要经济体并遏制燃料需求,油价的涨势受限。联合国秘书长古特雷斯周一敦促各国防止事态螺旋式上升为一场给全球卫生和世界经济带来“重大后果”的危机。沙特阿拉伯能源部长阿卜杜勒阿齐兹周二表示,OPEC+不应对全球公共卫生事件感到自满。
  
  原油从技术面来看,市场对公共卫生事件的担忧情绪有所降温,亚洲股市探底后有所回升或企稳,缓解了市场对需求的担忧,给油价反弹提供机会;但能否扭转短线的回调走势还有待观察;日线均线交织,MACDGolden fork,KDJ死叉,短线走势变数较大,由于2month20日线录得十字星,指示上方阻力较强,油价在在顶破5Daily moving average52.71前,后市偏向震荡下行;日内低点支撑在51.09附近,隔夜低点支撑在50.45Near.2month4Daily low point support at49.31Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports48.31附近,该支撑相对较强,短线来看,下破该支撑的难度较大。油价需要重新运行在5日均线上方才能有效削弱目前的看空信号,上方进一步阻力在1month31Daily high point53.36附近,若顶破该阻力,则增加后市看涨信号;上周高点阻力在54.66附近,另外,10Daily moving average52.37附近也存在一些阻力。综合来看,今日晚间操作思路上志豪点金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注52.2-52.4Frontline resistance, short-term focus below50.4-50.6Frontline support.
  
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
  
  1The rebound above the crude oil does not break52.2-52.4Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target51.4-51.2frontline;
  
  2The downward correction of crude oil does not break50.4-50.6Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target51.4-51.6frontline;
  
  3The market is constantly changing, and the price points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market requires caution. For more details, please follow Zhihao Dianjin's official website||Wei:bzd99996327;
  
  志豪寄语:本人志豪点金浸染金融行业多年,有丰富的实战操盘经验和独特的交易理念,擅长解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资大趋势,专注原油、黄金白银、foreign exchangeWait for trend analysis. If you have never made an investment and want to learn and understand, or if your order is not smooth, your investment funds often shrink, and you want to learn technical analysis and market analysis, then you need to communicate more with me. The financial industry is constantly changing. What I hope is to use my professional knowledge and years of experience to safeguard your funds.
  
This article is written by Zhihao Dianjin (WeChat:bzd99996327---公众号:志豪点金)供稿,本人解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资大趋势,对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究,由于网络推送延迟性,以上内容属于个人建议,因网络发文有时效性,仅供参考,风险自担,转载请注明出处。
  
The author of this article is Zhihao Dianjin, WeChatbzd99996327。
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