1According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve1月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is83.9%Interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is0%Interest rate hike25The probability of a basis point is16.1%; reach3月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is83.9%Interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is0%Interest rate hike25The probability of a basis point is16.1%Interest rate hike50The probability of a basis point is0%。
Crude oil opened yesterday at59.278dollar/桶,上探59.6附近出现回撤,在58.656dollar/桶得到支撑出现反弹,在59.013dollar/桶,再次出现回撤,最后收盘在58.678dollar/桶。日线收中阴线,高点破前高冲高回落收上影线,在四小时级别上看,原油在触及57.401dollar/桶位置出现上涨,最高触及59.631dollar/桶位置,昨日原油下跌下破多空分水岭,打破上涨格局,在小时线级别,下跌运行了一波下跌五浪走势,志豪点金(bzd99996327)认为原油下跌五浪结束后,将面临反弹走势,若油价反弹打破多空分界线,运行ABC调整,将考虑原油空头可能出现延续概率,今日交易上考虑反弹做空思路,上方关注59.08-59.262dollar/桶压力,下方关注58.4-58.0dollar/桶支撑。若油价反弹站上58.9dollar/桶将出现ABCAdjustment.