Shi Wanjin:2.5黄金走势分析，下午黄金操作建议，操作反弹做空

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天空，毕竟不是每天都放晴；生活，也不是时时都是欢喜。那向日葵因为经历了风雨，所以站在阳光下才会更显得灿烂。人只有尝尽了百味才方觉得甜更甜。那偶尔隐匿的阳光，再来时益更温暖；扑朔迷离的希望，再出现时益更令人惊喜。

不是每种花都能结果，但每种花都有自己的花季。这一路上，有过迷茫，也有过坚持，但总能在峰回路转处，看到最美的风景。

Message: Tuesday(2month4day)美元走高，美元受到国债收益率大幅上涨的支撑；避险货币大跌，日元兑美元录得近六个月来最大单日跌幅，因风险偏好不断增强；现货gold跌近24美元，刷新近二周低点至1549.14dollar/Ounces, with the deepest intraday drop of1.75%Last year11月初以来记录。美油跌逾1%，较日高回落超4%，一年来首次收于50dollar/桶之下，全球需求担忧压倒了欧佩克+的豪言壮语，API报告显示美国上周crude oil库存增幅大超预期。

Gold trend analysis:

黄金昨日高位下挫收低，延续了前一日的承压回落，早盘开盘1578附近承压即是日内高点，欧盘走弱，美盘延续至1548.80低位，整体走出一波弱势下跌走法。单日波幅将近30美元的单边下挫。日图大阴线收盘在10日线之下。日图步入高位回调向下。昨日盘中强调过，失守10日线就要转空思路，欧盘提前走弱，盘中则在1571做空。以及美盘1565做空。并于1551反手短线多，目前轻微触碰支撑反弹，不过介于日图的收低。趋势偏空。反弹不看太高。亚盘反弹修正后。欧盘仍择机高空。

从技术面来看，暂时黄金停留在1556附近，从1548反弹已经有8美金，日线大阴之下交易肯定是反弹做空，下方空间也很大，三连阴的形成在本周可能拉开日线布林，暂时日线低位支撑在布林下轨1542/1545，所以做空持有空还是主线。小周期内，黄金亚欧盘关注1558/1562两个点位，只要反弹无力就可以做空，如果亚欧盘下跌力度过大，美盘就看ADP数据，数据利多1542/1445允许做一个反弹，如果ADP数据利空，1542不破不追空，有调整力度可看。今日操作思路上石万金个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，总体来讲，今天黄金顺势做空，关注美盘ADP数据，上方关注1558/1562Follow below1542/1538。

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

1Suggest a rebound1560-1562Near empty, stop loss1568, Objective1548-1543nearby

2、建议下方首次见1538-1540短线多，止损1535, Objective1550nearby

Analysis of crude oil trend:

原油昨日先弹后跌符合预期，本周的走法，基本上都是亚欧盘反弹，美盘下挫破低并收低，反弹空间也大，下挫空间更大，破低后收在低位，日图弱势得到延续。最高反弹51.50.最低下挫49.30.Yesterday morning trading50.60-70做空盘中提示于50.30附近手动离场。欧盘时段继续在51.0-51.20间做空。美盘如期下挫。日图四连阴弱势下挫，贴着5日均线震荡向下。止跌形态仍还未出现。等待快速的下探拉回升收高才能完成止跌，目前还处于低位弱势下跌当中，下方留意48.60附近的支撑能否启稳。日线级别仍缺少一次反抽。一旦启稳。局部而言。从65.65高点的下挫还需经历一次大级别反抽。

Short term crude oil4小时油价在下行通道下轨附近获得支撑，MACD死叉，但绿能开始萎缩有结成金叉的迹象，KDJ金叉，油价在短暂失守布林线下轨后收复该位置，但目前布林线轨道仍然向下倾斜，油价需要收复并企稳布林线中轨52.07上方，才能有效扭转目前的跌势，若不能有效收复该位置，则需要警惕重回跌势的风险，下方初步支撑在布林线下轨49.77附近，下行通道下轨支撑大约在49.10附近。综合来看，今日操作思路上石万金个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注50.4-50.6Frontline resistance, short-term focus below48.8-49.0Frontline support.

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

1Suggestions50.4-50.6Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target49.6-49.4frontline;

2Suggestions48.8-49.0Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target49.6-49.8frontline;

短线炒黄金三要诀：

1、 Hurry up

The so-called speed requires us to enter the market quickly once we have determined the right direction, without too much consideration of time. Because after considering for a period of time, the price of gold may fluctuate a lot, and at this point, you may be even more afraid to enter the market. You can only watch the market run by wave by wave, and you can only sigh there.

And when we talk about speed, it's not just about entering the market, but also about closing positions. Many times, we are making a profit10点后，心理也总是想赚上12点，自己不能果断平仓。结果行情不随己愿。导致自己赚到的9点变成8点或者更少。更有甚者，把到手的盈利变为了亏损。

二、狠

The so-called ruthlessness means that when we judge the right direction and have a good entry point into the market, do we consider how many orders to place?下大了，亏了多，赚的也是很多，下小了呢，亏赚都不是很多，但是很多时候虽然想到这种机会难得啊，但也许最终下单还是不大，结果行情浮动了好几百点，追悔莫及。

Only by waiting for the next opportunity to come, although there are often investment opportunities in gold, who can guarantee that you will seize the next opportunity?所以有些时候下单就要“狠”一些。

三、准

It refers to our analysis. We often see many experts and institutions commenting and predicting on the fundamentals, but in addition to referring to the comments and predictions of experts and institutions, it is also important to consider one's own experience and characteristics.

Learn to use some technical indicators and combine them with the technical indicators you know how to use to make judgments. In this way, combined with the predictions of experts and teachers on the gold market, your judgment and grasp of the market will be more accurate.

投资者要知晓上面所说的“快、准、狠”是强调了一种做单的态度，但绝不可盲目的去做单，要把这三者结合起来，融会贯通。在准确把握行情的基础上，再去实施，才会更有成效

万金老师个人认为，投资本身就是一场博弈，不仅是一门科学，也是一门艺术，多数人可能不了解的投资，认为只是简单的赚钱而已，但是真正投资的意义在于投资者学会对金钱的使用和支配能力，也就是赚钱的能力，而作为金融投资来说，是一个很特殊的投资，石万金老师，从事金融行业多年，研究国际局势和热点事件。金融领域博大精深，每天行情波折不断，我所能做的就是用我多年的研究经验，给大家帮助。

笔者石万金是金融投资分析师，从事金融行业多年，研究国际局势和热点事件。金融领域博大精深，每天行情波折不断，我所能做的就是用我多年的研究经验，给大家帮助。本人06I entered the financial field in [year] and have rich practical experience. I am skilled in trends, investment, and living a balanced life. I enjoy fishing, mountaineering, hiking, and fitness, seeking truth from facts, and not bothering anyone. Keeping up with the market is our unchanging choice. Strive to do the right thing, and it all depends on who you go with! Wen Dao has its own sequence, and there are specialized professions.
Wen/Shi Wanjin  （微信：swj178）