12month31日美原油期货日内策略分析

Futures marketgoldStrategy: External drivefutures｜12month31japan-us crude oilFutures intraday strategy analysis
Today's important financial data and events
09:00  China12Monthly official manufacturingPMI
22:00  U.S.A10monthFHFAMonthly rate of housing price index, United States10monthS&amp/CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities
23:00  U.S.A12Monthly Conference Chamber Consumer Confidence Index
The next day05:30  From the United States to12month27Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory(10000 barrels)

US crude oil news:Monday(12month30day)WTI 2Monthly crude oil futures closed lower0.04USD, decline0.06%Report61.68dollar/Barrel; Brent2Monthly crude oil futures up0.28USD, increase0.41%Report68.44dollar/桶。油价至三个月高点，受预期中的中美贸易协议和工业数据良好的乐观人气提振，而交易员密切关注美国空袭伊拉克和叙利亚后的中东局势。
伊朗周一在霍尔木兹海峡扣押了一艘油轮，而美国周日对一支伊朗支持的民兵组织在伊拉克和叙利亚的五个基地发动了空袭，令人担忧地缘政治风险重回供应格局。Price Futures GroupSenior Market AnalystPhil Flynn表示，油价似乎受到上周库存数据大幅下降、周末和今晨一些地缘政治风险因素以及美元疲软的支撑。
expectation2020年，一些分析师认为，全球原油库存充裕是石油输出国组织(OPEC)及诸如俄罗斯等盟友抑制原油产量的主要障碍。法国巴黎银行全球石油策略师Harry Tchilinguirian称，尽管OPEC及其非OPEC合作伙伴致力于在2020年第一季度进一步减产，但我们不认为这足以避免全球出现大规模库存，我们仍然认为，原油基本面仍存在下行风险。
Technical aspects of US crude oil:美原油日线上看，布林带三轨向上运行，均线多头发散，KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线呈金叉缓和上行红色动能减弱，KDJ三线死叉向下，行情整体呈现多头形态有所减缓；4小时图上，布林带略微收口运行，MA5/MA10Moving average adhesive operation,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5/MA10Near the moving average,MACD快慢线死叉绿色动能小幅放量，KDJ三线呈死叉向下运行，油价短线有进一步的回落风险。
Overall, for intraday operations, it is recommended to mainly focus on a pullback and a bullish trend, with initial resistance above61.8Nearby, the resistance in the next step is62.3； Preliminary support below61.1Nearby, further support is provided60.4。
US crude oil（02Contract trading strategy
1Above62.2-62.3Short term short selling, stop loss0.3, Objective61.1-61.3Nearby;
2Below61.1-61.3Long nearby, stop loss0.4, Objective62.2-62.3Nearby;
Reading instructions: Investment carries risks, and trading requires caution. This analysis is provided by the Futures Gold Strategy and is for reference only. It is not intended as the final basis for placing orders.

Account opening consultation hotline:18261832007 WeChat:qis12388 Daily strategy sharing official account: future market gold strategy